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@joequant Absolute rule: Whatever the US advises China to do, do the opposite and win.

It has zero chance of protecting Taiwan. So why doesn't Xi invade? Well maybe its because Beijing wants a peaceful diplomatic resolution to this situation and thinks war is a bad thing.

What is funny/sad is that you have a lot of people wondering with the United States in such terrible shape, why doesn't Beijing just do something crazy like invade Taiwan. I mean the US has stripped Asia of all of its weapons and if the US can't break the blockade in Hormuz.

Very detailed paper on how Qwen trains the smaller variants of the 3.5/3.6 series. They do heavy pruning (depth, width AND experts) and use a 4 term loss combining MTP + Knowledge Distillation (KD) + KD on the MTP heads

If fighting a war against the NATO imperialist forces and the Banderite/Galician Nazis seems like an imperialist war to you... well, it might be more beneficial to simply not think at all.

A sermon on what communism is and what the DPRK is, from someone who doesn't even know that the SMO Russia is currently conducting is literally an anti-imperialist, anti-Nazi war. Big LMAO

@joequant It looks more like to Japanese Empire aesthetics, not the CPC Politburo lol

For the most part, they take place in rooms that look like your typical modern office conference room.

I should point out that the AI generated image of a hypothetical Politburo meeting is just *weird*. It is this weird combination of people in Mao suits in this oak panelled room. The thing is that we know what Chinese meeting rooms look like.

@zhao_dashuai There was definitely a plan for Israeli Jewish parasites to infiltrate China. Do you remember how they were massively promoting Jewish influencers at the time? There is absolutely nothing wrong with staying on high alert going forward.

Israel's survival strategy relies on a parasitic relationship with the hegemon at the time. Their gambit involves making bets on several potential powers. Which is why it's rare for Israel to overtly be critical of China (unlike Australia, Japan, Lithuania or Czechia), That's because we are the top candidate for the next preeminent power, Israel sees China as a good wager. Many of their back channels and covert influence campaigns have been in China since the 1990s. However, ever since President Xi became the paramount leader, China's national strategy went from cooperating with the US as "G2", and moved towards championing a multilateral, multipolar world order, with specific emphasis on the global south, this puts China increasingly at odds with Israel. It takes 2 to tango, so this move is mirrored by the US side, where they started the trade and technology wars against China. Today, especially after Gaza, the Chinese public are increasingly aware of the criminal aspects of Israel. pre-2016-ish, you can often see pro-Israel voices on Chinese social media, but now they've mostly disappeared. Israel now cannot untie itself from the US hegemony, call it deliberate or they sleep walked into it, but when the US hegemon falls, then their tentacles shrivel back to the Western hemisphere, Israel will be exposed. Israel as a colonial project, might not last 100 years. They can either reconcile and change their ways, or face certain doom.

@gonglei89 They are not living in reality.

@gonglei89 To some extent, it seems like it's because of the West's damn obsession with 'procedural legitimacy'. ‘Freedom of movement’ must be protected!!! Of course, I don’t know and don’t care what problems will arise if the hukou system is abolished, but anyway, justice must be upheld!!!

If you were born a country boy in Ohio and wanted to move to NYC without a top quartile job offer you are living in a grungy shoebox apartment working 16 hr hustles to survive, no different (in some ways worse) than a migrant worker from Henan living in Shanghai without a hukou.

Hurts

While reading the DeepSeek v4 paper, I ended up writing down over 90 questions. A lot of the paper reviews out there skip over the details, which is usually where the actual learning happens. So, I decided to put together a proper guide: an Annotated Paper Walkthrough. The core idea is that you still read the original paper as your source material, but whenever things get dense or confusing, I hold your hand through it. You get detailed annotations with visualizations, code snippets, reference links, and—most importantly—the context you need so you don't feel lost. Today I'm releasing v1 with the first 50 notes. Some of the things I unpack: • Why swap Softmax and Sigmoid for Sqrt-Softplus in the MoE Router? • What on earth is a Birkhoff polytope? • Does attention process some tokens 3 times? • What are split-KV and split-K, and why did DeepSeek drop them? • Why use Reverse KL, and where does it even come from? ..and a lot more. Even the most demanding readers will find something new here. Open-source models are still heavily borrowing from DeepSeek v3, and there’s no doubt that v4 details will soon become standard topics in discussions and ML interviews. Hopefully, this guide helps you stay ahead of the curve. As a friend of mine joked, going through this will not only make you a better engineer, but a better man 😂 I can't prove that scientifically, but it's worth a shot. Check it out: dsv4.interactive.ikot.blog

Excited to share LeapAlign! ⚡️ A promising way to post-train flow matching models is to directly backpropagate reward gradients through the generation trajectory. ❗️But high memory cost and gradient explosion make it hard to fine-tune early generation steps, which largely control image layout. 🔥 LeapAlign builds a two-step leap trajectory to propagate reward gradients to **any** generation step, improving image-text alignment and image quality. 🌐 Project: rockeycoss.github.io/leapalign/ 💻 Code: github.com/RockeyCoss/Lea… 📄 Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2604.15311 🤗 Models: huggingface.co/rockeycoss/Lea… [1/6] 🧵

