Jake Cardonick

1.6K posts

Jake Cardonick

Jake Cardonick

@JakeCar120

Analytics and Salary Cap Intern @vucommodores⚓️ @UChicago '26 Statistics, Economics, and Data Science. https://t.co/kNppyBAOkd

Katılım Nisan 2024
287 Takip Edilen933 Takipçiler
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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
It’s been almost five months since I launched footballanalyticsnerd.com, so I wanted to share some of my favorite new features: – Depth Charts: Every team now has an interactive depth chart with players and coaches linked to their profile pages, 2024 Analytical Score color-coding, and age boxes next to each name. – Player Valuation Tool: Select a player and compare their performance across multiple seasons to similar players who signed extensions immediately afterward, projecting the expected extension value if they were set to hit free agency. – Coach Search: Browse data on every Head Coach, Offensive Coordinator, and Defensive Coordinator from 2000–2025, including EPA ranks, season results, and ages. – Player Search: Find any player’s page with advanced stats from 2021–2024, draft history, college information, and player comparison to their 2024 season.
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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
Added a Draft Results tab to the Offseason Dashboard. Select any team and see full F.A.N. profiles for all of their draft picks. Below are the first 8 picks of a very strong Ravens draft class.
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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
The Andrew Berry heater continues. Fano, Concepcion, Boston. Just adding to a fantastic draft class from last year, too.
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Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
Really hard to know how the medicals are, but his athletic testing + 2024 production was worthy of a first-round pick. Again, hard to know the medicals from the outside.
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Adam Schefter@AdamSchefter

The Vikings selected DL Caleb Banks at No. 18. NFL teams received a letter this week stating that, after a CT scan on Tuesday, Banks is “on pace to be fully cleared for full football activities in early June” as he recovers from a surgically repaired bone in his left foot.

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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
@Dtitusl88 Yes, just click a player's name on the "Big Board" tab on the offseason dashboard.
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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
Since 2000, 88 teams have had exactly 2 first-round picks in the same draft. They split between offense and defense 57% of the time, took 2 offensive players 23%, and 2 defensive players 20%. Pictured below are the draft picks. 2nd picture is teams with 3 picks.
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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
Watching old NFL Draft highlights. They should bring back the "next pick fan poll" on the broadcast.
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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
@SethBurn It’s an interesting infinite-horizon question for sure. If you shift the window 100 years, you actually hit an impatience constraint with the owner rather than the GM. In this case though, teams can only trade picks 3 years out so I’m saved 😀.
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Seth Burn
Seth Burn@SethBurn·
@JakeCar120 I am curious how far you can shift the windows before it becomes silly from your perspective. 2026-2030 vs. 2031-2035? 2026-2030 vs. 2036-2040? An object in the future could be worth the exact same in its time, but valuing the ability to have it now instead of later at 0 is ;}
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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
@SethBurn Not sure I agree. You're just shifting the window, not losing any service time. Years 1-5 being 2026-2030 vs 2027-2031 doesn't matter.
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Seth Burn
Seth Burn@SethBurn·
@JakeCar120 Yes, holding player quality constant, a player now is more valuable than a player a year from now. You have the time value of his service. Even if I were a GM/Owner, with no job security worries, I would still demand a premium to time-shift my picks into the future.
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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
Agreed, but should it be? The justification for discounting (inflation, opportunity cost of capital) doesn't really translate to draft picks. A pick doesn't lose value over time. The only real reasons to discount future picks (at the market level, not for any individual team) are impatience and job security, and neither of those is actually a property of the asset itself. They're properties of the decision-maker. So in a rational set of front offices (assuming even distribution of rebuilding and contending teams), future picks probably shouldn't be discounted much at all.
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Seth Burn
Seth Burn@SethBurn·
@JakeCar120 Always gotta charge interest. The market rate can vary though.
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Jake Cardonick
Jake Cardonick@JakeCar120·
Haven't been as active on here the past month but just want to say that I appreciate everybody who has supported me this past year. My favorite day of the year is the NFL Draft, so pumped for Thursday! Also, happy to give my thoughts on any prospects if people are interested.
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