Landof10kBets

More than $1 billion has been wagered on prediction markets this year on military decisions and outcomes. This Sunday, 60 Minutes examines suspiciously timed bets with information that appears too specific for civilian outsiders.

BREAKING In a one-sentence order issued without any public dissents, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected Virginia Democrats’ last-ditch bid to revive a voter-approved congressional map designed to flip four Republican-held House seats. The decision leaves in place a Virginia Supreme Court ruling that found the map violated the state constitution.

🔵 News - Harris calls for “an expanded playbook” including Electoral College changes, Supreme Court expansion, multi member districts, and D.C./Puerto Rico statehood.

NEWS — Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp has called a special session to redraw Georgia’s congressional, state House, and state Senate districts before the 2028 elections. The new maps could net Republicans two U.S. House districts and further entrench GOP power in GA’s General Assembly.

EMERSON: CA Governor (with leaners) 🟦 Xavier Becerra: 20.3% 🟦 Tom Steyer: 18.9% 🟥 Steve Hilton: 17.7% 🟦 Katie Porter: 13.1% 🟥 Chad Bianco: 12.0% 🟦 Matt Mahan: 9.3% 🟦 A. Villaraigosa: 5.1% 🟦 T. Thurmond: 1.3% Emerson (A) | 5/9-10 | 1,000 LV

Breaking news: US Supreme Court vacates Alabama district court order requiring the state to draw a congressional map with two majority-Black voting districts in 6-3 decision. Alabama can now draw a more Republican friendly map.

Nevada is now cracking down on prediction market conferences A major Vegas hotel terminated a PM conference by top traders after the Gaming Board threatened to revoke their license Conference moved to NY The PM wars is getting dirtier

Very important to remember: we are still six months out from the midterms, and a lot can change. On May 7, 2010, the RCP average was R+0.7. By Election Day, it was R+9.4.