Josh Engleman

DFS projections, model plays, betting slips, and sports analytics. All the data from @JoshEngleman in one place. Numbers here. Takes over there.

C — NBA Top play: Rudy Gobert (MIN) — 34.4 proj, $6.6K Projections via @Stokastic

PF — NBA Top play: Julius Randle (MIN) — 40.7 proj, $7.7K Best value: Naz Reid — 31.1 proj at $5.5K (5.7x) Projections via @Stokastic

NBA DraftKings Cheat Sheet — NBA 109 players, 6 games Top value: Ayo Dosunmu ($4,700, 30.0 proj) Top leverage: Kevin Huerter (29% own, 48% optimal) Projections via @Stokastic

Tier 6 — 8 players Josh Hart (NYK) leads 📊 29% win rate | 31.9 proj | 41.7 avg winning score 📈 Ceiling: 38.5 | Floor: 25.3

Tier 5 — 7 players Jalen Suggs (ORL) leads 📊 25% win rate | 35.2 proj | 46.2 avg winning score 📈 Ceiling: 42.4 | Floor: 28.1 Tight tier — Suggs, Gobert, Knueppel all viable.

NBA DraftKings Tiers — 6 tiers, 36 players, 10K sims per tier. Highest win rate: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (35%, Tier 1) Projections via @Stokastic Full breakdown 👇

DK Tiers 03/13 // Tier 6 Jabari Smith Jr. holds the edge at 24.5% win probability (proj 30, ceil 37). Jakob Poeltl is next at 20.8%, 3.7 pts back. Olivier-Maxence Prosper rounds it out at 3.8%.

DK Tiers 03/13 // Tier 5 Reed Sheppard edges out Jalen Green at 20.2% win probability (proj 31, ceil 38). Jalen Green is next at 19.9%, razor thin. Gregory Jackson rounds it out at 6.1%.

DK NBA Tiers 03/13 // Win Probabilities Cade Cunningham is the slate's clearest edge at 39.4% in T1 with a 15.6-pt gap over Jalen Brunson. T5 is a coin flip: Reed Sheppard (20.2%) vs Jalen Green (19.9%).