The Daily Dave

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The Daily Dave

The Daily Dave

@SiliconStart

Software dev since the 70s, CPA (Inactive), moderate conservative, believer in AI as a force for good, Tesla fan. Music: 60s-70s, Beethoven/Chopin Piano mostly

Houston, TX Katılım Nisan 2022
1.3K Takip Edilen1.2K Takipçiler
Brad
Brad@BraddrofliT·
Here’s the part no one is saying: The next president won’t get a real first term. They’ll inherit a repair job. Rebuilding alliances. Restoring credibility. Undoing damage. An entire presidency spent fixing what Trump broke.
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The Daily Dave
The Daily Dave@SiliconStart·
@MaMoMVPY So many times people have said he must be nuts. Hold his beer.
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Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren@SenWarren·
Millions of dollars are missing. ABC, Paramount, X, and Meta all settled lawsuits by promising to donate millions to Trump's library fund. Now, his initial library fund is gone. Is the money in Donald Trump's pocket? I'm pressing for answers.
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The Daily Dave
The Daily Dave@SiliconStart·
@gnoble79 Tell me you don’t understand the business Tesla is in, without saying, “I don’t understand the business Tesla is in”.
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George Noble
George Noble@gnoble79·
Tesla is a $1.3 trillion company that sold fewer cars this year than last year. And fewer last year than the year before. That should tell you everything you need to know. 2 consecutive years of declining deliveries. Down 9% in 2025 to 1.63 million vehicles. The steepest annual drop in the company's history. And 2026 is starting even worse - US sales down 17% in January, Europe down 44% across major markets. France down 42%. Netherlands down 67%. Norway down 88%. BYD passed them as the global EV leader. In the UK, BYD outsold Tesla 2 to 1 last month. The brand is in FREEFALL. Brand Finance measured a 36% collapse in Tesla's brand value last year - down to $27.6 billion, less than half its 2023 peak. In California, their most important US market, share dropped from 11.6% to 9.9%. And the stock trades at 365 times trailing earnings. Let me say that differently: Tesla earned $3.8 billion last year. The market is valuing those earnings at $1.3 trillion. You are paying $365 for every dollar this company earns. The bull case has completely abandoned the car business. It's all robotaxis and Optimus robots now. They discontinued the Model S and Model X. They told investors on the last earnings call to stop focusing on vehicle deliveries and start thinking about "transportation as a service." So in other words: please ignore the business we actually have and value us on the business we MIGHT have someday. Trust me, every time management tells you to look over there instead of over here... LOOK OVER HERE. The car business is deteriorating. Margins are compressing. Competition from BYD, Volkswagen, and a dozen Chinese manufacturers is intensifying quarter by quarter. The $7,500 federal EV tax credit is gone, which effectively raised the price of every Tesla overnight. And instead of addressing any of that, they're doubling capex to $20 billion this year - almost entirely directed at AI and autonomous driving infrastructure. So you have a company with shrinking revenue, shrinking deliveries, a damaged brand, and intensifying competition pouring $20 billion into a technology that hasn't been proven at commercial scale. On 365 times earnings. Even if you give them the most generous robotaxi assumptions imaginable (full regulatory approval, nationwide deployment, dominant market share) you still can't justify this valuation. The present value of that optionality doesn't come close to $1.3 trillion when the core business is going backwards. I think this stock goes down 90% from here. Not because Tesla is worthless. They'll sell cars. The energy storage business has potential. But the equity is priced for a future that isn't coming on the timeline the market expects. A $37 stock. That's where the math takes you when you strip out the narrative and price what actually exists. I know that sounds extreme. But 45 years of doing this has taught me something: When you can see the seams on the fastball, you SWING. I can see the seams.
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The Daily Dave
The Daily Dave@SiliconStart·
@kenmartin73 The mess at the airports is 100% Democrat. You can't lie your ways out of this.
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Ken Martin
Ken Martin@kenmartin73·
Thanks to Donald Trump, gas is heading to $4 a gallon, and you have to show up 4 hours before a flight.
Ken Martin tweet mediaKen Martin tweet media
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Tee
Tee@ForgeFuturesAI·
@paul_nourse @BLKMDL3 @elonmusk No doubt that is impressive on paper, but a drive in that part of California is optimal conditions for that protocol. How will it do driving through the Sierra Nevadas in December, or The Rockies? We shall see, I hope everyone succeeds.
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Zack
Zack@BLKMDL3·
Heavy trucks count for just 1% of vehicles on the road, but consume 16-18% of the fuel. Transitioning Semi trucks to electric is a huge deal for the planet and will save a lot of money in maintenance and fuel.
Zack tweet media
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Peterman
Peterman@elpetery·
They also do a ton of damage to the roads, which is a more immediate issue we don’t have a solution for. 1 18-wheeler does the same amount of damage as 1000 normal cars. This is all being paid for with tax dollars. Trucking companies need to assume their fair portion of this expense.
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Teocali
Teocali@Teocalifrank·
@Benioff @adcock_brett We already have sorting machine that do this 1,000 times faster. What's the point?
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X Freeze
X Freeze@XFreeze·
Grok Imagine generates the best realistic videos that feel truly lifelike ✨
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The Daily Dave
The Daily Dave@SiliconStart·
@billybinion Charlie Kirk never hurt anyone. That committee severely damaged the United States without grounds, and he and the rest of that committee did know it.
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Billy Binion
Billy Binion@billybinion·
The cheering over Charlie Kirk’s death was disgusting. I’ll never understand the widespread refusal to apply that same basic standard of decency to the leader of the free world—whose words matter more, not less. It’s ridiculous.
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Billy Binion
Billy Binion@billybinion·
I’ve been reliably informed many times over the last year that only the left cheers when their political opponents die. Does the president count?
Billy Binion tweet media
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The Daily Dave
The Daily Dave@SiliconStart·
@billybinion I can understand and appreciate Trump's feeling that way after what happened to him. Certainly, if ever there was a reason to just fly feel that way, Trump has such grounds.
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The Daily Dave
The Daily Dave@SiliconStart·
In a reasonable world, NOTHING should do more for TSLA than this war with Iran and the tie-up by a flood of oil. Every wealthy person who drives will be running out to buy an EV within days. @ray4tesla
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The Daily Dave
The Daily Dave@SiliconStart·
@SawyerMerritt You know that is insane, right? (Yes, my pocketbook is empty. But I’m certain that is insane.). (Ps, that guy flying around making videos is going to need a bigger FDR drone!
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
Holy moly, Tesla/SpaceX’s Terafab will be ~100 million square feet, which is 10X larger than the main Giga Texas building, which itself is ~1 mile long. No wonder the Terafab won’t fit on the existing Giga Texas campus 🤯
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Elon Musk@elonmusk

@pbeisel Yeah, 100M sq ft is the right order of magnitude

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The Daily Dave
The Daily Dave@SiliconStart·
@SidneyPowellQ I definitely hoped in my wildest dreams the DoE would be dissolved, but we need the teacher's unions gone, too.
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Sidney Powell Q
Sidney Powell Q@SidneyPowellQ·
Question for MAGA from a liberal woman. "Hi, I'm just wondering if you guys who voted for Trump — did you vote for the Department of Education to be dismantled? Because that's what he's doing right now. MAGA?
Sidney Powell Q tweet media
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