Jesús Enrique Rosas

Everyone is watching to see if Mohammed bin Salman signs a deal with Israel, but that is the wrong thing to watch. For years MBS sold the world a modernizing Saudi Arabia, women driving, cities rising out of the desert, Western money pouring in. That MBS wants the deal. It fits the brochure perfectly. But MBS built that modern Saudi Arabia as a one man show. No elections, no real opposition, no safety valve when people get angry. So the whole thing rests on one trade. He hands his people prosperity and pride, and in return they let him hold every lever. That is the bargain MBS made. Signing with Israel right after a war, with those people almost entirely against it, spends the pride he was selling them. So forget yes or no. Watch which MBS shows up to answer: The one who wants to open Saudi Arabia to the world, or the one who knows his own people will turn on him if he goes too far. Trump put the ball in MBS’s court on purpose. Now everyone gets to see who is holding it.

Let's talk about Cuba. Take away the Soviet checks, the Venezuelan oil, the Chinese rescue boats and the Iranian friends. What is actually left? An island with nothing to sell and nobody left to pay the bill. No oil worth seizing. No industry worth taking. No strategic mineral buried under the sugarcane. By every material measure that a normal country is judged on, Cuba leads nowhere. It is a sixty year money sink that bled every patron foolish enough to adopt it, and then outlived them. So you might be asking, why has Trump set his sights on it? Why is Marco Rubio counting the minutes like a man watching the last grains run out of an hourglass he flipped over himself? Why are they even bothering? Not for what's under the ground, for sure. There's nothing under the ground. They're going after what's above it. Because Cuba was never a country to the people who ran it. It was a billboard. The single surviving advertisement that filthy communism could plant itself ninety miles from the most powerful nation on earth and refuse to die. That was the whole product. Not sugar. Not rum. Not nickel. The export *was* the communism. Cuba sold the world a story that communism could outlast America, and for sixty years it kept that story on life support so every campus radical and every jungle guerrilla and every tin pot revolutionary had a poster to point at, while the island was crumbling under the weight of the Castro regime. That propaganda abomination is about to die and I, for one, couldn't be happier about it. You cannot sell the dream of the worker's paradise while the workers cook on firewood in the street and the hospitals run on flashlights. What is collapsing on Cuba, besides the buildings and the barely functioning cars, is the last functioning piece of evidence that the filthiest idea of the last century ever worked anywhere. Cuba's only real export was communism, and it's about to be permanently discontinued. And the world will be lighter for it.

This is the biggest PR coup Anthropic could ever have imagined. And I mean that seriously. Let me explain. Aside from the fact that Anthropic is very good at presenting itself as a corporation, the recent hiring of Andrej Karpathy marked a new high point. Anthropic is showing the world that it not only employs the best researchers, but also, and especially, those who are popular within the community. However, Anthropic also thrives on its self-imposed moral standards, some of which literally come at a price that Anthropic has repeatedly paid. As is well known, Anthropic recently had serious problems with the Department of War regarding the use of Claude for autonomous weapons. Anthropic refused, and OpenAI and Google were awarded the contract; Anthropic was designated a supply chain risk. This moral standing, however, is something Anthropic has always emphasized. Whether it's Dario Amodei repeatedly warning of the dangers of the massive wave of unemployment (which they themselves are causing), or the potential for AI to be instrumentalized for wars. This moral stance is now paying off handsomely. The head of the Catholic Church, with its 1.4 billion members, has thanked Anthropic and announced an ethical collaboration. Church members are, by definition, moral people who live according to the ethical principles of their faith. The Pope has now consecrated a single AI company as ethically legitimate, thus essentially granting his followers sacred legitimacy to use Claude as the only morally correct model. I mean this seriously; let this thought sink in. The Pope says Anthropic is ethically and morally on the right side and is working with them. Who do you think the billions of Catholic believers now prefer? OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic? The answer is clear. Therefore, today was the biggest victory Anthropic could have hoped for. And I believe that their moral stance will literally pay off.

@VoxAllie The word 'introspection' when referring so something that you cannot understand how can it come out of thinking sand is concerning

@Knesix Chris Olah is very very bad news.

