Jesper Nielsen

Wake up, go hard, chill later.

@OMApproach Then show us exactly where this shocking Pentagon report states anything of the sorts.

If you still don't know why the world is suffering and why all these wars are being waged, then you haven't heard about the leaked report... This shocking leaked Pentagon report from 2003 reveals the real reason why Trump wants to take Canada and Greenland, why wars are being fought over resources, and why Armageddon is allegedly being triggered in the Middle East. And of course, I was right: it's because of the expected geophysical event. This internal scientific report will blow your mind! 🤯

@Albert_618 Thanks for answering my dumb question haha. I noticed another similar post of yours, and took ATHs to be your highest probability outcome, which I'm lacking arguments for, so wondered whether I'm missing something (apart from psychology, which I may be underestimating tbf).

@JesperNDK Read the text again - its there. I don’t use TA for my bet. I use peoples and my own psychology + I am always long and short. I always try to be hedged.

$SPX $ES & Thoughts and Reasoning 2.5% to ATH. 171.5 Points. It's been a pleasure to be bullish while everybody turned bearish. My thesis and bet was based on Psychology. War is bullish. Why? Look around. Everybody turned fearful. Collect who posted what. Most posts and ideas are just a scream for validation. Yes even the big accounts. The authority you get trapped in is based on follower count - not skill. What made me take this bet? It was the most uncomfortable bet to take - against everybody. Some witnessed it on calls with me. Some in Chats. My inner voice was loud at every long I took. Yes it hurt to enter. Strong Confirmation. If all Indices make new ATHs across the board my thesis played out. I don't care too much to have the right thesis but to be the one in the right position to make money. Thats very often when I am alone. I've been alone - surrounded by those who trusted. We have shorts running. We went into longs. We can't and we won't lose. Some might remember what I said - I want to be in trades nobody takes. I want to enter when nobody watches me and exit before anybody even thinks about the opportunity. Let's see if we really get ATHs. If so - I would attempt to short. The higher Red box is more favorable to me just because negative fibs of two swings are fitting and - it feels so hard to believe we go this high. If we get there, I don't blindly enter with a very wide SL. It can work yes but I don't want to do that. "If you want different results, you don't need hope. You need change. Painful, uncomfortable, ego-shattering change" - if you REALLY understand the MT quote here... you can do it. But it's gonna be Painful. It's gonna be uncomfortable. And it will be ego-shattering. It will hurt so much you gonna want to quit. This is where the change begins. I'm still at the beginning. But I'm far ahead of my old self.

@IamZeroIka Great as always! Thank you so much for always sharing these gems!

⭕️Chain/cause & effect: opportunities & macro (What I'm watching/reflecting on)⭕️ I want to showcase some summarized considerations on ⛓️ chains: cause → effect → where to look "style". First of all, if you didn't yet (because it's important and tied to this post) read these articles: x.com/IamZeroIka/sta… + x.com/IamZeroIka/sta… 1)🛢️ US OIL (after the big surge) - Supply "discipline" (energy crisis) + geopolitical risk → structurally tighter energy markets → higher transportation & logistics costs 🚚📦 → margin pressure across supply chains → sticky inflation (especially food & goods) 🛒🍞 Implications: • Consumers feel it last (lag effect) ⏳ • Emerging markets get hit first (import costs) 🌎 • Central banks can’t ease as fast as markets expect 🏦 Opportunities: → Energy equities/services (don't buy at premium though)⚡ → Commodity exporters 🌐 → Inflation-linked assets 📊 → Food and the whole chain 🌾🍽️ → Water and the whole chain 💧 ⭕️Bonus: If a major TP on US OIL occurs, reloading at discount might be not a bad idea. 2)📊 Bonds - Question: "Is the economy already pricing in what is happening on the macro?" CPI Shock? (especially upside surprises) CPI above expectations: → upward revision in rate expectations by the Federal Reserve → “higher for longer” narrative reinforced → curve repricing → Impact on Yields • nominal yields move higher • real yields increase • curve dynamics shift (bear steepening or flattening depending on the move) 👉 this can amplify existing pressures from: - heavy issuance - persistent deficits 💸 - softening foreign demand 🌍 → reinforced upward pressure on yields → Transmission to financial conditions Higher yields → • tighter financial conditions • stronger USD • less liquidity ✍️To note for myself: Growth/high speculative stocks more inclined to go down 3)🏠 Consumer & real economy Higher rates + higher living costs = → pressure on discretionary spending 🛍️⬇️ → delayed slowdown (not immediate) ⏳ But: Fiscal support + labor resilience 💼 → prevents sharp collapse (hopefully) → extends the cycle artificially (for how long?) Implications: • “slow bleed” vs crash (hopefully) • uneven sector performance ⚖️ Opportunities: → Long staples (as said before)🛒 → Pricing power companies 💰 → Balance-sheet strength plays (+ dividends) 📊 4)🐦 New phoenixes rise from the ashes Central banks are buying gold (China, India) + energy is structurally tight + rates are no longer zero That combination is burning what we can call "old trades": → Long-duration tech that relied on cheap money (finally) → Passive beta in a world that’s no longer stable → Real estate built on ultra-low rates And giving rise to new ones: → Energy ⚡ Oil majors, services, LNG (benefit from tight supply + pricing power) → Commodities ⛏️ Copper, uranium, agricultural chains (structural demand + constrained supply) → Gold & Metals 🪙 Backed by central bank demand (dips on real yield spikes = entries? Maybe HTF AMT?) 👁️ → Defense & Industrials 🛡️🏗️ Rising geopolitical spending + reshoring (talked a lot about this) → Quality cash flow 💰 Companies with: • pricing power • strong balance sheets • dividends 🧠Self reflection: People see problems, investors see solutions. Each major and "well known" catalyst triggers a chain reaction. Look into the problem to find the solution and you'll also find money.

