LPFarmer

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LPFarmer

LPFarmer

@LPFarmerNo1

Prediction market expert, no bs, only facts.

Katılım Ağustos 2025
96 Takip Edilen1.2K Takipçiler
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
🚨BTC Long-Term Power Law Trend Line with RMSE Bands🚨 Bitcoin's price growth since 2009 follows a power law model, inspired by Giovanni Santostasi's 2024 writings. It describes network expansion with initial rapid surges tapering into sustained growth. The Power Law Trend Line fits a regression curve through historical $BTC prices on a logarithmic scale, acting as a fair value benchmark. RMSE Bands add depth by quantifying average deviations (Root Mean Squared Error) from the trend, based on past data. These create adjustable channels, green above for overbought, red below for oversold using multipliers (e.g. 0.5 inner, 1.5 outer). Crossing outer bands signals major overvaluation or undervaluation. This indicator exists in various forms, but we've built our own version with custom variants in Pine Script v6. Soon we'll adapt it for $ETH with tweaks to fit, seems like we're the first to try this. Historically: 2013 cycle hit the 4th upper band, 2017 the 3rd, 2021 the 2nd. So, per this model, we expect the 2025 cycle to reach the 1st upper band in the next few months at $208k, as shown on the chart. In the following bear market, if we top the 1st upper band, anticipate hitting the 3rd lower band at $68k about a year later. This aligns with prior cycles bottoming around previous peaks, a recurring pattern.
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@CryptoTaxJme A level playing field? UK? Never… They gonna keep it as it is. Or make the tax side of it easier. Whenever the UK say they will make things easier for crypto users, they make it worse.
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🇬🇧 Jme 🧪
🇬🇧 Jme 🧪@CryptoTaxJme·
🚨 HMRC just dropped a Call for Evidence on stablecoin taxation TODAY And it could change everything for UK crypto holders 👇 Right now, spending a stablecoin is a CGT event Every transaction. Tracked. Recorded. Calculated. Buy a coffee with USDC? You’re doing a tax computation ☕📊 Pay with your debit card? Nothing. Zero admin. Move on. That is not a level playing field. That is a punishment for using crypto. HMRC have finally acknowledged it 👀 They are now exploring whether stablecoins should be treated like fiat currency for tax purposes Exempt asset status. Removal of reporting thresholds. On the table. This is Stage 1 of the policy process so nothing is law yet But the direction of travel is clear 📍 And I am fully in support Less admin. Fairer rules. More adoption. This is the kind of reform that actually moves the needle for UK crypto 🇬🇧 Link: gov.uk/government/cal… Go read it yourself. Consultation closes 7 May 2026. Tell me below 👇 are you using stablecoins for payments right now?
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@AdinUpdate Always read the rules, otherwise you’ll lose money. In fact you can make a lot of money just by reading the rules and understanding them correctly.
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AdinUpdate
AdinUpdate@AdinUpdate·
Adin Ross was left in SHOCK after finding out he could make $60,000 if Jesus Christ DOESN’T return before GTA 6 releases 😳 “Nah that’s gotta be a glitch… so if Jesus Christ doesn’t return before GTA 6, I make $60,000? that’s a literal LOCK”
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Tech Frontier 007
Tech Frontier 007@TechFrontier007·
If the Jewish community in London didn’t build its own ambulance services or community security, people would say we’re helpless and dependent on the state. But when we do take responsibility—when we protect our neighborhoods, care for our own, and defend our people—we’re accused of being insular, supremacist, or conspiratorial. So which is it? Are we supposed to be weak and dependent, or strong and self-reliant? Because it seems like either way, the criticism comes. And the reality is, we don’t just take care of our own—we show up for everyone around us. Services like Hatzalah don’t ask who you are before they respond. Their ambulances are there for anyone who needs help. That’s not isolation. That’s responsibility. That’s contribution. And the same principle applies to Israel. Israel takes responsibility for its own people and its own security—it aims not to be dependent on others for its survival. Yes, we value allies and friends, and we’re grateful for those who stand with us—especially in a world where we are a small people facing many challenges. Good people help other good people. But the goal is not dependence—it’s strength, responsibility, and the ability to stand on our own. The Jewish population in the world is about 15 million people, while there are roughly 1.7 billion Muslims globally.
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Concerned Citizen
Concerned Citizen@BGatesIsaPyscho·
🚨🇬🇧 Meanwhile in London In the wake of Arson attacks against dedicated Jewish ambulances, Londoners are now realising that the Jewish community also have their own private police force - and are asking questions as to how this is even allowed⁉️
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@monerify Can only be used with google or apple pay. So it’s KYC’d.
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monerify
monerify@monerify·
no kyc, fund with monero, use it everywhere with tap and pay crypto is supposed to be USED. and if you can't convince the gas station to accept monero, you can fund and spend as you need most people don't get this and i receive comments like 'oh, so you like fiat more' as if any of us could go around life doing XMR to XMR transactions with the world there's no excuse to not make a living in crypto, get a job that pays you in monero, sell your services in monero, and transact with the monero circular economy or just use a card for everything else
Privacygateway@Privacygateway_

