KingSizeSmile

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KingSizeSmile

@KingSizeSmile

Katılım Aralık 2024
94 Takip Edilen122 Takipçiler
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Tracker
Tracker@EWTracker·
$TSLA I've circled a previous time period where price action became highly irregular before a big push higher. Claude Code and I discussed this together. "Both circled zones share the same structural signature: 2019-2020 (lower circle): Price consolidated at the 0.618 LRT octave (~$46) with highly irregular swings for ~6 months before launching the $25→$414 impulse. 2024-2025 (upper circle): Price consolidating at the 1.000 LRT octave ($498.83 ATH) with the same choppy, irregular character — wide swings between $138 and $498 for ~18 months. The parallel is structurally exact: prolonged consolidation AT a key octave level, characterized by high-amplitude swings that fail to resolve in either direction. In our framework that's: - Cascade: massive branch resolution activity (resolution_acceleration = 0.32, 8 recent breaks) — branches are closing fast - Entropy: high regime ambiguity (multiple valid wave interpretations) preceding the crystallization moment - Pond Model: destructive interference between wave systems — the chop IS the superposition, and when one system dominates, the breakout follows The cascade projections already show where this resolves: W5 targets at $553 (64%, LRT-aligned) and $687 (40%) if the impulse from $138 completes — which would be the "big push higher" equivalent of the 2020 launch from the 0.618 level into the 1.0 level. This time it would be from 1.0 into the 1.114-1.236 octave ($1,013-$2,162)." I've been using Claude Code in counterpoint with Hermes-Agent (powered by SuperGrok) to realize a years-long goal: I'm currently in the early Beta phase of an Autonomous Technical Analysis website, trained on every TA tool of significance I use, to surface confluences of technical agreement on projected future price swings of resistance and support. In short, I'm building a TA Terminator, that never stops, never gets tired, never sleeps. And can draw charts even better than I can. I'll have more to announce on this later as the tools mature out of early Beta. This is the main reason I've been so quiet in 2026 on X. I've simply been coding like a madman for the last five months.
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Micro2Macr0
Micro2Macr0@Micro2Macr0·
$DRAM is close to breaking out again. I still expect memory to be able to double again this year.
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KingSizeSmile
KingSizeSmile@KingSizeSmile·
@Micro2Macr0 Big fan of DRAM and MU both! 19% of my stock portfolio! Thank you @Micro2Macr0 for your pounding of the table on these early and often!!
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₿itcoin∞₿ull.HODL.⚡ ∞/21M
$ASST is going to 25x from here over the next few years. And then it will go even 🟩👆
Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv

🚀ASST MOON MATH🚀 Picture this, kids. Bitcoin starts at $77,492 today. Strive owns 15,390.7 BTC. ASST trades at $18.53. Current amplification ratio: 43.9%. Now run the machine. Assume Strive buys 500 BTC per trading day using SATA once daily dividends are here. That's only 2,500 Bitcoin per week. Nothing crazy. That means SATA preferred outstanding grows, BTC stack grows, and the company keeps the amplification ratio locked at today’s 43.9%. To keep the machine balanced, ASST sells enough common to offset the preferred leverage and fund the 13% annual SATA dividend. The capital from SATA goes straight into Bitcoin. The common issuance keeps the structure from getting too top-heavy. The result is a BTC acquisition flywheel stapled to a tiny equity denominator. In this scenario, the Strive adds ~123,052 BTC over 5 years with common stock ASST issuance. Using CEBE math, current common equity effectively owns about 10,358 BTC after senior claims. That is roughly 14,085 CEBE sats per basic share. Now assume Bitcoin compounds at 30% CAGR. No heroic BTC supercycle fantasy. No $1 million Bitcoin tomorrow. Just 30% annual BTC growth and 500 BTC per trading day getting absorbed into Strive’s balance sheet like a financial Roomba eating the global bond market’s anxiety medication. Projection: Year 1: BTC: $100,739 ASST BTC stack: 264,006 BTC CEBE sats/share: 44,132 ASST: $75.48 Year 2: BTC: $130,961 ASST BTC stack: 455,249 BTC CEBE sats/share: 58,458 ASST: $129.97 Year 3: BTC: $170,250 ASST BTC stack: 602,359 BTC CEBE sats/share: 69,611 ASST: $201.20 Year 4: BTC: $221,325 ASST BTC stack: 740,174 BTC CEBE sats/share: 80,463 ASST: $302.34 Year 5: BTC: $287,722 ASST BTC stack: 909,238 BTC CEBE sats/share: 93,023 ASST: $454.40 Starting ASST price: $18.53 Five-year modeled ASST price: $454.40 That is a 24.5x. Bitcoin does 3.7x in the same model. ASST outperforms Bitcoin by roughly 6.6x. Why? Because the magic is not only BTC price appreciation. The magic is CEBE sats per share. Current CEBE sats/share: 14,085 Modeled year-five CEBE sats/share: 93,023 That is the entire thesis. The common shareholder is riding Bitcoin plus a preferred-funded accumulation engine plus a tiny denominator plus capital structure torque. Now what if they buy more than 2,500 Bitcoin per week? What if we get a BITCOIN SUPERCYCLE? ARE YOU STARTING TO SEE WHERE THIS IS GOING? STRIVE IS GOING TO RETIRE MY BLOODLINE:

