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herknav24
901 posts


@ValerioCapraro It is funny watching people move their AGI goalposts every 6 months or so
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Finally, a big name has the courage to tell it: we are nowhere near AGI.
Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind and Nobel laureate for AlphaFold, put it neat and clear:
"Today's systems are nowhere near [AGI]. Doesn't matter how many Erdős problems you solve… I think it's far, far from what a true invention, or someone like Ramanujan, would have been able to do."
This is the elephant in the room that many AI enthusiasts prefer not to see, or are actively trying to hide.
Erdős problems are well defined, often combinatorial, on finite spaces. They are exactly the kind of problems on which current AI can achieve spectacular performance with a lot of compute and knowledge.
A neural network can search a huge graph of possibilities. It can recombine existing knowledge at unprecedented scale. It can discover surprising solutions inside an already defined conceptual space.
But true invention is something else.
True invention is not only solving a problem.
It is inventing new objects, new dimensions, new connections. It is inventing new problems.
From resolving to inventing there is a discontinuity that we don't know how to bridge.
We are making extraordinary tools.
But we are nowhere close to AGI.

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@mark_k @giordanorandone My guess is Karpathy joining Anthropic tells us a lot on this. He himself said that the autoreasercher was the final boss battle. I think he wanted to be there for it.
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@giordanorandone True, it might have taken a backseat due to agentic coding rush.
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@thedogfather @morganlinton Dude don't let a dog barber ruin your day, you doing good work.
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It’s kinda weird, people from Cursor, Claude, Droid, Grok Build, and just about every other agentic coding tool seem to interact with me on X.
But for some reason, the Codex team doesn’t, and when I comment on their tweets, or tweet to them they always ignore me.
So odd because I have publicly shared so many times that Codex is my daily driver and the agentic coding tool I’m the most fanatical about. Moved our whole engineering team off of Claude Code and onto Codex, love it so much.
Not quite sure what I did, but would love to interact with people like @thsottiaux, @ajambrosino and @jxnlco - honestly, they’re like my heroes!
But for some reason they never interact with me 😢
What did I do guys?
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WOW! The Pentagon just released a video of an F-16 fighter jet SHOOTING DOWN a UFO
Insane footage
The second tranche of UFO files is now LIVE at war.gov/ufo
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@nichochar I think he will shift to domain specific models or swing to open source if it looks like anthropic will be first to rsi..and it does look that way.
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imo XAI should focus only on this.
don’t compete on models
nobody doubts that Elon can beat everyone at the data center, factory, space buildout piece
Elon Musk@elonmusk
As the recently expanded partnership with @AnthropicAI demonstrates, @SpaceX is offering AI compute as a service at significant scale. We are in discussions with other companies to do the same. Over time, especially with orbital data centers, we expect to serve AI at extremely high scale.
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@BenjaminDEKR I considered your view as well. I think everything is a hedge right now, much like the cursor deal. If you are right don't rule out a partnership of more significance with SpaceXai (hardware), Anthropic (models), Mistral (open source).
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@tulexaicom @jackclarkSF That is correct; as Karpathy said it is the final boss battle. If it happens in 2026 it will be Anthropic, if happens early in 2027 it will be Open AI, later in 2027 my bet is on Elon with the huge training compute advantage.
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@jackclarkSF 60% by 2028 from someone with anthropic level access is the kind of probability that should reorganize roadmap conversations. if rsi is real on that timeline, the moat shifts from "who has the best model now" to "who has the best evals when the model writes its own successor."
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@DavidSacks Mythos slow walk has nothing to do with safety and everything to do with compute limited
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It’s time to demystify Mythos.
Mythos is not magic. It’s not a doomsday device. It’s the first of many models that can automate cyber tasks (just like coding).
OpenAI’s GPT-5.5-cyber can now do the same. And all the frontier models (including those from China) will be there within approximately 6 months.
It’s important to recognize that these models do not create vulnerabilities; they discover them. The bugs are already in the code. Using AI to discover and patch them will actually harden these systems.
The leap from pre-AI cyber to post-AI cyber means that there will be a big upgrade cycle. After that, however, the market is likely to reach a new equilibrium between AI-powered cyber-offense and AI-powered cyber-defense.
Obviously it’s important that cyber defenders get access before cyber attackers. That process is already underway but needs to happen quickly (see point above about Chinese models).
Unlike Mythos, GPT-5.5-cyber appears not to be token constrained so it may be the first cyber model that defenders actually get to use.
AI Security Institute@AISecurityInst
OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 is the second model to complete one of our multi-step cyber-attack simulations end-to-end 🧵
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Waiting for Grok Build release from @xai. I think it might be a bit delayed because of the trial between Elon Musk and OpenAI. Hopefully this will soon be over and we can go back to business and normal release schedules!
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@techdevnotes I'd starting liking your content but if this is how you roll then forget it. Like over other bullshit e-farmer.
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I'm sorry it hurts your feelings that England has fallen but you should try to take back London from the third world rather than hang on to barren islands half a world away to make you feel like you still have an empire. I'm a restore Britain fan actually but you are all kind of stupid on this one
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Britain could lose the Falklands because of weak leadership.
It's not the 80s anymore, there's no Thatcher in charge and the UK is a depressing shell of its former self.
If Argentina simply walks in and takes over, possibly soon with Trump's approval, what exactly will Keir Starmer do? Send an angry worded letter? Would he even care at all?

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@R_J_Shaw @patrickbec @NiohBerg It is also extremely easy to infiltrate small drone units when your whole defense rests on 1980s warfare. I will be glad to put my combat resume against yours.
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@KtdSnav @patrickbec @NiohBerg It’s over 400 miles of open ocean from Argentina to Mt Pleasant. Sit yours ass down.
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@patrickbec @R_J_Shaw @NiohBerg 6 FPV drones kill the four hanger queens in the first 8 minutes. Ok now what does UK do?
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@CynicalPublius I'm not sure Hegseth is a tennable candidate for elected office. DeSantis would be easier to get over the finish line.
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@GWOTJoker @CynicalPublius You think the VP is far away from classified information ?
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@CynicalPublius TBH if we have to have Hegseth in our government (we don’t) there’s really no better spot for him than VP. Far away from classified information, where he can comb his hair in the mirror all day, and photo op doing CrossFit with Navy SEALs to his heart’s content.
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