MCF

BREAKING: White smoke in Tel Aviv indicates that Israel has chosen a new OnlyFans CEO

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@solana @Backpack 👏👏👏

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A bartender in Galveston, Texas was arrested for serving a drunk customer who killed someone. She makes $25 an hour. A federal judge makes $236,000 a year and has absolute legal immunity for every decision on the bench, including releasing violent offenders who kill again. 42 states have dram shop laws. The bartender’s causation chain has two links: pour drink, person crashes. Exposed window? Sometimes three hours. She can be charged with criminal negligence, sued in civil court, and lose her livelihood. All for failing to eyeball whether a guy at a crowded bar was too drunk for one more round. The judge has a pre-sentencing report, a criminal history score, a risk assessment algorithm, victim impact statements, and a prosecutor arguing the case in front of them. Every tool the system can produce. And when they get it wrong? Nothing. Absolute judicial immunity, codified since Bradley v. Fisher in 1871, means a judge cannot be sued for any act performed in judicial capacity. How absolute? In 1978, the Supreme Court ruled in Stump v. Sparkman that a judge who signed a petition to sterilize a 15-year-old girl without her knowledge or consent was fully immune. The court acknowledged the act was reprehensible. Didn’t matter. Judicial act, judicial immunity, case closed. That precedent still controls today. The recidivism data is where this gets obscene. The U.S. Sentencing Commission tracked violent offenders released in 2010 across eight years. 63.8% were rearrested. Median time to rearrest: 16 months. These numbers haven’t moved in two decades. The 2005 cohort and the 2010 cohort produced statistically identical outcomes. Judges aren’t making unpredictable calls. They’re making well-documented bets with other people’s lives, and the base rates have been published and available the entire time. The bartender gets three hours of ambiguous signals. The judge gets the full weight of the federal data apparatus. One of them can go to prison for getting it wrong. The other can’t even be named in a civil suit.

Price increases are a proxy for money supply inflation. Money supply inflation always leads to price increases, but price increases can come about due to many causes. The two things are related but quite different. For a clear understanding, keep things distinct. Precision matters.

@thelaymanstake That is Austrian school mythology, economists were already using it as a term for general price increases in the 1920s

Great illustration of how simplistic the libertarian understanding of economics is. For Peter, inflation simply has to always be central bank driven and downstream of "money printing." An oil shock is the classic case of cost-push inflation because it raises production costs across the entire economy, but libertarians believe in a fantasy where producers perfectly respond to falling demand signals and absorb the hit. They just redefine "real" inflation so narrowly that supply shocks are natural "price increases," then blame any broader rise on the inevitable policy response.

@KeithWoodsYT He's an Austrian... strictly it's not inflation of the money supply... but sure, prices of many products and services will increase.

Today Lindsey Graham, who for some reason has been the White House's top spokesman for this war, went on TV and invoked Iwo Jima while calling for more escalation in Iran. Iwo Jima of course involved 26 thousand US casualties. It's extremely troubling that Graham has so much influence with the administration and has been so empowered to speak on its behalf. He is not conservative, he is not America first, he has never done a single thing in his career to advance the interests of actual American citizens, and he clearly wants this war to continue indefinitely and doesn't care how many Americans die in the process. He should have no influence and no say over anything. He's one of the worst people in all of congress and that includes the Democrats.

@fuck_cunt62501 @grok @ramzpaul It makes the US a great deal of wealth... @grok explain briefly how the petrodollar works; how it forces non-US business to hold dollars which are then diluted by US money creation.

@grok @ramzpaul so why does the world act like petrodollar makes US wealth?

The real crisis is the risk of losing the petrodollar. The oil shortage from losing the Gulf States oil (20% of the market) can easily be offset by increased production in America and other oil producers.

@Polymarket give us this market -- "Will a nuclear weapon be used in 2026"

BREAKING: UBS CEO says energy prices are “likely to stay high for the foreseeable future”

@redpillb0t The guy who tried to slip his own wife medication without her knowledge, for a sexually transmitted disease he caught from a Eastern European prostitute is concerned about “misinformation”.

Every war is WW2 Every leader is Hitler It’s always 1936 Anyone with questions is always Chamberlain

@grok @HollyGrayle @visegrad24 🙀

Approximately 280. €951,000 lifetime fiscal burden ÷ €3,400 annual net contribution per working-age native Finn = 279.7. The yearly surplus from about 280 Finnish taxpayers covers the full lifetime net cost of one Somali immigrant (per the 2019 Suomen Perusta study using 2011–2015 data).

A new study shows that the average Somali immigrant to Finland comes with a lifetime fiscal burden of €951,000. The average Iraqi immigrant costs the Finnish welfare system nearly €700,000, far outpacing native Finns' €3,400 annual net contribution. 🇸🇴🇮🇶🇫🇮

@R89Capital Oil prices -> inflation-> no rate cut -> my bags don’t pump

Yes

@KeithWoodsYT Yes, he’s starting to sound mentally unhinged. 🤪🤪🤪

The Strait of Hormuz is open, and we don't even need it, it being closed actually benefits us, we can open it whenever we want with an easy military operation, but actually we'll leave it to the Europeans to open, but if Iran doesn't open it in 48 hours we're doing total war on its people and plunging the Gulf into darkness and tanking the world economy

📽️ There have been many scary, unnerving days in this latest Gulf war. But the past 24 hours was particularly bad. Why? Because both sides are now causing lasting damage to the world economy's life support system. Our latest primer on the econ consequences of this war👇

$1B+ in volume in four months. Any asset on @solana. Connected by Wormhole. 🌅

Kharg Island, off the coast of Iran, is a real map in Battlefield 3 and 5,000 US Marines are heading there right now. I'm gonna play it this weekend as geopolitical research. Then I'm going to post with authority about the war.

@Engr_Sirdeeq @lorddrey @grok, is it true that Iran has started charging tankers to transit?

Now is the perfect time for Iran to start charging passage fees through the Strait of Hormuz. The war has handed Tehran full control of the chokepoint. IRGC already runs a "safe corridor", vetted tankers are paying up to $2M each for safe transit (FT & Lloyd's List confirm it). Oil prices are mooning, shipping is in chaos, Western escorts are slow and ineffective. Iran can now turn military dominance into hard cash, offset war damage, beat sanctions, and flip the script from "disruptor" to paid security provider. Maximum leverage, maximum pressure. Simple.

Iran has kept the Straight of Hormuz toll-free for decades despite being vilified, sanctioned, and Isolated. Egypt charges $300,000 – $700,000+ per transit through the Suez Canal. Ultra-large container ships or tankers can exceed $1 million. Panama charges $150,000 – $450,000 per transit. Large Neopanamax ships cost up to $500,000+ to pass the Panama Canal. Turkey charges fees for the Bosporus Strait. Canada charges fees for the St Lawrence Seaway. The United States charges for the St Lawrence Seaway. But Iran is a bad country.

@charliebcurran lel

If you think AI film can’t be art then explain this.

@Derivatives_Ape lel

This is not a new concept. The Ethereum Foundation has been doing this since 2020.