@AdamMancini4 Un freaking believable!!!
Bought 14 sold 25
U Rock Adam!!
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Lin spec
44 posts
Note: If we get lucky and volatility stays elevated - watch for sweeps of the 7213 low. Rest of newsletter entries still apply but we will need more volatility as ES is still stronger than expected today
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High quality conditions today unlike last week & points are printing. #ES_F is consolidating after last weeks rally. 7248 reclaim was 1st trade this week. We triggered this morning. Targets were 7253 (hit), 7264 (hit), 7285 (not yet)
7240 must reclaim to pop now.7213, 7199 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Perfect follow through in #ES_F. This weeks setup was 7248 Failed Breakdown - newsletter readers got it Friday at 4pmI also live tweeted it at 8am. Targets given were 7253 (hit), 7264 (hit), 7285 next. We are flagging & digesting last weeks rally to setup next big macro leg
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@tradivate Happens every dip, many just don't understand what a trend is and if they havn't learned by now, they likely never will
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Slow start after FOMC but we are finally getting some movement in #ES_F. The last 2 days have been entirely about 7147. We trapped it after FOMC. I posted 7147 reclaims see 7161 (hit), 7173, 7180, 7186+ above. Protect your profits, leave a runner. Still lots of traps ahead
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
FOMC has not improved the low volatility state in #ES_F and we remain glued to 7147 as we have for 2 days. Its held/trapped/tested 10x now. Its very weak and fuzzy, paying out over and over. 7147 reclaims with vol though see 7161, 7173, 7180+. 7135, 7121 remain below now
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@AdamMancini4 @bhargaval Any chance for another subscription for your swing and long term trades?
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Macro technicals very bullish now for the first time in many weeks since we broke out that white 1 month bull flag on Tuesday. First time I've actually put swings on in 6 months. Hoping for my intraday strat though we can get more volatility but have to hedge the lack of intraday vol with swings
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Volatility remains 0 in #ES_F. As warned, no volatility=no trades. Runners still working from Tuesday's 6592 Macro Failed Breakdown. 6848-6872=a tight flag. Today's 1st target was 6882, we ran there, rejected back into the range.
6848=support (watch traps). 6821-26 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
There continues to be 0 volatility in #ES_F. No volatility=no trades, hold runners. Runners still working from 1) Tuesdays 6592 Macro Failed Breakdown and 2) Yesterdays 6809 reclaim. 6848-6872=a new bull flag. Todays targets were 6882 (hit), 6900-05 , 6922 above. Same supports
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@AdamMancini4 @ruiqiwt Jeez is your newsletter worth a subscribe?
You only had target of 6742 tomorrow and we are at 67
Can you try to be more accurate??
🤩🤩🤩🤩❤️
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Standard #ES_F behavior to near my final target in the final seconds of trading. I had a rare 5 target slate for today on the 6592 reclaim. Targets were 6604 (hit), 6622 (hit), 6638 (hit), 6647 (hit), 6662 (3 points shy)
6677, 6692, 6716 next. Newsletter just sent with entries
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Closing update #ES_F: 6592 reclaims paid out for a 4 target run with 6604, 6622, 6638, and 6647 targets all hit. Only target not hit yet is 6662 on this run - just hold a lotto for it. Newsletter out soon with entries for this evening and there should be a few
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@AdamMancini4 @motivHAT3 Would pay twice that much!!!
Thanks Adam!!!
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Like every day trader, I've got tons of predictions on where price is going. When I sit to trade though, the 1st thing I do is throw them in trash. *All* I care about is waiting on my one setup, at zone I planned the night before, then *reacting* if it triggers. No crystal balls
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@AdamMancini4 @Trevormiles16 Took 86 to 94
You are the master!!!
Best $$ I spend every month is your newsletter!!