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KingSizeSmile
KingSizeSmile@KingSizeSmile·
@LeopoldATracker Just started following you today. In the last 2 weeks Ive already added IREN, CLSK, BE, AMD, ASML, NVDA, AMD and more MU. Today I’ll add KEEL, HIVE and SHAZ. Really appreciate your success and transparency!
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Leopold Stock Tracker
Leopold Stock Tracker@LeopoldATracker·
Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness LP 13F Filing: Key Updates and Strategic Shifts Leopold Aschenbrenner’s latest 13F filing reveals a continued high-conviction focus on the critical bottlenecks underpinning the AI buildout: power, compute, and the evolving role of Bitcoin miners as next-generation AI infrastructure providers. New Positions Added: $TE — $43.9M $HIVE — $6.4M $SHAZ — $18.0M $INTC — $8.9M $AMD — $20.1M $SMH — $10.3M $TSM — $7.5M $MU — $5.8M $ASML — $6.1M $GLW — $718K $NVDA — $497K Existing Positions Increased: The fund added to $KEEL, $CLSK, $RIOT, $IREN, $APLD, $BTDR, $CRWV, and $SNDK, reinforcing Aschenbrenner’s core thesis that Bitcoin miners are successfully repurposing their power assets and facilities into high-value infrastructure for AI data centers. Positions Trimmed: The fund selectively trimmed $SEI, $CORZ, and $BE, realizing profits and reallocating capital into miners that are further along in their transition to AI infrastructure providers. Positions Exited: Full exits from $COHR, $LBRT, $TSEM, $HUT, $LITE, $KRC, and $EQT suggest these positions had largely reached fair value relative to the fund’s current opportunity set. Options Activity New Put Positions: The fund opened put positions on $NVDA, $ORCL, $SMH, $AMD, $INTC, $AVGO, $MU, $TSM, $ASML, and $GLW to hedge portfolio exposure and tactically short technology names that appear overvalued. Call Positions: New call positions were initiated in $MU, $TSM, and $SNDK, reflecting increased conviction in the memory and storage segment, while $CRWV call exposure was reduced. Unchanged Positions: $BE calls $INFY puts Closed Positions: $EQT calls Strategic Takeaway: This filing highlights a deliberate, infrastructure-first investment strategy centered on the foundational layers of the AI economy: power generation, energy storage, semiconductors, and data center capacity. At the heart of this thesis is the view that Bitcoin miners are uniquely positioned to become critical infrastructure providers for AI data centers by leveraging their existing access to large-scale power, land, and operational expertise. At the same time, the fund is tactically hedging its exposure to richly valued semiconductor names while maintaining targeted upside through selective call positions. The Bitcoin miner-to-AI data center thesis remains firmly intact, and this 13F demonstrates that Aschenbrenner is positioning aggressively to capitalize on it. Follow @LeopoldATracker for more institutional portfolio insights and AI infrastructure analysis.
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