KLRTactics

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KLRTactics

KLRTactics

@KlrTactics

trading, special sits, value investment ideas..(not investing advice) objectivist philosophy and common sense.

Toronto Katılım Aralık 2015
770 Takip Edilen208 Takipçiler
Richard Moglen
Richard Moglen@RichardMoglen·
We're adding some options to @Deepvue RMV pivots so that you can: 1. Merge pivots that are close together into 1 pivot 2. Keep drawing the pivot until a breakout threshold Example with $ARM.
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Doug Casey's International Man
The 10-year Treasury yield is perhaps the most important financial benchmark in the global fiat system, as it drives valuations and market trends worldwide. It is widely—and erroneously—regarded as the risk-free rate of return. The 10-year Treasury yield can be thought of as a key barometer of the US dollar-based fiat system—a critical measure akin to its beating heart. Bond yields move inversely to bond prices. When bond prices fall, bond yields rise. A rising 10-year Treasury yield signals trouble for the US dollar because it means investors are selling Treasuries, which pushes up the US government’s borrowing costs. That is why the 10-year Treasury yield is a major pain point for the US government. The 10-year Treasury yield was 3.97% when the war started. Now it is around 4.60%, an increase of roughly 63 basis points. I expect the 10-year Treasury yield to keep climbing over the coming weeks and months—until it forces the Fed’s hand. At that point, the intervention will be sold as “stability,” but the mechanism will be familiar: suppress yields by debasing the currency. At today’s debt levels, every 1 basis point increase in the government’s average borrowing cost adds roughly $3.9 billion in annual interest expense. So a 63 bps rise is not trivial—it translates to nearly $250 billion in additional yearly interest costs, materially widening a 2025 budget deficit that was already around $1.8 trillion. Higher yields mean the US government must pay tens or even hundreds of billions more in interest on its debt. At the same time, the global economy faces even greater added costs because Treasury rates serve as the benchmark for borrowing worldwide. That is not an insignificant move. However, given all the headwinds I have discussed, I suspect the 10-year Treasury yield is headed much higher because investors will demand higher yields to compensate for rising inflation. Further, if Hormuz remains closed, drastically higher oil prices are all but certain. Higher energy prices mean higher prices across the economy and higher official inflation rates, which means investors will demand still higher yields to compensate. The problem is that interest on the federal debt is already over $1.2 trillion and is now the second-largest item in the budget. The US government cannot afford yields going much higher because the interest expense would push it toward bankruptcy. I am not sure how—or even if—the US government can manage this situation. Something has to give, and we will not have to wait long to find out what. The Iran war may prove to be more than another foreign policy disaster. It could be the trigger that exposes the fragility of the entire dollar-based financial system.
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Trader Z
Trader Z@TraderZ·
@AOTtrades Like this look. Lots of easy money trades out there today popping up.
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KLRTactics
KLRTactics@KlrTactics·
@TraderZ The Pink MA on your chart what time frame is that?
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Trader Z
Trader Z@TraderZ·
$SPY and $QQQ testing and undercutting yesterdays lows. If that manages to hold for a bit here I would imagine todays HOD gets taken out later in the day.
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KLRTactics
KLRTactics@KlrTactics·
$BB green...?
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KLRTactics@KlrTactics·
@AOTtrades 👀 at $AOSL bouncing a bit...filling the gap
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KLRTactics
KLRTactics@KlrTactics·
calling the top here...wife and her girlfriends are talking about stock ideas!!!!!!!!!😂😂😂
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KLRTactics
KLRTactics@KlrTactics·
$MRAM just turned green...what a beast
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i manage risk
i manage risk@i_manage_risk·
Hello everyone, another free gift for you! My sector google sheet that is broken down into all 11 sectors, contains all stocks greater than $1bn in market cap. Gives you RS rating, theme/group, ADR%, Extension from the 50sma, ATR%, Liquidity, Avg $ vol docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
i manage risk tweet mediai manage risk tweet mediai manage risk tweet media
i manage risk@i_manage_risk

Lots of talk about sector rotation, no evidence so far. $XLK dominates. $XLE $XLY were unable to push harder, lets see if $XLI has a better chance, I am seeing nice industrial charts

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Jason
Jason@3PeaksTrading·
A nice dip Monday sets up a possible TACO Tuesday into Cinco de Mayo?
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CryptoSoulz
CryptoSoulz@SoulzBTC·
Claude Trading Folder I’ve compressed the best trading prompts into one PDF Get it for FREE: • Like + Repost + Comment “TRADING” • Follow me so I can DM you
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PoetWarrior
PoetWarrior@poetwarrior88·
@3PeaksTrading @sports_T_S Jason, I've always valued your perspective as well as Joe's. Unfortunately Joe got too political. Everyone has the right to their own viewpoint. I finally got tired of it and called him out, so the crybaby blocked me... Jason, if you start a service, I'm in!!!
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KLRTactics
KLRTactics@KlrTactics·
Mike D still has it🔥
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