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Sunday futures open for #ES_F with the typical gap down but smaller this week than usual. ES needs to recover 6385 now to work back to 6412, and that must reclaim to mount a more sustained rally to 6420, 6454, 6492+
6367, 6342 are next down from here if we grind lower
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Closing update #ES_F: 6426 support as posted and ES agrees stuck around here for 1hr. Quick spike down to 6412 just now. This is a big zone that ES will need to defend or trap/recover off Sundays open. 6454 reclaim then starts us up. Newsletter out soon with next supports/entry
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@AdamMancini4 Held a runner of course ! !!!
That is your system!!!!
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@AdamMancini4 Just grabbed my points from 28 to 38
Your newsletter is life changing!!!
Thank you!!!
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As posted Friday at 4pm (before Iran news), a 40-100 point gap down likely in #ES_F and it came in ~45 points right on queue. Bulls want to recover the 6828 Tuesday low to see a pop to 6838, 6844, 6855-60 which is big resistance
6822, 6808 are next supports down from here
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Note: I warned about this in Friday's 4pm newsletter, and all setups from that newsletter remained unchanged after the initial 40-100 point gap down referenced.
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@crookedtalk @AdamMancini4 @sallore102 That would be awesome!!!
Can you share them in the newsletter??
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@AdamMancini4 @sallore102 Can we ever get a peak of your long term portfolio?
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A complete game changer for me was learning to totally seperate my market opinions & execution. If your doing it right, you should able to wake up *feeling* 10/10 bearish, but if a preplanned long triggers at 9am, you are long for the day. Trade what you see, not what you think
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@samcoleman069 I don't watch NQ at all - my watchlist only has ES on it. ES is setting up for a huge trend leg that will probably shock people, can't speak to any other asset class
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With longs now +60 points minimum, little to do but ride runner. Multi-day trend close. Everyday is the same: 1) I don't short 2) I wait for an "elevator down" sell (like last eve, or this morning to 6838) 3) These end with a short squeeze but *only* on a Failed Breakdown/reclaim
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Note: Obviously not much to do up here now. As I wrote in my newsletter 4pm yesterday my edge is to wait for *exactly* what we saw last evening. A deep flush to trap bears. After we get paid on the squeeze, nothing to do but wait for the next one and do it over again
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@AdamMancini4 Adam, the newsletter got cut off. Is it possible that you can resend it please?
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Closing update #ES_F: Tight range day and days like these are custom built for level to level traders who trade Failed Breakdowns. 6847 reclaim triggered up as posted and we got to 6863 target. 6847-68 remains the chop range. Trend move close. Newsletter out soon with entries
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That was about as smooth as a setup gets in #ES_F and today's been a goldmine for Failed Breakdowns. After rallying to 6868 target for the 4th time, we sold to 6830s. I posted 6847 had to reclaim to pop. We recovered 47 & ripped to 6863 target. *Protect gains*
6868, 6877+ above
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Its been a pinpoint precision range in #ES_F. 6847-6868=the tight coil as posted. 6852-55 reclaims to trigger up the coil. We held ~6847 2x, ran to 6868 and incredible *4x* & now finally expanding downside. 6838 1st support down hit. 47 must reclaim to pop. 6825-30, 6818 below
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@AdamMancini4 Please don’t let the trolls ruin this for your newsletter subscribers!!
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Closing update: High quality action with 5 good trades since 6pm last eve. After hitting 6764 target (off the 6740 reclaim) #ES_F lost Fridays 6670 low. I posted watch sweeps of 6670 & we trapped, recovered, +20. *Protect gains*
6701, 6716, 6723 above. Hard sell under todays low
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
We continue working down the lvls after being spoiled with multiple longs this morning that ran to 6772 and 6764 targets respectively. Arriving at 6685-88 support - 1 month triangle support big test. They must reclaim 6701 fast 6774, 6666 next below. Watch sweeps of Friday low
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Big Picture View: On Oct 24th #ES_F broke out a 3 week triangle & squeezed. We sold all this week inside a bull flag & backtested it 6685-90
Plan next week: As long 6728-32 (6685-90 lowest) holds 6806 flag resistance is next. Breakout then 6851, 6899+
6685 fails, new lows 6632
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@Yancyik @AdamMancini4 If you see a permabull you should learn to read better. The newsletter lays out every bull case and a bear case.