This is how your prepaid card will appear in PrivacyGateway. Simple. Private. Ready to use.

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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
Just another poly-post farmer spreading lies for clicks. Polymarket uses an off-chain CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) not an on chain AMM of which you can do sandwich attacks. Transactions get settled offline via their centralised matching engine and only then settle on-chain.
self.dll@seelffff

i'm running a MEV attack on everyone trading polymarket $100 → $700,000 and you have no idea your transaction sits in the polygon mempool for 400 milliseconds 400ms i'm already inside and already making money off you it's called front-running it's legal and there's nothing you can do about it the setup: you hit "confirm" on $80,000 12ms later my node sees you in the mempool 340ms before the block i'm already in the position you move the price with your entry i'm already there you buy at a worse price than me every single time no exceptions 23 days of MEV on polymarket: → best trade: whale dropped $200K on iran strike i front-ran them by 290ms +$18,400 → max drawdown: 2.8% → net: $628,000 all you need is a node on polygon $47/month while you're watching the price i'm watching the mempool while you're entering i'm already exiting you think you're trading the market you're actually trading against me only hardcode only RUST did you even know this existed?

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PMTraderAdam
PMTraderAdam@PMTraderAdam·
I’m betting $1,959 to win $40 in 8 days, that the UK Prime Minister won’t get fired Almost impossible for this to happen 153% APY, literally better than any bank on earth
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@ScalerSohom My thesis has changed ever so slightly due to the fact that we didn’t hit the 200k band. We are likely going towards 50-60k region aka the band bellow my lowest band which we hit in 2015. I didn’t include it in this chart.
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
🚨BTC Long-Term Power Law Trend Line with RMSE Bands🚨 Bitcoin's price growth since 2009 follows a power law model, inspired by Giovanni Santostasi's 2024 writings. It describes network expansion with initial rapid surges tapering into sustained growth. The Power Law Trend Line fits a regression curve through historical $BTC prices on a logarithmic scale, acting as a fair value benchmark. RMSE Bands add depth by quantifying average deviations (Root Mean Squared Error) from the trend, based on past data. These create adjustable channels, green above for overbought, red below for oversold using multipliers (e.g. 0.5 inner, 1.5 outer). Crossing outer bands signals major overvaluation or undervaluation. This indicator exists in various forms, but we've built our own version with custom variants in Pine Script v6. Soon we'll adapt it for $ETH with tweaks to fit, seems like we're the first to try this. Historically: 2013 cycle hit the 4th upper band, 2017 the 3rd, 2021 the 2nd. So, per this model, we expect the 2025 cycle to reach the 1st upper band in the next few months at $208k, as shown on the chart. In the following bear market, if we top the 1st upper band, anticipate hitting the 3rd lower band at $68k about a year later. This aligns with prior cycles bottoming around previous peaks, a recurring pattern.
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@aaalexhl You just need to find another edge from another angle. My bot is printing $5,000 a day roughly and it doesn’t care about latency, only 15min markets for now. Not tested yet for 5min markets.
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aaalex.hl
aaalex.hl@aaalexhl·
Posts claiming "this bot made $150k trading BTC 5m markets" are all bullshit Bot competition was very high before vibe coding Exponentially more competitive now You are not even in the same planet unless you're investing heavily in infrastructure and finding any marginal edge
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@notsoeasymoney My bot is superior I’ve hardcoded: if bot.value <= 0: dont () else: while True: print(“still printing!🚀”) Can’t go to 0.
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Easy
Easy@NotSoEasyMoney·
Your 5min ai polymarket trading bot will eventually go to 0. I am sorry to be a hater but I just want to put this out there as a reality check.
