MD

12 posts

MD

MD

@M00SA__

Vibes

Katılım Ocak 2015
298 Takip Edilen13 Takipçiler
MD
MD@M00SA__·
I’ve honestly found “loop engineering” to be online buzzwords until GPT 5.6 Sol. The execution power and context window has been a game changer. Got more done in this last week than I have in past two months.
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MD@M00SA__·
A theme very increasingly clear to me is to be long AI complexity. I’m thinking of each data center as a factory. As compute constrains and AI integration accelerates, you need more out of each factory. Pretty simple. $CAMT $ACMR $ADEA $VICR
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MD@M00SA__·
@pmarca Incredibly naive framing. Only true if DCs consume underutilized existing infra. Generally that’s not what’s happening with BTM generation / islanding / non-standard grid equipment which all require incremental infra burden
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Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸
"Data centers can actually lower consumer bills-utilities have HUGE fixed costs (ie transmission) that don’t change with usage adding a massive new demand from data centers spreads those fixed costs across far more total kw/h sold, which reduces the price per unit for everyone."
Honour Masters@itsanhonour_

say it with me: Data centers can actually lower consumer bills bc utilities have HUGE fixed costs (ie transmission) that don’t change with usage adding a massive new demand from data centers spreads those fixed costs across far more total kw/h sold, which reduces the price per unit for everyone

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MD@M00SA__·
@SJCapitalInvest This prob will do fine but if the bar is AMPX/IBKX asymmetry, why not find a cleaner expression? A lot more embedded risk here than it seems. There’s grid-level nuance you’re underwriting too: compute value differs nodally/geographically significantly
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MD@M00SA__·
@SJCapitalInvest Should’ve been a bit clearer. They do have some pricing power on installed capacity. My concern is the stock is being underwritten on future growth, and if upstream tightens, replacement cost of that growth rises fast. Can compress the multiple on what you’re really buying today
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MD@M00SA__·
@GaryMarcus The letter requests loan guarantees for industrial domestic manufacturers across the AI supply chain, not for OpenAI. And for which I struggle to see why that would be bad? They’re not asking for data centers or compute to be backstopped
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Gary Marcus
Gary Marcus@GaryMarcus·
BREAKING: Leaked October 27 letter from OpenAI to White House shows that • OpenAI had begun asking for Federal guarantees over a week ago. • Sam’s long attempted walkback yesterday on X after the huge backlash was a total lie. You cannot trust this man, ever. That’s what Ilya saw.
simp 4 satoshi@iamgingertrash

Here is an OpenAI document submitted one week ago where they advocate for including datacenter spend within the “American manufacturing” umbrella There they specifically advocate For Federal loan guarantees Sam Lied to everyone, Again

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MD@M00SA__·
I’ll take the opposite side. It’s going to be increasingly harder to accumulate wealth. Imagine a ladder: if you get knocked down some steps, your chances of coming back up are a lot lower now Capital preservation is the name of the game now. Be smart.
Lee Roach@leevalueroach

Men ages 18 to 25 should NOT be “financially comfy.” They should not “play it safe” or “index and chill.” They should go way off the reservation, buy garbage stocks, read 10-Ks until 3 AM, lose money, and get humbled by Mr. Market. The best deep value investors I know all went through that brutal apprenticeship. Some blew up their first portfolio in cigar butts, some spent months stalking micro-caps no one’s heard of, some lived on ramen while refreshing OTC filings, some dumpster-dived for net-nets in post-industrial towns. Others took Greyhounds to shareholder meetings in hotel basements or spent entire summers cold-calling IR departments for annual reports that never came. If a young investor doesn’t go through that “hard years” phase where he’s uncomfortable, confused, and convinced he’s the next Buffett until reality crushes him, he’s ruined. He becomes “soft,” dependent on screens and narratives, allergic to pain. And that softness calcifies into a lifetime of mediocrity: passive, overdiversified, and spiritually indexed. Anyone mentoring a young investor MUST push him toward his “Benjamin Graham moment.” It doesn’t matter how he does it. Maybe he buys a 0.3× book value steel mill, maybe he gets rugged in a liquidation, maybe he finds religion in the footnotes, but he needs that year or two of being definitively uncomfortable. Only then does he earn the right to call himself a value investor.

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MD@M00SA__·
I don’t know who needs to hear this, but there will be no “valuation reset”. Throw your traditional finance rules out the window. This is a geopolitical war, fueled by the full force of an administration and without any brakes. Up and up we go.
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