Knish
1.5K posts


@Clav0Updates @grok Could there be actual substance to this? Do you think it is possible that given a large enough sample size, most fights have been won by the traditionally better looking fighter?
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Clavicular successfully predicted 8 fights correctly only based off of who MOGS, going 8-3-1 😳
✅ Charles Radtke
✅ Vicente Luque
(-) Marquez Mederos
✅ Tatiana Suarez
✅ Mateus Gamrot
✅ Kevin Holland
✅ Aaron Pico
❌ Nate Landwehr
❌ Johnny Walker
❌ Curtis Blaydes
✅ Paulo Costa
✅ Carlos Ulberg
He had 66.6% accuracy, even predicting the underdog Carlos Ulberg to win the Light Heavyweight world title 😳


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@RioTradesX @benjamincowen You really thought that slapped, didn't you.
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@benjamincowen Narrative bias is a cognitive shortcut where the brain forces a story onto random data. Successful participants prioritize statistical probability over the compelling but irrelevant daily drama that feeds the emotional crowd.
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Global Liquidity aggregates have rolled over, and the headline number understates the severity. Liquidity stress metrics are deteriorating across the board. MOVE is rapidly approaching levels that will start making Fed officials uncomfortable, and the DXY, which had been surprisingly contained, is now threatening to break above 100.50.
A tripwire I have spoken about because it was old support (2023 to mid-2025) and has since been resistance with 5 tocuhes. A measured move out of the range places a target of 104.50. Without running any serious regression analysis, I would expect this to trigger a further minimum 10% decline in the SPX.
Nothing good comes from a technical break in the DXY. See previous cycles for evidence.
The issue is that there is no easy fix. Inflation is elevated. There is friction between the Fed & the Treasury. More govt stimulus is not a panacea. It's a cost-of-living subsidy, not easy money.


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Cannot emphasize enough how rare this is in this market.
Bill Ackman@BillAckman
And Fannie and Freddie are stupidly cheap. Asymmetry at its best. They could be a 10X and it could happen soon.
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@benjamincowen @grok Based on this chart and Bitcoin's price today, assuming it follows prior midterm years, what might Bitcoin's price be on day 100?
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@libsoftiktok I am for the enforcement of laws in this country and at times, the necessary deportation of illegal immigrants. That being said, this is too far. This is cruel and inhumane. This is anything but Christian and this country was founded on Christian values.
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@bariksis I saw someone give me good advice last year
Bariksis@bariksis
Ignore the haters Ben. I for one can speak on behalf of those who appreciate your analysis, and you’ve been spot on the money with a lot of calls over the last four years. The problem in this space is everyone is driven by their emotions and own misguided biases that ultimately got themselves wrecked yesterday. Don’t let the incessant hate of the many deter you from keeping up the great work 💪🏾
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@Knishofficial @SimonDixonTwitt @InverseFarmer Ask Grok is currently available to Premium and Premium+ subscribers only. Subscribe to unlock this feature: x.com/i/premium_sign…
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Because market insiders know that this war has a defined ending and outcome.
No matter how much it gets derailed by the military industrial complex.
The financial industrial complex is getting ready for rebuild contracts aligned with the new multi polar world order.
Energy is resetting those contracts.
Kareem Amer@KareemAmerX
@SimonDixonTwitt How come gold is dumping more than stocks in this situation?
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@benjamincowen @grok Observe Bitcoin's last consolidation phase earlier this year, just as Ben's chart shows. If one had bought SBIT everyday and waited for that big drop, how might they have fared?
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@PeterSchiff @saylor @grok Do you find Peter's framing of Strategy to be accurate and is this model sustainable?
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The Bitcoin pyramid is being propped up by $MSTR, which pays an 11.5% yield on $STRC to keep buying. As more STRC shares are sold, Strategy burns ever more cash. Once that cash is depleted, @Saylor will have to choose between suspending the dividend or selling Bitcoin to pay it.
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