@barnc0re @abetrade @TradetheMatrix1 @TheFlowHorse A more TA related question. Since the institutions are the passive players using limit orders, should we not follow the Perps CVD instead of the spot CVD? That is how I have seen it in the past at least. Curious to your thoughts.

✨new vid✨ 📺 Crypto Orderflow - As interpreted by AI 🌐 Sources used / Credit goes to: - @abetrade - @TradetheMatrix1 - @TheFlowHorse youtu.be/Lnn2z44XHlw

@MariusSm1th x.com/i/status/19079… this is probably what you're referring to, but you have the days mixed up, as she posted on April 4th last day, making Sep 5th the event day lol

Idk why I had this one pop up on my calendar today 😅 Also this day has a bigger meaning for Chinese culture, praying for the dead, giving them money from hell bank and food!

Eth and eth/btc need to defend their respective lvls For eth it's around 2k Eth/btc it's SH if we break them we likely go down to 1700 for cme gap close and btc around 57k If so we need a strong weekly close above 60-62k, otherwise high chance of going lower to 45k! 👌

@studentoffew What do you use to track the volume?

What do you think of the 1M closure on $BTC combined with the volume?

@ChainHubCT But surely we see upside and distribution before then to lure in more retail investors.

🔮🪄

@ChainHubCT Most likely Iran (with the backing of Russia and China) will strike against USA on American soil in the summer. That would be the kind of event to send the market doooown, and it would align with the cycles and warning around July 4th from the Economist.

@Albert_618 Mainly an uptrend (HHs/HLs) with liquidity primarily being taken to the downside. We're forming an accumulative range between ~65k to ~71k. It wouldn't surprise me with one final wick to the ~57k. Fully deployed since the HOB-W on USDT.D which was wrong, should have more patient.

Again…: What do you see on $BTC LTF/MTF? What do you think?

@CryptoChase02 Not interested in the HOB-W just below 0.4?

$ONDO [SPOT UPDATE] 🎯 Bullish area held well on the weekly TF, which was good confirmation for accumulation alongside the confluences on the major charts. Need to see a HTF BOS above the PSH to look at higher prices, but the 1M BB above looks like a great 🧲 We will come back to this chart in a couple of months to open a nice short position 🔮

@TheFalseNein Don't know about Fotmob and Transfermarkt but Gyok was credited with the assist for Nelli's goal against Kairat. Bit unfair to Kai, but that may be the difference between the sources? 15 is also a decent tally, especially with 7 in the last 8 games.

@JesperNDK Not sure where the extra one came from, he’s got 15 on Fotmob and Transfermarkt!

15 G/A for Gyök.

@TheFalseNein Rest of season, apologies. How do you see his role if Kai/Big Vik becomes the preferred partnership. I can't see him rotating with Rice and Zubi, and his role is vastly different from how Kai will play in that position.

@JesperNDK ROS?

Glad he’s stuck with this partnership, think it could be the recipe till the end of the season. Down to Leo, Eze, Martinelli to fight it out for that left spot. Timber / White depending on the opposition, and Ricky back in when he’s fully fit.

@MariusSm1th Where do you store your assets as the government rips the DXY apart? Seems to me all currencies will be deeply affected. I'm a little late to this thought, that dawned on me as I was watching the video you uploaded a little time ago

DXY Soon soon... First target around the 90s!

@yurystart @OrderBlawk Awesome find. So on point! I don't see us going straight up already, still have to shake off the weak hands but probably early February, but this was the last visit to the bottom.

@OrderBlawk Posted right at the end of the major bearish impulse November 21st 2025 (bottom) Let's see how strongly will the sun rise

Inner peace

@CryptoChase02 All are referring to MT's CNY comment, but as I recall, he never said it would START the bullish uptrend. To me, it's just as easy to argue for the bullish side with BTC closing above its KSH, bearish news all over, USDT.D clearly in distribution and now forming a 3-drive, etc.

