Johnson T

They keep telling you everyone is bearish on $BTC and that everyone is shorting. That couldn’t be further from the truth. Delta is extended green, and we’ve had 8 consecutive green daily candles. I’ve seen this movie before. Just when people start believing we’re "back", the entire move gets erased in a few red candles. People keep saying, “Killa, you’re a perma bear.” No, I’m not. It just so happens I created my account during the final year of the bull run. Believe me, you’ll know when I’m net long for new ATHs. Right now just isn’t that time. People are too quick to jump the gun, calling bottoms, and months later those tweets get buried. I don’t play that game. Yes, we could extend slightly higher. The 76–78K region is the upper area to watch. But buying there essentially means buying the first bearish retest in a strong macro downtrend. The trend is not bullish. It doesn’t take a genius to see that. The market hunts leverage, that’s its objective. The cartel needs to liquidate traders to make money. The house always wins. Once enough liquidity builds below, they’ll erase this artificial move up like it never happened. You call it strength. It isn’t. It’s an orchestrated TWAP bid designed to distribute into limit sells when the time is right. The big players, the hedge funds, have been shorting since 120K. Yet all it takes is a 10–20% bounce for people to start calling for targets 20–30% higher than their previous ones. It’s a shame. The same thing happened at 120K when people were calling for 150K. I remember the names. The same thing happened at 96K when people were calling for 100–104K. And now it’s happening again, with people calling for 80–85K.

突发❗️一名被击落F15的飞行员已经获救，据以色列电台报道。 拯救部队，就是奇袭委内瑞拉总统府，美国国会获奖的特种作战航空部队Night Stalkers。 还有另外一名，希望当地伊朗人民帮助或者我们美军先找到。如果成功那么下一报复目标地面部队近期夺Kharg岛。 God bless America 🙏

让威胁可信的，不是你的实力，是你让自己没有退路的能力。 之前为何涨，现在为何跌，后面怎么走，投资怎么做？特朗普讲话独家深度解读。 最核心的一句话不是把伊朗打回“石器时代”的升级，而是第一次从博弈角度，公开在全国讲话明确退出条件说穿了》 美国的核心目标是打残伊朗的军事与核能力，不是替全球把霍尔木兹永远守着。公开讲话从博弈角度就是最可信承诺，欧洲/亚洲/海湾国家，从这一刻起必须重新定价自己要承担的责任，不要想着搭便车，因为"美国永远兜底"这个假设已经被公开撤销了。 这一句话之所以值钱，是因为资本市场过去最压估值的东西，不是伊朗本身，而是美国被焊死在一条无限责任链上。 先打仗再护航。先摧毁再维持。替盟友流血替盟友买单。欧洲犹豫亚洲观望，美国帮你们打这种核武器洲际导弹滥杀自己国民的恐怖主义伊斯兰政府，然后自己扛着油价、通胀和政治反噬，全世界道德婊装傻充愣。 过去这两天大幅反弹，涨的就是这条链被公开切断的概率。当然不是停战/和平，而是自己之前无限的责任外包红利。 但第二笔账，在于特朗普讲话完，市场意识到至少近期2/3周还要可能“极度hard”，退出条件虽然公开了，但兑现之前，先来的是更凶的一轮打击。所以空头继续打压股指和做多石油。 但本质上这是一个时间线上的故事没啥矛盾，远端，美国长期锁死在霍尔木兹的概率下降了，白天定价这个；美国短期再打一轮的概率上升了，夜盘补上这个。前者压缩长期风险溢价，后者重定价近端战争溢价。两件事都是真的，只是发生在不同时间维度上。 这里最容易犯的错，是情绪性地过度定价近端。 当长期路径已经被公开承诺锚定，近端的砸盘就改变了性质。它不再是路径反转的信号，而是一次流动性事件。短期资金在恐慌里出货，制造波动，然后离场。这个过程会很难受，但它不移动中线的锚点。 公开承诺的战略价值就在这里体现。特朗普已经把退出条件钉在那里了。只要这个结构没有被推翻，每一次因近端火力重估而砸出来的下跌，对中线持仓者来说，都是更好位置机会，不是更差。 问题从来不是要不要在恐慌里卖出。是要分清楚，你卖掉的是趋势，还是卖在别人最恐慌、流动性最差的那一刻。 具体的全景战争走势终局演变推演分析，以及投资/仓位/价格/的策略，以及对订阅者颗粒度更精细的分析，见评论链接。或者到article 去 按照时间线阅读，获取完整的picture。

Also, you can trade Gold & Silver on Binance.

Crystal Weekly Drops | Phase 4 is here! Phase 4 keeps the momentum going with loyalty rewards for our most dedicated community members. Whether you're joining us for the first time or have been with us since Phase 1, there's a reward tier designed for you. 📌 Phase 4 Details - Dates: Jan 12, 00:00 UTC – Jan 18, 23:59 UTC - Prize Pool: Up to $2M USDF (unlocked by total trading volume) ✅ Eligibility (all 3 required) 1. Hold ≥444 $ASTER throughout Phase 4 (Spot + Perp accounts combined) 2. Trade on ≥6 days, hitting daily: ≥$100K Perp volume (double-sided, eligible pairs only) 3. Meet minimum position size on those 6 days with ≥1 order per day: - ASTER / BNB / HYPE: $30K notional - Other pairs (excl. BTC & ETH): $10K notional 🎁 Prize Distribution The prize pool is split into 3 reward tiers to recognize loyalty. Eligible addresses receive rewards from multiple tiers based on participation history: 🌟 60% - Base Reward Pool All Phase 4 eligible addresses share this pool equally 💎 20% - Returning Trader Bonus Additional rewards for addresses eligible in (Phase 1 OR Phase 2 OR Phase 3) + Phase 4 👑 20% - Loyal Trader Bonus Additional rewards for addresses eligible in Phase 1 AND Phase 2 AND Phase 3 AND Phase 4 🧠 How It Works - New in Phase 4 → Base Reward only - Eligible in 1 previous phase + Phase 4 → Base + Returning Bonus - Eligible in all phases (1, 2, 3, 4) → Base + Returning Bonus + Loyal Bonus Pool Unlock Tiers (based on platform-wide Perp volume) 🔸 <$100B: $1M 🔸 ≥$100B: $1.5M 🔸 ≥$150B: $2M Key Notes - Perps only (BTC & ETH excluded) - Track progress: App → Portfolio - Rewards: USDF paid within 7 business days to your Perp account - Only Crystal Weekly Drops phases (Phase 1, 2, 3, 4) count toward participation history. Double Harvest phases are not included in loyalty calculations at this time.