LockSmithProps
20 posts








PRIZEPICKS UNDER 🔨🔨🔨






🔥 Don't miss today's top-rated plays. Join my FREE Discord 👇 discord.gg/kxK6FX9C






Link to tail: upside.tools/go/1l05l0 Play #1 taken from the +EV Optimizer: upside.tools: Brandon Miller Over 19.5 PTS: Pick6 is pricing this at -122… But Novig has this line at 20.5 and is STILL laying -111 on the over even at the harder number. That tells you everything. The sharpest exchange in the market is so confident Miller goes over that they'll take the tougher threshold and still price it at a discount to Pick6. Devigged probability across the market: 57.2%. Pick6 needs 54.95% % to break even on a 3 leg slip. The correlation angle here is real too. If this Hornets vs Heat game turns into a close, high scoring affair, Miller stays on the floor late... and he SHOOTS in those moments. He's Charlotte's primary offensive option in crunch time. A live game script where Charlotte is competing to the wire is the exact environment where this over cashes at a higher rate. Sharp books say over. Game script says over. We're in.
























