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@tradingNQdaily @DeItaone Oil shocks and wars create deflation, not inflation...

@DeItaone Watch TLT here. If bonds do not bid on a Middle East escalation this size, the market is telling you inflation fear is overriding safe-haven demand. That is a much harder macro environment than just an oil shock.

*IRAN LAUNCHES NEW WAVE OF MISSILES TOWARD ISRAEL: IRIB

@SuppressedNws1 Big news dude...

⚡️Israeli soldiers stole a Palestinian child’s bicycle, leaving him crying in distress.

@Chris1966 @SuppressedNws1 Good luck getting them in before bombed

@SuppressedNws1 What will he do if Russia, China or North Korea place nuclear weapons on Iranian soil?

⚡️🇮🇱JUST IN: Israeli PM Netanyahu says he spoke to trump and will continue attacking Iran. “Earlier today, I spoke with our friend President Trump. President Trump believes there is an opportunity to leverage the tremendous achievements we have attained with the U.S. military to realize the war objectives in the agreement—an agreement that will safeguard our vital interests. At the same time, we continue to strike both in Iran and in Lebanon. We are crushing the missile program and the nuclear program, and continuing to inflict severe blows on Hezbollah. Just days ago, we eliminated two more nuclear scientists—and the hand is still outstretched. We will safeguard our vital interests in any scenario.”

@lhyx16 @jotunfo @FinanceFilosoof @INArteCarloDoss Temporary market pumping noise Strikes and troops arriving soon

@KOTPtrader @jotunfo @FinanceFilosoof @INArteCarloDoss 😂

Desperation stage. No one is joining a war that is both baseless legally and has negative support among voters

@lhyx16 @jotunfo @FinanceFilosoof @INArteCarloDoss Still talking? Wheres the TACO

@KOTPtrader @jotunfo @FinanceFilosoof @INArteCarloDoss The US ≠ its private sector. Government pursues strategy. Capital pursues profit. Money is moving east, central banks are selling UST's, China is pushing the yuan, and the US is stepping back from the Middle East. Trump reprisents the private sector.

@Mio_Mind Lmao place a random marker in india on google maps and repeat untill it doesn't look like a public toilet

We now have Indian guys telling Europeans they don’t have tech and we suck. Unbelievable. Totally delusional. Everybody loves hating Europe. Actually not a bad position to be in.

According to the left, videos before the year 2000 are "right-wing propaganda." They actually just don't want you to remember what they stole from us.

@investinguab @commonsenseplay Inflation? 😂 I'll buy the inflation trade after my bonds spiked 40% and your gold dropped 30%.

@KOTPtrader @commonsenseplay No I don’t which is why I am not holding $TLT. The Fed has zero control over the long end of the curve. Thus, if I expect inflation I expect the long end to rise regardless of whether the Fed cuts the short end. You all will learn eventually.

My target is $120 but $135 is possible. $TLT

@investinguab @commonsenseplay Oh Gosh... It's sad to see how many financially illiterate people believe the FED holds power over rates. Do you think rates go up in a global economic contraction? Do you think a little FED puppet will decide to hike rates when the entire economy contracts? You're mind controlld

@KOTPtrader @commonsenseplay Sure the decoupling of the Gold Standard in 1972 played a role but again Bonds only rose in 1971-1972 because Burns cut rates. In case you are unaware, Rates have to drop for the present value of a bond to rise. I’m not sure the TLT bag holders understand basic fundamentals

@investinguab @commonsenseplay Oof, another one that doesn't get it. The Jewish AI won't educate you so I have to, I guess. Bretton Woods and the decoupling of a fixed gold price. First comes a month or 2 of higher CPI prints due to oil prices. Then comes a deflationary bust. Only then comes the FED.

