Jack Green

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Jack Green

Jack Green

@JackGreenCrypto

Macro/data-driven crypto investor

Crypto Investor Discord 5/5/26 Katılım Kasım 2022
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
Checkout my latest in-depth interview with Michael Howell, Managing Director of @crossbordercap In this interview, Michael explains: - Key Drivers of the Global Liquidity Cycle - Bitcoin’s Correlation with Global Liquidity - Bitcoin Valuation Model: P/M Ratio Links below ↓
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
Crypto developers are leaving the space. But the pace matters. In 2018 and 2022, dev capitulation was a cliff. This time, the bleed is significantly shallower.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@BitcoinNews This is what the all-time view is currently looking like for the BTC ETFs.
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Bitcoin.com News
Bitcoin.com News@BitcoinNews·
Bitcoin ETFs Extend Weekly Inflows Despite Late-Week Pullback
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@DurdenBTC There is a clear supply shock that is starting to form.
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DurdenBTC
DurdenBTC@DurdenBTC·
there is less bitcoin available to buy right now than at any point in the last 5 years. illiquid supply: all-time high. exchange reserves: multi-year low. entities accumulating: accelerating.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@InvestingVisual Compound growth is a lot bigger than most realise, that's why you must stay far away from places with unrealized gains taxes.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@barkmeta Me realizing the politicians doing the insider trading are the exact same people who appoint the regulators.
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Bark
Bark@barkmeta·
Let me explain what just happened 👇 5 minutes before the President announced a halt to attacks on Iran… someone placed a $1.5 BILLION bet on stocks going up and dumped $192 million in oil. 5 minutes… These trades were 4 to 6 times larger than anything else in the entire market. Whoever did this wasn’t guessing. You don’t risk $1.5 billion on a hunch. There was zero public indication this announcement was coming. No leaks. No press. Nothing. The only people who knew were in the room when the decision was made. Someone in that room picked up a phone. And within minutes they made more money than most Americans will earn in a thousand lifetimes. In a single trade. On a war that cost you $4+ a gallon gas and $16 billion in tax dollars. American citizens funded this war. Politicians are profiting from it. This is not the first time. Every major announcement from this administration has had massive suspicious trades right before it dropped. Tariff reversals. Policy shifts. War decisions. This is the most blatant insider trading operation in the history of American politics. It’s not even close. And it’s happening over and over in broad daylight. You would go to federal prison for trading on a tip from your cousin. These people are front running war decisions with billion dollar bets and nobody will ever ask a single question. Nobody will be investigated. Nobody will be charged. By tomorrow this will be buried under the next satisfying headline. Just like last time. And the time before that. The game is rigged. And they’re not even trying to hide it anymore…
unusual_whales@unusual_whales

BREAKING: Just five minutes before Trump's announcement to halt the attacks on Iran, massive trades reportedly hit the market. In one move, $1.5 billion in S&P 500 (ES) futures was bought while $192 million in oil (CL) futures was sold. These orders were 4–6x larger than anything else at the time. The trader seemingly made huge gains. Unusual.

