Kevin Carden

Does moltbot recursively converge like the mutt dog effect (e.g. go to the Bahamas and you’ll see 1000 dogs that could be clones)? Or is there some evolutionary pressure within the framework that creates emergent behaviors?

This is the greatest argument I’ve heard for why electric vehicles are better than gasoline-powered cars.

We should use this decade to deploy mature clean energy technologies as rapidly as possible and to develop the technologies we will need to decarbonize the rest of the economy in decades to come. We should spend a lot more money on the former. Its not that complicated people.

This thread is so good, and speaks not just to the trajectory of AI, but software more generally. My competitors think throwing more compute at crappy algorithms is a long term solution. Software advances are inherently self limiting and require continued investment.

A journalist trick that I think could help a lot of people in their real life is to fearlessly ask “dumb” questions and ask people to explain what they mean when you sincerely don’t know what they’re saying.

On The Climate Brink, @hausfath shows exactly how hot this summer has been. It's staggering. theclimatebrink.com/p/visualizing-…

pretty crazy: - container ships burn fuels that emit a lot of sulfur - the sulfur seeds clouds, increasing the reflectivity of earth, cooling it - new climate rules in 2020 limit sulfur emissions by cargo ships - a lack of ship-clouds may explain anomalous heating this year

Small molecule oral cancer drug kills 100% of solid tumors across 70 evaluated cancer types in vitro and in animal models with a therapeutic index of 6 and no discernible side effects Phase 1 trials now underway cell.com/cell-chemical-…

The progress China has made in renewable energy just THIS YEAR makes the entire rest of the world look like it's standing still. I wrote in December that to call China the "world leader in renewable energy" was a colossal understatement. That’s even more true today. Thread 🧵

after 5 years of hard work in any job, you’ll accumulate 10,000 hours of practice, and be an expert/master the fact that most people leave gigs before that point is self-sabotaging—it’s only after 5 years you start getting good most people’s attention span is simply too short

A 1-7,400,000 chance. Maybe this climate change thing is real after all. #txlege

In this instance, FOX News is correct. #txlege #energytwitter

Need to pump the brakes a bit on this. "Bad" heat pumps are actually responsible for most of the recent grid reliability risk because they require resistance heating backup. "Good" heat pumps (cold-rated) don't have the same issues, but total install cost is still 2x a "bad" HP

A mark of maturity is surrendering to the person you actually are instead of the one you wish you were. Most people never get such clarity, and they’re stunted for life. The decision to surrender to your gifts is more painful than you’d think. You can’t really choose what you’re able to be excellent at because nobody has a say over the hand that nature deals. (Unfortunately, I’ll never become a professional golfer.) Instead, if you’re going to be world-class, you have to align yourself with your fingerprint. In our insanely competitive world, surrendering to your talents is your only chance at becoming world-class at what you do. I think less than 10% of people ever surrender to who they really are. They spend their whole lives trying to fulfill a fake and manufactured image. And so, they get trapped in hollow careers and meaningless pursuits where they’re forced to be somebody they’re not — the stuff of a cold and haunting misery. Surrender is terrifying at first. It comes with a loss of control. Chances are, you’ll disappoint your parents, teachers, and probably even yourself. The vision you had for your future won’t come true because that vision was predicated on the person you wish you were, not the person you actually are. But here's the thing: What feels like the death of your dreams is actually the birth of something much more profound. There's ease on the other side of surrender. The flow of effortlessness is waiting for the alignment of your mind, body, and spirit — when you’re simultaneously surprising yourself and doing everything that would’ve made your 8-year-old self proud. Surrender to your nature.

Looking forward to a great panel tomorrow on capacity accreditation, and RA considerations in generation and transmission expansion planning with David Patton of Potomac and Aubrey Johnson of MISO.

@mrbig_panda I don't have anything formal, but I may get someone on my staff to pull together a summary

@Kdcarden Hi Interesting Do you have some reference about this ?

The only common misconception he doesn't address is the impact on the grid. While I'm cautious about some electrification (heating in particular), I'm rather sanguine about the grid's ability to absorb EV charging load from even the most optimistic growth forecasts.

@NiyerClimate It'll be interesting to see how charging infrastructure will evolve too to capture TOU arbitrage.

@Kdcarden I also think folks will get smarter about charging times. If folks start to understand (or automated charging times) that power is cheap in the middle of the day, thats easy load shifting. It would be less than $10 per fill-up for most folks if TOU is done well.

@joannakgardias Sanguine = optimistic