JPMumble

9.4K posts

JPMumble

JPMumble

@JPMumble

Pennsylvania, USA Katılım Kasım 2015
624 Takip Edilen239 Takipçiler
JPMumble
JPMumble@JPMumble·
@bizlet7 "Would fall short of a full-scale invasion". They are going to raid the nuclear sites and/or naval/missle bases near the Strait of Hormuz and/or take Kharg island. It will not be another Iraq.
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JPMumble
JPMumble@JPMumble·
America's military is so strong, it is simultaneously expected to win every operation within days, do so with zero collateral damage, and with zero casualties. Anything less is considered a "disaster". This is purely modern thinking. Fascinating, really.
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Dandalf
Dandalf@DanTalks1·
@JPMumble Yeah i'm aware, its not for him. He's probably paid foreign agent. It's about the argument for others.
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Dandalf
Dandalf@DanTalks1·
So this guy asked an interesting question, and I think it warrants an honest answer as many say a variant of this and a valid request. So i'll explain. Security is a unique field different from almost any other simply because of how we have to approach things. The core mistake in the logic of the question is the expectation that we need certainty before action. In almost every other field, we operate to certainty. Is the bridge going to stand? Prove it to me in calculations the structural integrity to X weight. In security we operate very differently, because the stakes are so high, and we are dealing INTER tribally meaning outside of our group. The same rules and standards do not apply. You are applying INTRA or within the tribe standards, like a warrant for arrest for this to occur. In security the concept is do they have the means and the possible capacity to carry it out. If yes then we need to take action, because the risk reward is so high, we lose entire cities and countries if we are wrong. Iran has fulfilled all and more of these criteria. They have the nuclear facilities, rebuild them. They have the delivery mechanisms, and an expanded defensive bunker structure to protect it. And they have said repeatedly in their public statements they INTEND on using nuclear weapons when they get them. They rejected all proposals by us to try and have a diplomatic solution to this. No matter how good. We do not want to go to war, we would much prefer to do this diplomatically. But THEY refused. They have agency in this as well. We don't take risks with nukes in security, the downside risk is simply too high. They fulfilled all reasonable criteria to act and more.
Brotherhood@DiggingInTheDi1

@DanTalks1 Walk me through how you know for certain they're going to launch a nuke And then tell me why that doesn't apply to North Korea, China or Russia

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Apple Lamps
Apple Lamps@lamps_apple·
On February 28, 2026, a U.S. strike hit a compound in Minab, Iran. Within hours, every major Western outlet was running the same number... 175 dead. Over 100 children. A girls' school. The headlines wrote themselves. Here's what none of those headlines told you... the sole source of that number was the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Iranian state media, operating under a near-total internet blackout that the regime itself imposed within hours of the war starting. Connectivity inside Iran dropped to 4%… then 1%… and stayed there for weeks. The government issued threats of legal consequences to any citizen who accessed international internet. The only accounts still posting freely were regime-whitelisted propagandists. This is the information environment that produced "175 dead children." IT IS STILL NOT VERIFIED BY ANY INDEPENDENT SOURCE. Not by Human Rights Watch, which explicitly stated it "has not been able to independently verify" the number. Not by Amnesty International, whose investigation acknowledged they could not speak to witnesses or victims' families because the regime had shut down the internet. The Minab number was a weapon. The regime that shut down its own citizens' internet, ran 50 documented disinformation campaigns in 25 days, produced 110+ deepfakes, and embedded military equipment in elementary schools… that regime produced a casualty figure, and the most powerful media institutions in the Western world printed it as fact, no asterisk, no caveat, no "Iranian state media claims." Just "175 dead." Just "over 100 children." Repeated by anchors, repeated by senators, repeated by NGOs who admitted in their own fine print that they couldn't verify it.
Apple Lamps@lamps_apple