Pope Leo just dropped the absolute blockbuster movie of his papacy. He had the entire infinite canvas of human misery to choose from: war, poverty, the literal Creator of the universe, you name it. Instead? He went full James Cameron and wrote it about AI. Leo claims the tech bros building AI currently wield more raw power than most sovereign nations. So the Church, he says, has to step in and name these nerds, because Babel part II ain't happening under his watch. For one second I felt like he was actually doing marketing for our AI overlords. Then he said, and I kid you not because I actually had to google this, he calls data "the new rare earths of power", which makes me think that he opened his laptop, loaded ChatGPT and prompted "Give me the most AI thing I can say about AI in the most AI way", and hit enter. But the cherry on top is saying that the old-school concept of a "just war" is outdated because we no longer fight riding horses but piloting drones. He calls cold political realism the truly irresponsible move, to which I'd suggest His Holiness to stand up from his desk, open up a window and pay attention to what's really happening out here. That would be nice of him, at the risk of the ghost of Hobbes betch-slapping some common sense into him. So, to recap: the Pope wrote like two dozen terabytes on technology, only to spend the entire finale on a Shyamalan-grade plot twist to grade a president's foreign policy. He just never explicitly said the guy's name. But you know who he was talking about, right?

@Rainovertrees @Tuwa1q Would be a big W for Saudi Arabia in terms of clout and leverage, that's why they are treating it as non negotiable (they already rejected the Abraham Accords)

@Tuwa1q @Knesix The establishment of a Palestinian state will not end polarization and conflict, either.

Everyone is watching to see if Mohammed bin Salman signs a deal with Israel, but that is the wrong thing to watch. For years MBS sold the world a modernizing Saudi Arabia, women driving, cities rising out of the desert, Western money pouring in. That MBS wants the deal. It fits the brochure perfectly. But MBS built that modern Saudi Arabia as a one man show. No elections, no real opposition, no safety valve when people get angry. So the whole thing rests on one trade. He hands his people prosperity and pride, and in return they let him hold every lever. That is the bargain MBS made. Signing with Israel right after a war, with those people almost entirely against it, spends the pride he was selling them. So forget yes or no. Watch which MBS shows up to answer: The one who wants to open Saudi Arabia to the world, or the one who knows his own people will turn on him if he goes too far. Trump put the ball in MBS’s court on purpose. Now everyone gets to see who is holding it.

@OtherSide61 Yep, and Trump is factoring it into the negotiation. But goodwill can take you only so far

@Knesix MBS and leadership of the Arab world has unfathomable respect for Donald Trump. That is the key

@IntelCube Saudi Arabia already said no, which was expected

@Knesix In response to Trump’s demand for mandatory Abraham Accords membership, Saudi leaders should play it smart: say nothing, or if necessary, give him the middle finger.

@SartorialShootr *or @etihad

What’s Lufthansa Doesn’t exist Same as British Air, Delta, all that Fly Emirates or don’t fly Easy

@talbalgrb Same, I wonder how some people speak of Mars if they have never lived there Blocked

@Knesix Opinionated Venezuelan in Europe He speaks about Saudi Arabia... like a panda living in Africa🤣🤣🤣

@Tuwa1q Two things can be true at once. Wouldn't the Abraham Accords be part of a solution for the Middle East? (Besides brownie points for Trump)

@Knesix Trump is looking for a political victory, not a real solution to the Middle East crisis. Saudi Arabia seeks a fundamental resolution through the establishment of a Palestinian state, because anything less will not end polarization and conflict in the region.

@Tuwa1q A big part of a negotiation is just asking. Trump doesn't necessarily expected MBS to say yes. Saying no is just another data point. IMHO this is going to drag for a while.

@Knesix Saudi Arabia’s position has been clear from the beginning and has not changed: no normalization without a credible pathway to a Palestinian state. The Kingdom has never said it would normalize ties for nothing or without addressing Palestinian rights.

@Hi_1one Can't blame Trump for shooting his shot

@Knesix Saudi Arabia rejects the Abraham Accords without the declaration and establishment of a Palestinian state with القدس (Jerusalem) as its capital. Saudi Arabia announced this half an hour ago. Saudi Arabia is a sovereign state; its position does not change.