$ETH & #ETHBTC ⏳ ETH So we've seen some pretty interesting price action over the past 2 months with some nice upside and downside opportunities. However, looking at it from a HTF perspective, nothing about this picture screams bullish to me, as it still looks like a clear downtrend 📉 Price action failed to break above the previous KSH [$3.65k] after taking HTF liquidity [$2.7k], which shows weakness, creating a new KSH [$3.44k]. Price action retraced a little to grab the leftover liquidity and then failed to break above the newly created SH [$3.44k] again. When price action fails to touch or break past its previous KSH, price action is likely to touch its range lows again, which we are in the process of doing. These are clear HTF signals that price action is still following its current trend [Bearish]. Now we have been ranging for 2 months, so we're waiting for a SH or SL to be broken to tell us which probabilities should increase and decrease. Whether that's to the upside to tap into supply or to the downside to tap into the optimal key level. However, from what I've learnt, hitting a HTF key level [That wasn't optimal] with price action still failing to break above its KSH's is not a bottom signal. I could be completely wrong, but I will still play the game the way I've learnt, as I'm following my plan. Wait for a HTF BOS [Preferably the weekly TF] for bullish continuation. If the price continues to fall into the previous HTF liquidity [6D/2D], it is more likely to break through that level, as it is essentially fully taken, meaning you are playing with a higher risk if you go long again within that area. If it falls through, then I'm looking at the 2W OB or the optimal key level below. We will distinguish which level to use with the price action on ETH/BTC, which I'm going to talk about next. ETH/BTC Now I'm not too fussed about where price action hangs around on this chart because it can move violently in a direction very quickly in a space of a week, as we have seen multiple times before. Looking at this picture within our current range, it looks like the elites have already created the KSH and are currently leaving a weekly OB that could turn into a bullish BB when price action decides to shoot upwards again [This is all hypothetical as price action is still settling, I'm just thinking way ahead]. Now the 1W demand level has already been pretty much taken, so price action is likely to break through that key level, as most of the liquidity there is already gone. It was likely to see a reversal move [Short-Term] from that demand level and we saw a nice pump from that demand level, which created our new KSH, but our optimal key level lies just below, so we must assume there is a very high probability for the 1W BB to hit before we see our next powerful reversal on altcoins 👁️ For the optimal key level below [0.029], the best-case scenario would be for price action to ⚡️ into the HTF KL while closing above the PSL on the weekly TF, taking that key liquidity [Fuel] while respecting its current range. When the 1W BB is taken, keep an eye on the news, as it will likely be very bearish. The elites will use a bearish narrative to scare people from accumulating while they fill up their bags. I'm expecting a ⚡️ + ❄️ when the 1W BB hits too, as that frequently occurs when an optimal key level is touched, especially when hidden, giving us our macro bottom signal. It is very likely that when price action hits the optimal key level on ETH/BTC, price action on ETH and other high-capped coins will also be hitting their HTF key levels. This will help us time our execution, whether that will be a HTF demand level or a hidden optimal key level. The one I mentioned on ETH above is an example. What I talked about on ETH/BTC is the same HTF picture for the ETH dominance chart. Both are quite similar and I'll be using it for extra confluence 👍 Keep an eye on this week's candle close and over the next couple of weeks to see if it is left untouched. Some interesting OBs were formed from last week across most major charts and could be left behind for a chance for it to turn into a bullish BB 👉 x.com/CryptoChase02/…

@Albert_618 Mindset has changed 180 by following people like you. Went from "I'm just DCA'ing bro" to only wanting to buy at the bear market bottom to buying stocks in extreme discount and ranging: NIO, EDIT, VFF, LEU, GRWG, MRNA, UUUU, LYC, S, OKTA. And some other in XPEV, CRSPR, & BYDDY

Some Stock plays I'm in, some for a very long time like UPS. All were shared in advance - MRNA wasn't my idea, but I'm always up for Demand plays! VOW got banged and BMW still running. Let's see :)! Do you have longterm plays running? If so, which? If not, why not? $UPS $NIO $MRNA $CPRT

It is rather frustrating that no Danish politician and no Danish news media even entertain the possibility of selling Greenland for $500 billion+. It's now that we have the possible opportunity. If Greenland continues on a path to independence, the U.S. will likely make them an offer, they will join the U.S. anyway, and Denmark will get nothing. So they are willing to throw away era-defining wealth for ... for what exactly? Some sort of principle that "you don't buy and sell people", or that just "Greenland is not for sale, period". Even if we end up with the same outcome: Greenland under U.S. control. The notion that you don't buy and sell people is a confused framing. If there is a deal that the people of Greenland want to take, it is not "selling" them, it is allowing them freedom to make their own choices. Even worse, I think that many people in Denmark would be interested in the idea of a sale, if they had any concept that we could possibly get a sovereign wealth fund, and how much it could mean for a small country like Denmark. Many Danes are aware that we fund more than half of Greenland's budget, and that what we largely get in return is criticism and talk of independence. But what they are not aware of is what a sovereign wealth fund of this size could mean for ordinary Danes: free daycare, lower taxes, twice as many teachers per student, better eldercare, and so on; all from just a fraction of the fund's yearly returns. These are things that would materially improve people's lives for generations. And yet the public has no idea this is even on the table. This is because our press is completely useless, and does not inform the public about these things. Even though it is one of the most important questions and situations in the history of our country.