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We are almost at my weekly target in #ES_F. Since Friday's 4pm newsletter, 5925 was this weeks target. 5877 reclaim gave us the long trigger this morning as posted. Targets were 5900 (hit), 5910 (hit), 5925. *Protect gains, let a bonus runner go*
5945, 5970 above. 5900=support
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Long continues to pay in #ES_F. Since Friday's 4pm newsletter, I posted this weeks target was 5925, and price is creeping there, let runners work. 5877 reclaim provided an additional long as posted this morning with 5900 (hit), 5910 (hit), 5925 targets. Above 5925 is 5945, 5970
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@AdamMancini4 Took the recovery of 10 and took it to 20
Your analysis is beyond outstanding!!
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Like most days, mid-day chop setup an afternoon move in #ES_F (1st of many most likely). I warned after 3 tests, 5938 was weak. Its failure would trigger to 5924 (hit), 5907-10 (hit), 5893 (not yet).
Recovering 5907-10 now could see a pop, but 5938 must clear to sustain
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Price #ES_F finally waking up from its mid-day chop. 5938 was my sell target off the big 5989-6004 resistance shelf. It held 3x & I warned it was weak now. Failure triggered down to 5924 (just hit), then 5907-10 below. 5893 of it wants even more. 5938-42 must reclaim to squeeze.
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Today was all about level in #ES_F: 5987. This was yesterdays target and its bears control below/bulls above. Bulls unable to reclaim it as we continue to drift lower slowly
No change: 5928-32=next support. Hard leg down below. 5945-50 must reclaim now to pop to 5965, 5987
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
This week is all about 5987 in #ES_F. I then wrote at 10am yesterday that 5942 had to reclaim to rally back to 5987. Target hit by noon. Bulls control above/bears below Plan: 5966, 5950=supports. 5987 must reclaim to rally to 6004, 6033+. 5950 fails, sell 5932. Deep sell below
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While I have opinions on where price is going, the 1st thing I do when I sit down to trade is discard them. I have a plan: I have leveIs I want to long, lvls below which I want to short, 3 setups I look for, then I wait & react. I never profited until I threw out the crystal ball
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It was an incredible rally in #ES_F, and it took us to ~5155, which is resistance of the core downtrend line from April high, and the level I've been looking for all week. Once that line breaks (next test), bottom is in. We hit it, and dipped
5116 next down, 5136 must reclaim
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
We had a fantastic move in #ES_F and the plan today was rally as long as 5102 held. We just tagged 5155 res. As posted, protect those gains now, its Friday We just hit the core downtrend resistance from April high which I've been looking for all week. 5136, 5116=support to base
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Back to square #1. Today, I was looking for a rally in #ES_F from 5035-40 support, with 5054, 5065-70 targets. We hit 5065-70, and sold, now back to ground zero.
All noise ahead of CPI. Bulls need to hold here fast (within 15mins) to push up the lvls. 35-40 fails, 5018 next
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Highly precise technicals today in #ES_F (a bonus before messy CPI tomorrow). 5065-70 was was target #3 today off 5040 buy zone/support and we squeezed to 5065 high of day and dipped. 5040 remains support. Must hold to keep 65, 85 live. 5040 fails, dip starts to 5028, 5018
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Good bounce off 4810 and the micro was dip bought in #ES_F. This was a resistance to support flip. 4810 was resistance yesterday, support today. Bulls want to see basing now ideally above 4805-10 and below 4825-28. This puts 4836-38, 4860 in play.
4805-10 fails now, we sell
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
We are now on Day 10 after 9 green days in a row. 4810 was my multiweek target & glued here for 22hrs. It was resistance, now support. Chop Bulls trying to bounce here now and this is a decision point. 4815, 4826-28 resistances. If this bounce fails, we finally start a dip 4794
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