johns.eth | nextrare.cards

Sensationalist grail pulls make for great screenshots But what people should really be looking at is the odds distribution. Not just the price of the pack or the card someone hit once A better question is • what’s the floor? • how bottom-heavy is it? • what are the actual grail odds? It’s not just the prices $2.5k vs $500 but you also have to take into account the odds distribution @Courtyard_io Legend Pack: • 39% for $1.4k - $1.9k • 31% for $1.9k - $2.5k • 24% for $2.5k - $5k • 5% for $5k - $10k • 0.6% for $10k - $40k @Beezie Platinum TCG: • 75.08% for $250 - $500 • 21.09% for $501 - $1.5k • 3.35% for $1.5k – $5k • 0.32% for $5k - $10k • 0.16% for $10k+ TLDR: • Courtyard has a much higher floor. Most outcomes are around the $1.4k to $5k pricing • Beezie is much more bottom-heavy. About 75% of outcomes are only $250 - $500 (using $500 spend) • Courtyard seems to have the better chance at a true grail hit: 0.6% for $10k - $40k v.s Beezie’s 0.16% for $10k+ • So Beezie is cheaper to enter. But Courtyard has a much higher floor and higher grail odds too Not saying one protocol is better than the other, merely inviting discussion to focus on the actual mechanisms here. More people need to learn how to read odds. Otherwise they’ll keep reacting to headlines instead of understanding the product.

It’s essentially a 1-of-4 box — though it’s very likely the other three were opened over time. Back then, Pokémon awarded these to Worlds winners for a few years before discontinuing the practice. Typically 1–4 winners received sealed master boxes of the four most recent sets. Prize details (2014 example): pokemon.com/us/play-pokemo… Leonhart has featured the other known boxes in his Top 10 Rarest Pokémon Items: youtu.be/xw26U04E2_8?fe…