bez
418 posts


GOSFORD RACE 4
🏇 PYROLYSIS
💰 3U Win – $2.9 TAB
Very good first-up.
Will roll forward and take control.
Looks the best horse in this race — hard to knock.
Anthony Don@AnthonyDon_
Are we feeling a little Gosford action today? 😎
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The highest number since tracking began 10 years ago 🤬 Join a local #NupToTheCup event, the Brisbane event I'm at linked below 👇🏽
eventbrite.com.au/e/nup-to-the-c…

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The tax free threshold should be greatly reduced, ideally back to $6000 or less. Everyone who works should contribute something back via income tax (first bracket should be a trivial / token amount).
The systems to manage this are all largely automated so the argument of reducing overhead isn't as valid as it was 15 years ago. Get young workers used to the process early so they are not shocked / confused later.
Significantly reduce all marginal tax rates. A worker making only 45k should not pay $4288 in income tax. Simplify and tighten deduction criteria to compensate.
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bez retweetledi

Congrats to current rank 1 Blake with Dooz's Diciples team. Only team I've seen over 14mil and has had a completed side in rd14. Something to aspire to in 2026!
#supercoach @AFL

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@7AFL @GinnivanJack
Everyone laments that sports people are all robots these days, and that there's no characters anymore.
Yet when someone shows some personality, everyone comes down heavy on him.
Says more about society than anything!
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Would you make any changes? 🤔
More on @AFLcomau's mid-season All-Australian team: afl.com.au/news/1335237

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@mugspunting @MitchG57351992 Not sure if you’re aware of this, we are allowed to reply to this and say who we think won’t be going there
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@AlanCRowland Hey Alan thoughts on Strathtay? Just hasn’t come back the same horse or wanting the 2 mile trip? Thought it was good late in the Chairman’s. reckon alalcance cops a bit more pressure on Saturday too which aids its chances
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Rated prices Sydney Cup:
$2.90 Alalcance
$6.50 Birdman
$7.50 Duke De Sessa
$21 Warmonger
$22 Lastotchka
$22 Zardozi
Alalcance has done nothing wrong this prep. If she can reproduce her Chairman's win then she probably wins again. But horses are not machines and it's hard for them to string two very high rating runs together. Has she got another big run in her this prep? 50/50 I'd say. Duke De Dessa is building to a peak run in this race. I know they said he was being aimed at the Tancred but I think he has a bit more improvement out of that race.
Birdman showed good ability in only four runs in UK before Waller got him. We all know Waller is a G1 specialist and there seems little doubt Birdman has been set for this race. I expect significant improvement from his run last week behind Alalcance. Warmonger is a bit of a forgotten horse. He was poor in the Tancred but his best is pretty good. This time last year he won the Qld Derby by 10 lengths.
My best result is Lastotchka. This imported mare is a 3100m G3 WFA winner in France. Was only 7th in the Chairmans last week but wasn't beaten a huge margin (5.6 lengths). She could improve a lot with both fitness and the extra distance. Some rain wouldn't hurt. I've backed her to win at $151 and to place at $26.
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@magicmoments000 Looking like a trade then... although might hold if Lindsay and Tsatas are back
Also have Callaghan + Roberts who are trade outs soon
What do you think of these? Zork or Whit in, I can't split them
80k bank after

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@davepband Depends if swiftfalcon tries the tactics Linebacker beat Broadsiding with, if it’s mapping ahead by 2/3 lengths I can see the bet at $5. Highly doubtful it’ll catch Broadsiding if lobbed behind. Think there’s enough question marks about speed in the race Jmac will do as pleases
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Sadly, X won't let me do a poll with an image. Here's a few potential scenarios with the Rosehill Guineas.
Does Broadsiding get the spot that the RNSW maps have gifted him?
I thought Goldrush Guru actually had the most pace of any of these, followed by Plymouth, plus Jamie Melham is a fantastic barrier jockey. If she presses on, James probably gets the 1-1 or even outside lead if he really wants to be positive?
But if the NSW maps are correct in who leads, I can't see any of them giving up that spot for J-Mac and honestly, they should be riding (within the rules) to ensure he remains posted.
For me, that's the key to whether Swiftfalcon can be backed at $5, as he's close enough in the ratings if the race pans out in his favour.

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