🔊 KP 🔊

@PeterSchiff So buy a house with a metal roof?

To make homeownership seem more affordable, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are loosening insurance requirements so policies no longer have to cover the full replacement cost of a roof, only its current value. But when homeowners need a new roof, many may not be able to afford one.

@RyanDetroit313 @StonkChris So sick of reading this everywhere - it’s been the out performer all year, you thinking fading that with oil at $100 is the play? 🤣

@StonkChris So $xle is the play here? Looks extremely overbought 😨

Here’s the bear thesis for $SPY in 2026…just look at the $XLE monthly chart. Fresh all-time high breakout, clearing the previous 2014 highs. The linear scale breakout target sits around $75, and that’s not even the log-scale projection. Let’s just start with the linear target for now. People love to overcomplicate markets, but the playbook here is actually simple: Energy higher ➜ Inflation higher ➜ No rate cuts ➜ Rates stay elevated ➜ Asset prices eventually compress (they drop in price) It’s essentially the same macro script we saw in 2021–2022, no matter how many FinX gurus try to claim “this time it’s different.

$ag huge inflation spike and metals barely react, oh because oil is high and their costs will now be higher??? Give me a break, these mining companies are cash cows right now - #silver

@Mr_Derivatives Calling tops of the strongest sector multi-year breakout - smh 🤦‍♂️

$XLE Is up a record 13 weeks in a row. Closed at yet another ATH today. Seemingly cannot do any wrong. Around $60 it will bump its head against this blue line. Juuuuuuust maybe it can get some profit taking there? We'll see.

@soullshoping @Washigorira exactly, do these kids think?

@Washigorira You think when the oil shortage still going on the price will stopraise up because of the RSI 😂

#CrudeOil - Rally losing steam? Weekly RSI now in overbought territory. Price has reached a key profit-taking / short interest zone. A period of consolidation or pullback would not be surprising.

@GDXTrader Its ridiculous as always though as Gold and Silver have held up pretty well... these miners always trade like trash

$AG First Majestic gave us an early warning in the last post we shared below with a hangman candle, a bearish signal that reflected selling pressure near the highs, and that signal was confirmed the following session when price closed below the hangman’s low, creating a bearish pivot. Since then, bears have maintained control and the chart has offered no technical reason to buy, as each bounce has lacked reversal confirmation. By the end of last week, price also lost both the 21 EMA and 50 EMA, reinforcing that short-term momentum has shifted lower and that sellers remain in control until proven otherwise. The next important area is ascending support, where traders will watch to see if buyers can finally defend structure. If you bought $AG this week without understanding the price action, join us at goldeneyeanalysis.com to learn how these signals develop and how to read them. $ABX $AEM $AG $AYA $BVN $CDE $CX $EXK $FNV $FSM $GATO $HL $MAG $NEM $PAAS $SIL $SILJ $SILVER $SLV $SLVP $SKE $SSRM $SVM $XAGUSD

This is turning into another in a long series of sideways consolidations. Ever since the cartel suppression broke back at $2000 ICL's have formed as a sideways churn rather than the usual ABC scary decline that had been the norm for years. I don't think we will have long to wait before this breaks out and the next leg up begins.

@xplosion79 Puts at $60?? GL with that hoss

$XLE The reason could be anything. The chart did what it was suppose to do. Saw this coming in early Feb. Almost at the target. Watching closely for PUTS. Follow for notification

$xle made us wait 10 days, patient grasshopper

@Gzus_trades There u go bud look to short energy in the midst of a middle eastern war…

$xle looking for a rejection at red zone

@AndyNg91036017 Crazy how optimistic the market is on this matter, I mean I want it to workout but war is war

$oxy $xle smart people will buy as much oil as possible releases by G7 as nothing has been resolved. Oil shortage may last for months.

Gold looks ready to break out to new all-time highs again..

@TiltFolio @Ross__Hendricks I agree! Xle already reversing today - I believe it just had to cool off from the strong first 2 months

@Ross__Hendricks Incredible how the market is barely reacting to this news. Not only are stocks broadly holding up, $XLE and $IXC (i.e. US and global energy producers) are down month-to-date here in pre-market. Market may be getting this wrong for now.

That’s 6% of global supply cuts. Not estimated drops in shipping traffic, but actual production cuts. Which will take weeks to reverse even when we finally get the “all clear” signal For perspective, the 1973 oil embargoes cut 7% of global supply, and launched a 400% #oil price rally that led to a decade of stagflation

@Alpha_Mickey_X Dude XLE didn’t even go up what is it unwinding from?

<Oil prices crashed with 40%+ intraday swings on Trump declaring the war is basically over — this is the kind of volatility that wrecks overleveraged energy longs. If peace actually holds, $XLE and $COP have a lot more downside as the war premium unwinds completely.>

@traderhc Market is wrong and oil equities will push eventually, maybe this week

Oil is up 28% this quarter. Energy stocks are up 8%. That 20-point gap is the market making a very loud statement. When $XLE refuses to chase crude higher, equities are pricing the oil spike as a temporary supply shock. A geopolitical tax on the economy, not a windfall for producers. The dollar confirms it. Oil and the dollar are moving together right now. That only happens in supply shocks. Demand-driven oil rallies weaken the dollar. This one isn't. So either energy equities are the smartest discounting mechanism in the market, correctly fading a price that reverses by summer. Or they're sitting on 28% unrealized revenue upside that hasn't been priced in yet. If crude holds through Q2, that gap closes violently to the upside. Which side of this trade are you on?

Investors seem to be assuming a short and successful war. While that would be the ideal outcome, I think the probability is low. Once the markets start to price in a more pessimistic outcome, stocks, bonds, crypto, and the dollar will be much lower, and oil and gold much higher.

Gold is a whisker away from a new all-time closing high. Any buy below $120 in silver is a gift. smartmoneytrackerpremium.com

@BeardoTrader This is the monthly squeeze firing north, we have more legs on this move bud

I don't know who needs to hear this, but the time to get long energy was in December, not when $CL has pumped 40% YTD and “analysts” are calling for $100 a barrel. $XLE

@ChartsRUs0 I am with you here looks identical - and why would $xle not go higher with oil surging… wars don’t end in a week or two

$XLE (D) Pay attention to that volume spike, know when to push and when not to.

$xle looks like the same setup as the 1st of the year - I believe we heading north folks, it was too obvious Sunday night which is why it’s pulling back here but set to launch 🚀 $uso