Kenny retweetledi
Kenny
9.4K posts
@MBCommunity1 @c_danny30942 @MaccasValueBets Don't even correct these guys. Let them spout their nonsense to help keep liquidity on the lay 😂
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Is the Super Boost value today?
❌I’m avoiding it.
A quick breakdown shows multiple negative EV legs stacked together.
1️⃣ Joelinton to commit a foul
My model prices this at 1.24 fair odds, which is 10 clicks above what the bookies are offering. No edge.
2️⃣ Bruno Fernandes to commit a foul
This is the biggest issue. The bookies price it at 1.50, but my numbers make it closer to 1.95.
3️⃣ Both teams to receive a card
This market has proper two sided pricing across bookmakers, so we can trust the market's expected cards here. After removing margin, 1.25 de-viggs to 1.30 fair odds.
Now combine the fair prices:
1.24 × 1.95 × 1.30 = 3.14
You could argue there’s slight positive correlation between fouls and cards, but it’s unlikely to move the fair price much here. Even accounting for that, the boost still lands around 3.1 fair.
No value.
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Kenny retweetledi
Kenny retweetledi
Kenny retweetledi
It’s an absolute disgrace that Maccabi Tel Aviv fans won’t be allowed to attend Villa Park to watch their team play😡
I say let them in then, once the game is finished, lock the doors for 2 years, close the food stalls, cut the electricity and flatten their homes. Fair’s fair🤷♂️
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Kenny retweetledi
“We must all be able to debate freely and openly” is crazy coming from a man who arrested over 1.3k in a month for holding pieces of cardboard that said genocide is bad.
Keir Starmer@Keir_Starmer
My thoughts this evening are with the loved ones of Charlie Kirk. It is heartbreaking that a young family has been robbed of a father and a husband. We must all be free to debate openly and freely without fear - there can be no justification for political violence.
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Kenny retweetledi
Kenny retweetledi
©️aptain ©️uddihy
@Barry_Cuddihy
Clyde FC@ClydeFC
2️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ - Barry Cuddihy was presented with a special shirt to mark his 200th Bully Wee appearance in the presence of his family and teammates before this afternoon’s game. Barry is just the 2nd player in the last 30 years to reach this milestone, and 59th in the club's history 👏
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Kenny retweetledi
Kenny retweetledi
If unions are so bad….why do companies and governments go out of there way to restrict what you/we do?.
Because the workers are the union and the workers together are a unstoppable force for better pay and better conditions. You have the power, realise it join a union. ✊🏽
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📝 We are pleased to announce that Barry Cuddihy has agreed a new deal for the 2022-23 season
Barry is our longest serving players with 169 appearances so far and will now enter his sixth season with club
➡️ clydefc.co.uk/news/2022/07/0…
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Kenny retweetledi
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Kenny retweetledi
Kevin & Perry Go Large is 22 years old today 🎂
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Kenny retweetledi