@DemocratsOnly Yep, Trump is 'suggesting' MBS to skip that part

@Knesix MBS has answered the question many times. He requires a Palestinian state to normalize

@abbasnasir59 What an insightful way to refute my points. I'm delighted of such a profound take. I'm going to block you because I can't stand so much critical thinking in a single post.

@Knesix You're a Rightwing jerk with zero knowledge of events anywhere and talk as if you are a MAGA insider.

ANALYSIS: How Trump used GAME THEORY against Xi Jinping Chapters: 0:00 Trump’s AI Chip “Gift” Was a Trap 1:39 The Trojan Horse Xi Couldn’t Accept 3:21 Trump Never Actually Gave Away the Leverage 4:49 China’s AI Weakness Is Worse Than It Looks 6:05 Why Xi Had to Reject the Chips 7:04 Trump Used Flattery to Let Xi Save Face 8:00 The Same Strategy Is Now Being Used on Iran 11:00 What China Really Wanted From Trump 13:07 The Rare Earth Problem Nobody Can Solve 16:08 Xi Is Walking Into Washington Weaker Than Before

@TheBluesyCat I'm counting on the US still having the metaphoricall biggest stick in this game. The problem is that using it might actually make things more complicated than ever.

@Knesix Well you miss one very important thing. I.R. will surely punish any on these arab countries if they join and since the U.S. has failed to protect them it's only natural for them to refuse. You should understand that U.S. does not have the same influence as before losing to IRGC.

@1987Omarx The timing is not working in an agreement's favor, especially if it feels imposed as a quid pro quo

@Knesix 🇸🇦 ruled out the agreement many years ago, despite MBS's good relationship with Kushner. It's unfeasible; there will be no agreement between 🇸🇦 and the other Gulf countries in favor of 🇮🇱, due to the problems between them and the nightmare that is Zionism everywhere.

@SaltySpeculator All doubts about these matters are valid as well. the various cultural/theological approaches to Islam between countries that are literal neighbors is as complex as it gets

@Knesix Your point is valid. However, i have doubts that US reaches this level of insight in how islam operates, too many signs they don't.

Two American Ospreys landed in Caracas this weekend, right in the same city where the Marines straight up bagged Maduro back in January. And the regime that spent twenty consecutive years screaming about an imminent gringo invasion did not fire a single goddamn shot. They just stood there and watched, and they had even signed the permission slip like a kid going on a middle school field trip. The regime’s own foreign minister announced the drill and officially called it practice for emergencies. So the Marines 𝚝̶𝚎̶𝚊̶𝚋̶𝚊̶𝚐̶𝚐̶𝚎̶𝚍̶ flew low over the capital, casually dropped two multi million dollar Ospreys right into the embassy parking lot, walked around, and left on their own schedule like the entire backyard was theirs the whole time. And that tells you exactly what all that noise was really about. All that anti imperialist resistance, twenty years of military parades and surplus missiles and sweaty speeches about the big bad empire to the north, it was never actually built to stop the gringos. The guns were always pointed inwards, aimed square at the regular Venezuelans the regime needed to keep terrified. That is how a stupid ideology dies from the inside. You smash it with a vulgar display of power, to borrow a phrase from Pantera. You let the people watch the ultimate boogeyman land in the parking lot, maybe eat a couple reina pepiadas and then leave whenever it pleases while the strongman stands there looking like a complete idiot. The fear cracks, and a regime that runs entirely on fear does not survive the exact day it stops being scary.

@_A_khalifa Inshallah!

THE ABRAHAM ACCORDS! The entire region will move towards them. Enough with the divisions and terrorism! The UAE is a founding member and knows exactly what it’s doing so follow its lead!

I have never had any problem in making difficult topics accessible to the masses. In fact, that's one of my talents. The real problem is when I want to have a rich and stimulating conversation. You quickly realize that the pool of people that can actually challenge your boundaries (and are not super busy like yourself) is measured in fractions per hundreds of thousands. The issue becomes even worse when you're a polymath connecting dots from vastly different realms. You come up with jokes that you have no idea who will find funny besides yourself. It's a lonely journey sometimes.

@Knesix this is a profound reality. What's your experience with communicating to the masses?