Larrypclt
102 posts


我来解释一下背后的逻辑,首先有几点假设:
1. 在一个领域,人的专业技能水平呈金字塔形状。大部分人都是初中级水平。
2. AI 在各个领域可以达到中级,甚至比中级稍微高一点的水平。
3. 大部分人需要的服务是由中低级的专业人士提供的。
4. 星际移民不会发生。
AI 蚕食各个领域是注定的,因为决策群体必定追寻利益最大化。虽然部分人可以利用 AI 来提升工作效率,但是大部分的劳动变得不再被需要了。比如小公司做一些商业广告册或宣传视频,之前会找一些小工作室去做,现在可以借助 AI 生成。
既然大部分劳动不被需要了,这些人的价值就不存在了。假设到最后,大部分劳动由 AI 代替,那普通人存在的意义是什么?或者更悲观地讲,存在的理由是什么?
不知道未来会怎么样,但是一切都会不一样。
北火@beihuo
我去听了 Suno AI,我觉得每一个人都应该认真思考人类大规模失业的可能性了。 suno.ai
中文

@paulg Artistically speaking, the 21st century will belong to those who best understand how to bend the rules
English

@mingchikuo How about AAC? Would apple let AAC enter the supply chain of lenses? They are in the the leading position position of WLG lens manufacture.
English

@peterpham People are rooting for him to fail because he's a rich white guy and a political moderate.
English

agreed. why is everyone rooting for him to fail? no one has all the information on how he's making decisions. the armchair quarterbacking is nauseating. let's root for the people who want to build & make this better. don't you want people rooting for you?
Paul Graham@paulg
It's remarkable how many people who've never run any kind of company think they know how to run a tech company better than someone who's run Tesla and SpaceX.
English
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