wow. The Middle East Forum analyzed 1,378 news articles covering the war and found... 98% cited Gaza Ministry of Health figures. Only 5% mentioned Israeli casualty figures for combatants killed. The New York Times cited militant casualty numbers in 0% of its articles analyzed. CNN and the Guardian managed 1%. Only 15% of all articles even noted that Hamas doesn't distinguish combatants from civilians in its data. HonestReporting found that over a four-month period (February-May 2024), 84% of major English-language publications failed to make the combatant-civilian distinction in their total casualty numbers. The effect is that every figure gets absorbed by the audience as a civilian death count. The framing compounds the numbers problem. Journalists routinely cited aggregate totals as purely civilian. CNN's Fareed Zakaria referenced "35,000 civilians dying." CBS's Major Harrison Mann asked, "I don't know how you kill 35,000 civilians by accident." The UN itself produced videos titled "25,000 Civilians Killed" without distinguishing combatants. Meanwhile, asymmetric source scrutiny was the norm. Hamas figures were questioned in roughly 1% of articles. IDF data was challenged in 50% of the limited cases where Israeli sources were cited at all. Nearly 20% of articles cited GHM numbers without even attributing them to Hamas.

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Auron MacIntyre
Auron MacIntyre@AuronMacintyre·
90% of blacks vote Democrat 70% of Asians 70% of Jews 68% of Indians Oh and the majority of new antisemitism you're worried about comes from immigrants The numbers are clear but easier to lie about the demographic reality of politics than to address the problem
Erick Erickson@EWErickson

Some rightwingers on this hell site insist we should only allow white people to immigrate to this country. And, every day, I see a bunch of white people cheering on this country’s destruction at the hands of Iran and see a lot of non-white people and Jews standing with America.

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eugyppius
eugyppius@eugyppius1·
NATO remains a low-cost force multiplier for the Americans in Europe, it's a mutually beneficial treaty but it will never reattain its Cold War importance. It's become culturally and politically corrosive for Europe, and if the US ever wants to finally pivot to China it might become a bad deal. Personally, I want NATO to go away, but that's me and I'm not in charge. In the meantime, for a president like Trump who prefers to exercise power personally rather than through institutions, it will prove personally frustrating, though we notice that in official statements at least the administration remains fully behind the NATO alliance.
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eugyppius
eugyppius@eugyppius1·
Trump and his administration bashing NATO because they won't send "ships" to do something someplace as vaguely demanded on truth social isn't about NATO. Even the most enthusiastic Trump apologists, to save this argument, have to revise it into a more general polemic about unspoken obligations they imagine accrue to beneficiaries of US military power or US imperially guaranteed freedom of navigation or the like. So, not remotely about NATO, and Trump himself reinforces this by scoffing at NATO military capabilities and insisting the US doesn't need NATO anyway. This whole discussion is happening for entirely different reasons, which I leave you to imagine.
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JPMumble
JPMumble@JPMumble·
I know he's not Japanese, but it was still a translate post
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JPMumble
JPMumble@JPMumble·
Because Iranian propaganda is better? Why are you swallowing the 13 bases number without any critical thought?
Brotherhood@DiggingInTheDi1

@CENTCOM 13 bases destroyed, but only 13 casualties Give Kim Jong-Un a call, even he's better at propaganda than you are

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あっつん
あっつん@attun96·
なんで日本語が喋れないヤツのために日本人教師が面倒見なきゃなんねえんだよ。 日本に来て日本で生活するならテメェの努力で日本語を覚えてから来い。 それができないならとっとと母国へ帰れ。 ハッキリ言って迷惑なんだよ。
NHKクローズアップ現代 公式@nhk_kurogen

「日本語もしゃべれないとか友達とかにバカにされて」  web.nhk/tv/pl/series-t…  ↑放送&NHK ONE配信は3月29日あさ8時25分~ 今週の #Dearにっぽん 外国にルーツを持つ高校生たちが主人公です。 “母語OKの日本語の授業”その狙いとは? 語りは #miletさん

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JPMumble
JPMumble@JPMumble·
A legitimate question that I am asking in good faith to all of the never-war rightoids, if China attacked Japan, would you be ok with the US defending Japan?
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JPMumble
JPMumble@JPMumble·
@findhind Japan will always find a friend in the USA against China.
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山中
山中@yamanakanobody·
中国人「日本人は偏ったニュースを見て中国を嫌いになってる」 日本人「レーダー照射するわ、領海に侵入するわで嫌いにならないわけないだろ」 中国人「日本に領海などないわ」 ↑ お前らがまず普通になってからこいよ
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