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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@BitcoinJunkies Because it is a more efficient way to fund the government, high inflation would hurt the economy too much to be able to sustainably derive income from money printing.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
BTC is still heavily undervalued compared to the inverse DXY model. It is still trading outside the 2 sigma regime band. While this model highlights an undervaluation, it is important to consult multiple indicators for a complete view of the market. Stay tuned, I will be launching my very own global liquidity model soon to track these broader macro conditions.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@david_eng_mba Adding gold price into the mix or the DXY would definitely be worth it, as both are very important for macro analysis.
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David
David@david_eng_mba·
These 6 Macro Numbers Matter
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Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph@Cointelegraph·
🚨 UPDATE: Bitcoin is outperforming both gold and the S&P 500 since the start of the U.S.–Iran conflict, per River.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@mert Exactly. Try moving $1 via TradFi: Stripe hits you with a $0.30 flat fee. Meanwhile, moving $1 in USDC on layer 2s or Solana costs <$0.01 and settles instantly.
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mert
mert@mert·
if you want to move $1 USD via code today, without using crypto, how do you do it? plaid + bank account? paypal/wise API with tons of paperwork and no flexibility? this is not appreciated nearly enough, this barely exists. crypto is the universal API for money itself
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@cryptorand I think it is still a bit early to conclude that they are back. As you can see around 2019 and 2020 a sustained trend is needed for real breakouts. We haven't seen that yet.
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Rand Group
Rand Group@cryptorand·
#Ethereum whales are back. Past cycles show how this pattern returned as much as 25% in the first 3 months and up to 300% over a full year.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@SimplyBitcoin Doubling down while the stock price is this low is a bold approach.
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Simply Bitcoin
Simply Bitcoin@SimplyBitcoin·
Saylor just went nuclear. $42,000,000,000 aiming for 500,000 more BTC. Good luck catching up.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@coinbureau The amount of institutions that were using these option for hedging will benefit greatly from this.
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Coin Bureau
Coin Bureau@coinbureau·
🚨NYSE ARCA & NYSE AMERICAN REMOVE BTC & ETH ETF OPTIONS LIMITS The exchanges scrapped the 25,000-contract position limits on spot Bitcoin and Ether ETF options. Crypto ETF options are now treated like standard commodity ETF options across all major U.S. exchanges.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@LynAldenContact Current oil prices will definitely have a huge impact on central bank policy moving forward. And it's not only in the US. With the EU still sanctioning Russian gas, a further energy crisis isn't that unlikely.
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Lyn Alden
Lyn Alden@LynAldenContact·
My March public newsletter is now available, and discusses to what extent the war on Iran may impact the "gradual print" scenario. Enjoy: lynalden.com/march-2026-new…
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@CryptoCred People need to realise that any retail person trading on prediction markets is basically exit liquidity to insiders and those with HFT Algorithms.
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Cred
Cred@CryptoCred·
“Dad, what’d you do during WW3?” “Hyperliquid.” “You invested in it?” “No, that’s where I got liquidated trading news. That’s why we live in this tent.”
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@Stoiiic This sounds amazing, I am ready to repost it when it is finished!
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Stoic
Stoic@Stoiiic·
Working on this will take me a while since it's not going to be the standard run of the mill garbage. Going to walk through how to use an LLM using context & vertical slicing as well as walk through the statistical scanner dashboard I built as an example.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
Exactly. To be a successful investor, I think you have to keep returning to one fundamental question: Why? You observe a market change, people urge you to act, but before you do, you must ask why it is happening. The investor who actually understands the underlying systems will always outperform the one who blindly reacts.
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Aporia
Aporia@0xaporia·
The way most people are introduced to trading sets them up for a fundamental misunderstanding. Driven by influencers, beginners are handed a toolkit of indicators and told to act on them mechanically (sell when RSI hits 70, buy when this line crosses that one, etc). The problem is that nobody explains what these tools are actually trying to measure, or why. You end up accumulating a kind of intellectual debt: applying instruments you don't understand to problems you have never defined. What's missing is the scientific rigor that serious trading actually demands. A sound approach starts with an idea, a hypothesis about how or why price behaves the way it does. From there, you ask "how could I prove this wrong?" and then doing exactly that, as ruthlessly as possible. Most ideas will collapse at the first honest test, and that's fine. Most of your ideas will turn out to be dogshit. That's just the way it is. The chasm between these two stances is enormous, and it rarely gets addressed. Trading is a discipline of structured skepticism, and yet what is taught, for the most part, is pattern mimicry.
Aporia@0xaporia

If you have a friend who just started trading, chances are high that the first thing they did was slap an RSI and a MACD below their price chart, because that's what every beginner tutorial and trading influencer will tell you to do. The pitch is usually something like confluence. But if you just look at both graphs side by side, something becomes obvious pretty quickly, they move almost identically. That's why I added the correlation panel at the bottom. For a lot of beginners, seeing that line sitting stubbornly near +1 for most of the chart might be bit of a wake-up moment, hopefully. The reason they correlate so highly is that they're both doing the same job, for the most part: Trying to capture momentum, just through slightly different maths on the same input. So when you stack them and call it confluence, you're not getting a second opinion. Instead, you're just hearing the same opinion twice. And that's a broader issue with most popular technical indicators.

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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@DurdenBTC How close do you think we are to forming another 'green diamond'?
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DurdenBTC
DurdenBTC@DurdenBTC·
this chart that predicted every single bitcoin bottom in history. every one. it uses three signals: extreme fear below 25, protective puts above 0.95, and fear acceleration above +25%. when all three fire together? $2 → $170 → $3.2k → $3.8k → $15.5k. you're watching for the next green diamond. so am i.
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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
@SuperBitcoinBro The Global liquidity models are currently predicting the same thing.
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Super฿ro
Super฿ro@SuperBitcoinBro·
$BTC hit $67.3K and wiped out most of the long liquidations ✅ Now most of the liquidity is overhead, and CME futures looks set to open with a gap overhead. Beautiful. This will likely be a volatile week and could push bit lower, but the table is set for a big squeeze higher.
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Super฿ro@SuperBitcoinBro

$BTC 2-week liquidation heatmap It would be healthier to clear out the high leverage liquidity down to $67K before making a run back to the highs. Best case would be a weekend wick and recovery before CME futures open on Sunday.

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Jack Green
Jack Green@JackGreenCrypto·
Bitcoin’s hashrate just pulled off a violent V shaped recovery. The price flush from $120k triggered a brutal capitulation in mining power, dropping the network to roughly 820 Eh/s by February. But look at the right side of the chart. We are already back over 1 Zettahash, even with price chopping sideways in the $60ks.
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