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@MEPPonPM @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Same amount I lost roughly, but it was my bot which went rogue. New bot so far with paper trades is making $5,000 a day. Need more time to iron it out but in a few weeks it should be live.
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MEPP
MEPP@MEPPonPM·
I Have lost almost 4000$ today on polymarket. Dont be like me. (link to account in bio)
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@rinneXBT Bro leave this garbage in the bin, it’s not profitable.
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MYST
MYST@rinneXBT·
a new polymarket strat If both your buy and sell orders fill below 50c, then no matter the resolution you will always end up in profit 48c + 48c = 96c. Payout = 100c +4c
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@lynk0x Yh but no. Liquidity will not allow it. Also prices are generally favourableto one direction before the market even starts making prices sit at 55c/45c.
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Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph@Cointelegraph·
🇬🇧 BIG: The UK Treasury selects HSBC blockchain platform for the pilot issuance of the country's digital gilt instruments, per Bloomberg.
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Marlow
Marlow@marlowxbt·
Chinese meteorology professor was giving an online Zoom lecture to students. 340 people live. Topic: Practical applications of weather data. At minute 23 he shared the wrong screen. Instead of presentation browser with open Polymarket tab. Profile. Profit chart. $9,080. Students started screenshotting. Someone Googled the wallet address that flashed in the URL. 0xcD9d30094d5C30b. $9,080 profit. 112 predictions. Since January 2026. → Wallet: t.me/PolyGunSniperB… He noticed the mistake after 8 seconds. Switched to presentation. Continued lecture like nothing happened. Too late. Screenshots already in WeChat. The wallet: Only London temperature. 112 bets. Not one loss. Biggest win: put in $429, walked away with $5,091. Strategy he teaches vs strategy he uses: In lecture: Weather models update every hour. In reality: Satellite data updates every 5-10 minutes. An hour faster than public stations. Temperature already 9C by satellite. Station will show in 50 minutes. Market sells 10C for 80c. He buys NO for 20c. Waits. Station updates. Collects $1. While students learn theory professor trades practice. 112 trades in a month. Chart straight up. Next lecture nobody listened about isobars. Everyone was Googling how to access satellite data. Wallet still active. Zoom now with screen share verification.
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LPFarmer
LPFarmer@LPFarmerNo1·
@marlowxbt It’s impossible to have YES and NO equal less than $1 in any snapshot of the orderbooks. An ask on the NO side is a bid on the YES side, it also works in the other direction.
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Marlow
Marlow@marlowxbt·
Forbes published 30 Under 30 list in Finance category. Among them 27 year old fintech entrepreneur from New York. Official bio: Founded analytics platform for retail investors. At Forbes awards ceremony they took a photo. He's holding the award. Behind him laptop on table. Screen is on. Someone zoomed the photo. On screen open Polymarket tab. Account88888. $645,489 profit. 11,603 predictions. Since December 2025. → Wallet: t.me/PolyGunSniperB… The analytics platform turned out to be one wallet. The wallet: Only 15 minute crypto windows. BTC Up or Down. Biggest win: put in $35,928, walked away with $98,789. ROI 174%. Strategy Forbes called fintech platform: When market panics YES costs 48c, NO costs 49c. Together 97c. One of them GUARANTEED pays $1. Math. Buys both for 97c. Waits 15 minutes. Collects $1. Keeps 3c profit. 3 cents × 11,603 times = $645,489. No platform. No employees. Just collecting cents every time fear breaks market math. 11,603 trades in 2 months. Chart straight up. Forbes updated his bio next day: Successful prediction markets trader. Removed mention of analytics platform. Wallet still active. Forbes still looking for heroes for 2027 list.
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Keşfet

@CryptoTaxJme @AdinUpdate @TechFrontier007 @BGatesIsaPyscho @monerify @PamphletsY @PMTraderAdam @Polymarket