The Federal Reserve, under Chairman Burns, pursued expansionary monetary policy in the early 1970s, including lowering interest rates in the lead-up to the 1972 U.S. presidential election with evidence of political pressure from President Nixon. This occurred amid already rising inflationary pressures. Sound familiar? The S&P 500 peaked in late 1972 (closing around 118–120 in November/December), marking the high point before a severe bear market. Then came the Yom Kippur War (October 1973), fought between Israel and a coalition led by Egypt and Syria (not Iran, which was not a direct participant). In retaliation for U.S. support of Israel, the Arab members of OPEC (OAPEC) imposed an oil embargo starting in October 1973, with production cuts announced earlier that month and the full embargo on the U.S. effective October 19–20. The embargo lasted until March 1974, but oil prices had already quadrupled (from ~$3 to ~$12 per barrel). • Stocks and bonds both declined sharply from late 1972 through 1974. Meanwhile, hard assets performed strongly as inflation hedges: • Gold prices rose dramatically—from around $59–$64 per ounce at the end of 1972 to roughly $100 by end-1973 and over $160–$180 by end-1974 (a gain of more than 150–180% over the period). • Oil prices surged several-fold due to the embargo and production cuts.

@investinguab @commonsenseplay Tell me what happened in 1972, right when those lines turned up rather than down between 71-72

@commonsenseplay @KOTPtrader You guys do realize Long Term bonds did really nothing in the 1970s, correct? Long Term Bonds did worse than Stocks and especially #Gold in the 1970s (1970-1980)

@MtrejoG41242242 @apocalypseos You religious nuts are the whole reason of this war.

@apocalypseos May God have mercy on you because God will never leave Israel👆🏼even if you are not a believer this should give you some chills

Scott Ritter: “If I were the Iranians, I would actually take out Israeli desalination plants now. Right now. End Israel right now. Just end it. Just take it out. End it. Make Israel over. Israel needs to cease to exist. It is literally the cancer on the planet.”

@33CACahouete @Borg_Cryptos True

@Borg_Cryptos Nukes never existed, one of the biggest psyop of human history

🚨 HOLY SHIT USA ARE READY TO USE NUKES AGAINST IRAN TOMORROW !

@investinguab @RyanDetrick Following the FED's rates is looking in the rearview mirror. The FED doesn't control anything. it follows.

@investinguab @RyanDetrick Watch and learn, TLT will go to 140 before end of this year, after oil hits 150 and we enter global recession deflation

The odds of a rate hike over the next three months is now higher than the odds of a cut. A month ago, no one would have believed this.

@commonsenseplay @investinguab Ironically, a chronic oil spike due to supply shock rather than demand increase, means massive deflation and TLT spiking up late Q2/early Q3 this year. Oil shocks don't cause inflation. Money printer does. Just like in 1970s.

@investinguab Man you are going to get crushed on oil, hope you took profits

@ReaderPhx @SwingTraderQ Massive deflation due to oil recession

@SwingTraderQ What will cause it to appreciate so fast?

my target for $TLT is $135 before August

@lhyx16 @jotunfo @FinanceFilosoof @INArteCarloDoss There is no chance to TACO now, that would mean collapse of the US petrodollar empire and Iran taxing entire GCC. This is the entire point. None of both can back off now. Escalation is the only choice.

@KOTPtrader @jotunfo @FinanceFilosoof @INArteCarloDoss TACO incomming 😂

@honzacern1 @MakeGoldGreat Nobody cares about silver right now my guy. Some solar panels or AI infrastructure are the last thing to worry about in a global energy crisis.

@MakeGoldGreat Few... 😄

‼️2 BILLION BARRELS OF OIL IN STRATEGIC RESERVES ACROSS THE US, UK AND CHINA. ‼️RECORD LOW SILVER IN US, UK AND CHINA VAULTS. Forget about the Strait of Hormuz 😂

@DavidD_Chapman China is not in a panic by any means. Not responding is strategic, they don't need to enter the conflict. China gets 2% of its total energy from Iran, which is still flowing in. Meanwhile the US is spending billions a day in a foreign war and all its ME bases getting crushed.

These people are stupid. This war has China in a panic. They don't know how to respond. Their military equipment in Venezuela & Iran failed. Theyve got long lines for gasoline because China gets most of their oil from Venezuela & Iran. But yeah. The US is getting weaker.