🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱

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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱

🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱

@JoeNC05

Former Republican, Politically Homeless, Never Trump, Never Vance, Bomb Iran, Outlaw Unions, Haley Voter, Redistricting Expert. 🇺🇦🇮🇱

Katılım Aralık 2020
1.9K Takip Edilen2.6K Takipçiler
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05·
According to State Navigate: Gov Margin Projection: Spanberger+14.0 My Prediction: Spanberger+14 HoD: 64-36 D My Prediction: 64-36 D Unless AC Cordoza pulls off a miracle I will have 100/100 HoD races correct and be within 0.1% of the gov margin. Please clap.
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱 tweet media🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱 tweet media
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05

FINAL 2025 PREDICTIONS: VA Gov: Safe D🟦 Spanberger+14 VA LT Gov: Safe D🟦 Hashmi+11.5 VA AG: Leans D🟦 Jones+2 NJ Gov: Likely D🟦 Sherrill+7 VA HoD: Safe D🟦 64-36 D NJ GA: Safe D 🟦 53-27 D NYC Mayor: Safe Mamdani🟦 Mamdani 50% Cuomo 30% Sliwa 20% In short, I expect a blue wave

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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05·
@LoganWisc Seems like Rs have a genuine turnout problem in WI, they definitely underperformed in 2022 and 2024, but i know gov races are different sometimes
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05·
@LoganWisc Dont do that, dems are probably winning that race no matter what so don't help nominate her
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05·
@TheANRP Incumbent Rs are not losing the cubans nearly bad enough for that to happen. You can draw out 2 seats without touching any of those districts
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05·
@TheANRP Its the same thing as texas, if things went really bad, they would probably not gain any seats, but they arent going to end up with any less than they currently have
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05·
@TheANRP They have nothing to lose in south FL so they will try, but i expect it to be restrained overall
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Andrew
Andrew@AndrewDahDude·
@DrewSav @Avion28199781 I do think this significantly reduces the odds of an aggressive gerrymander though. They'll probably target 2 or 3 seats this year, not 5.
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05·
@Prolemasses CO 3 seems like the most clear choice, that seat shouldnt be rated likely R in the first case. TX 15, NY 1, WI 1, NC 11 are also interesting upset candidates
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blueshift
blueshift@cobb_dem·
@AK_Organizer @cinyc9 @ak_elections It wouldn’t be a definitive result but they would do it with the counted ballots they have and rerun it every time there’s more ballots processed
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cinyc
cinyc@cinyc9·
AK results reporting news: A huge elecitons bill that passed the AK Senate last year is currently in the AK House. The bill passed by the Senate would require @ak_elections to "release an updated ranked-choice tabulation" every day unofficial results are released.
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱 retweetledi
emilie
emilie@emiliepfrank·
ice agents helping tsa at airports across the country this morning
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umichvoter
umichvoter@umichvoter·
vandy/wisconsin killing me but otherwise decent got st johns/iowa/texas right
umichvoter tweet media
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05·
Thank god Iowa pulled it out, I've been on a generational bad streak in close games this second round.
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱 tweet media
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱
🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱@JoeNC05·
@NickyScatz Really? I was astonished, Rs must have lost the independent vote by 15 points considering their turnout advantage
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Nicky🇺🇸
Nicky🇺🇸@NickyScatz·
Biggest senate upsets of each cycle in the Trump era imo 2024 Pennsylvania 2022 Pennsylvania 2020 Maine 2018 Florida 2016 Wisconsin
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WestCoastWarrior
WestCoastWarrior@warrior_coast·
Guys...I'm getting concerned. These reviews for Project Hail Mary and too good and I think I'm bound to be disappointed at this point.
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🇩🇰Joe🇬🇱 retweetledi
Aaron Blake
Aaron Blake@AaronBlake·
My increasing impression of Jon Ossoff is that he's good at talking about the low-hanging-fruit Trump issues that other Democrats for some reason aren't.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar

Ossoff: "After years of this president trashing our allies, we learned today that the Danish govt was preparing military options to defeat a potential American invasion of Greenland just months ago. The president has treated our allies like they don't matter then demanded they come to his aid."

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Keşfet

@LoganWisc @TheANRP @AndrewDahDude @DrewSav @Avion28199781 @Prolemasses @cobb_dem @AK_Organizer