KrankyGoober

@Seferyn @gnoble79 Yea, it's actually a fairytale company.

@gnoble79 Apparently, the market realizes what you do not: Tesla is not a car company.

Tesla is a $1.3 trillion company that sold fewer cars this year than last year. And fewer last year than the year before. That should tell you everything you need to know. 2 consecutive years of declining deliveries. Down 9% in 2025 to 1.63 million vehicles. The steepest annual drop in the company's history. And 2026 is starting even worse - US sales down 17% in January, Europe down 44% across major markets. France down 42%. Netherlands down 67%. Norway down 88%. BYD passed them as the global EV leader. In the UK, BYD outsold Tesla 2 to 1 last month. The brand is in FREEFALL. Brand Finance measured a 36% collapse in Tesla's brand value last year - down to $27.6 billion, less than half its 2023 peak. In California, their most important US market, share dropped from 11.6% to 9.9%. And the stock trades at 365 times trailing earnings. Let me say that differently: Tesla earned $3.8 billion last year. The market is valuing those earnings at $1.3 trillion. You are paying $365 for every dollar this company earns. The bull case has completely abandoned the car business. It's all robotaxis and Optimus robots now. They discontinued the Model S and Model X. They told investors on the last earnings call to stop focusing on vehicle deliveries and start thinking about "transportation as a service." So in other words: please ignore the business we actually have and value us on the business we MIGHT have someday. Trust me, every time management tells you to look over there instead of over here... LOOK OVER HERE. The car business is deteriorating. Margins are compressing. Competition from BYD, Volkswagen, and a dozen Chinese manufacturers is intensifying quarter by quarter. The $7,500 federal EV tax credit is gone, which effectively raised the price of every Tesla overnight. And instead of addressing any of that, they're doubling capex to $20 billion this year - almost entirely directed at AI and autonomous driving infrastructure. So you have a company with shrinking revenue, shrinking deliveries, a damaged brand, and intensifying competition pouring $20 billion into a technology that hasn't been proven at commercial scale. On 365 times earnings. Even if you give them the most generous robotaxi assumptions imaginable (full regulatory approval, nationwide deployment, dominant market share) you still can't justify this valuation. The present value of that optionality doesn't come close to $1.3 trillion when the core business is going backwards. I think this stock goes down 90% from here. Not because Tesla is worthless. They'll sell cars. The energy storage business has potential. But the equity is priced for a future that isn't coming on the timeline the market expects. A $37 stock. That's where the math takes you when you strip out the narrative and price what actually exists. I know that sounds extreme. But 45 years of doing this has taught me something: When you can see the seams on the fastball, you SWING. I can see the seams.

@SiliconStart @gnoble79 You don't understand the business Tesla is in.

@gnoble79 Tell me you don’t understand the business Tesla is in, without saying, “I don’t understand the business Tesla is in”.

@MaulingWallSt @gnoble79 So factor in things that were promised a decade ago and still haven't happened yet and things that burn capital like a pit fire. Yea, you sound real smort.

Good grief have you no vision? Can you not perceive the future? I thought that's what fund managers were supposed to be good at. If you're trying to value tesla the same as a legacy car maker, you're clearly in the wrong job. Now incorporate AI, robotaxis, optimus, data centres, chip making and software as a service into your pricing model. W⚓️

@chrismtnzdev @gnoble79 That's what you all said 10 years ago. When exactly is this fairytale going to happen?

@gnoble79 Tesla is transitioning to an AI and robotics company with FSD, RoboTaxi, and Optimus

@elonmusk Sounds like it's time to put you down then.

If someone has mental rabies, they must be contained or killed or they will keep hurting and killing innocent people

@ICEgov Your entire agency is an utterly disgusting lie.

This is an utterly disgusting lie.  A Guatemalan criminal illegal alien fled from law enforcement and crashed into another vehicle, killing Linda Davis — an American citizen and beloved teacher at Hesse K-8. This tragic loss of life at the hands of someone who shouldn't be here could have been prevented. Our prayers are with the Savannah, GA, community and the family of Linda Davis.

@Zenakuu1989 @glindaupland She did sweetie, the majority of people on Epsteins list is one person Donald Trump, mentioned more than 1 million times in fact. 🤣😂😅🤣😂

@glindaupland She didn't sweetie, majority of people on Epstein's list and emails are Democrats 🤣😂

CARDI B JUST ENDED HOMELAND SECURITY

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@Alexoo4 @mattvanswol Not so wild, it was obvious from the start.

@mattvanswol I've seen enough.

I’ve seen enough. Every single federal dollar should be pulled from Minnesota.