Jeremy Frank

🔵🔴 I’m excited to announce that I’ll be joining the Cubs’ baseball analytics/R&D team full-time in early 2023!

HIS FIRST TWO POINTER OF THE YEAR

4.6+ quintillion brackets were officially ELIMINATED from perfect bracket contention with TCU's win over Ohio State. See every remaining possible perfect bracket at every-bracket.com

We guarantee there will be a perfect men's bracket this year! That's because @MLBRandomStats and @HoopsForecast created a computer program to fill out every possible bracket ... and the very first one has UCLA winning it all! @DarrenMHaynes breaks it all down. #MarchMadness

Someone on reddit replied with a site they made which is very cool. Similar idea but totally different methodology: onetrillionbrackets.com

ICYMI: We made (what I think is) the first ever pre-tourney perfect bracket! You can view it and the other 9.2 quintillion other imperfect brackets here: every-bracket.com/mens

No. 5,223,372,566,994,775,500 Good luck, everyone.

@bebeckhardt I was hoping Kalshi would come to us

@MLBRandomStats Did you put it on kalshi.com/billion ?

@TaylorNW10 Yeah it will have that!

@MLBRandomStats Would be interested to see which brackets remain perfect as the rounds progress

@PittCaleb (9/16)^4 ~= 10%

@MLBRandomStats Wonder how many that include no double digit seeds in the final four

@JonPgh @rennyzucker It's a deterministic cipher

@rennyzucker @MLBRandomStats I don’t understand how even a super computer can randomize 9 quintillion items

@8my41 yes!

@MLBRandomStats do i get points for guessing exactly where it was forked from without clicking the link?

Really puts into perspective just how many brackets there are. Here is the bracket corresponding to Mike Trout's + Shohei Ohtani's career slash lines: every-bracket.com/mens/294406570… Would caution against looking for a personal secret # as Google analytics tracks visited urls :)

@JonPgh Depends how confident you want to be :)

@MLBRandomStats How many would I statistically have to find to prove that they’re all there???

@JonPgh If you want to check our work you can plug your bracket in the "create" tab and find where on the list it is

@MLBRandomStats Craziest thing I’ve ever seen.. thanks, I’ll be sending it to my dad

@JonPgh more seriously, each bracket can be represented as a distinct 63 bit number (0s/1s) representing the winner in each game. it is trivial to know what all 9.2 quintillion of them are. we then use a feistel cipher as explained here (everyuuid.com) to order them "randomly"

@JonPgh It took awhile but I counted all of them and they are all there

@aaaronson Which one?

@MLBRandomStats Thanks! I don't have much time to make a bracket today so I took one from here.

@JonPgh Yes

@MLBRandomStats Are they really all there?

@EvanMiya is this metric meant to be more descriptive or predictive?

Troy has the highest Opponent Strength Adjustment at EvanMiya.com of any team in the field. They are 2-0 in their two top-100 matchups this year (San Diego State and Akron).

One of my favorite March graphs, this looks at how well teams play up to competition level. X axis is team strength Y axis is how much better you play against great teams on your schedule Teams way above the middle play great against big teams, worse against bad teams 👇