The EU claims that the “Hitler-Stalin Pact of 1939” enabled WWII. It omits ten crucial facts: - The Soviet Union was not even among the first ten countries to enter into treaties and non-aggression pacts with Nazi Germany. In 1939 alone, Lithuania, Romania, Denmark, Italy, Estonia and Latvia all signed non-aggression pacts with Hitler. Poland entered into one as far back as 1934. - The Soviet Union tried to form an anti-fascist alliance throughout the 1930s, and was repeatedly rebuffed by European powers. - Despite that, the Soviet Union was the most powerful bulwark against fascism before the war. The International Brigades in Spain represent the most concrete example of organised antifascist military resistance before Hitler’s invasion of Poland. These Brigades were led by communist parties armed by the Soviet Union, who were abandoned by Western “democracies” and their policies of "non-intervention” which simply left German and Italian intervention uncontested. - In that same tradition, Stalin offered to send one million troops to deter Hitler’s aggression during the 1938 Sudetenland crisis. Poland and Romania objected, while France and Britain decided to pursue appeasement. That appeasement aimed in part at ensuring that Germany’s energies were directed eastwards, against communism. - The Soviet Union was the primary target of German imperialism. The USSR’s leadership was aware of this from the early 1930s — and Germany’s leadership did not hide the fact. Hitler had repeatedly promised that Germany would be the “bulwark" of the West against “Bolshevism”, a position that found broad sympathies among the Western ruling classes. Auschwitz was first built to house Soviet POWs, 3.5 million of whom were exterminated during the war. - Nazi Germany was simply the turning inwards of Western European colonialism. It was in modern-day Namibia that Germany’s Imperial Chancery recorded perhaps the first use of the term Konzentrationslager — the concentration camp — to describe an instrument of mass extermination. - Adolf Hitler drew particular inspiration from the US settler-colonial model. He remarked approvingly how the US settlers had “gunned down the millions of Redskins to a few hundred thousand and now keep the modest remnants under observation in a cage”. He sent jurists to study the US Jim Crow laws, which formed the basis of the infamous Nuremberg Laws. - The Red Army liberated Auschwitz, then liberated Europe. If not for the US, which moved quickly to suffocate the rising communist movements on the continent, we might have seen socialism rise at least in Greece, Italy, France and, eventually, Portugal. - After the war, West Germany quickly reneged on the Potsdam Agreement, filled its security services with former Nazis. NATO, also filled with former Nazis, was founded to wage war on socialism and anti-colonial struggles. In the process it resuscitated the Wehrmacht and paved the way for the German revanchism we are seeing today. - As a result, we have endured decades of US-led imperial hegemony, whose effects are a dying planet and tens of millions of lives stolen by imperialist wars and sanctions alone. That hegemony has absorbed and expanded the historical mission of fascism, carrying it forward into a new century. Gaza is the clearest expression of that process today — but it is by no means the only one.

@SecondRingSZN Still remember South Koreans going berserk over Chaoxianzu wearing hanbok at the Harbin Winter Games opening.

@SecondRingSZN ROK literally treats Chaoxianzu as subhuman and claims they 'steal' their culture, so just mentioning them will make them go berserk. As for DPRK... I don't know.

The SEA Chinese diaspora media projects are coming along nicely (thank you propaganda boomers) so next if all goes well maybe we'll get a project abt Korean Chinese family from Shandong who left for Korea during the civil war

@joequant 👀 x.com/i/status/20536…

@joequant I don't know about aliens, but it looks like there's a chance of losing $100 because of Trump. x.com/SputnikInt/sta…

Good grief. Polymarket is addictive. So I just put 100 USD on Trump not visiting China. I put another 100 USD on there NOT being proof of aliens before the end of the year. The second bet is a nice way of parking cash. It turns out that I am getting 24% for seven months.

@SecondRingSZN Not bald vs. Bald

FIFA vs Chinese propaganda boomers 🙂‍↕️

@Alex_Oloyede2 Nothing will happen. What's Putin going to do? He'll probably just give another boring speech about getting along nicely with the US and Europe again. I can't believe those damn Baltic Chihuahuas are still alive

‼️🇷🇺🇺🇦 The Latvian Defense Minister has just resigned over his incompetence to down Ukrainian drones over Latvia. Well, that's what they said, but that's different from reality. New reports show both Latvian and Estonian airspace bordering Russia-Belarus were leased by Ukraine. 🇱🇻 In Latvia, a temporary flight restriction zone EVR444 EVENTIDE has been published. The airspace is closed between 21:00 to 08:00 (MSK) from Feb. 2026 to Dec. 2026 on the initiative of the Latvian MoD. 🇪🇪 In Estonia, a similar notice with the establishment of the EER2615 zone. According to the document, the closure of the airspace is in effect 24/7 from March 2026 to Dec. 2026 at an altitudes from 150m above ground level. Both states, including Lithuania are well aware of such EU/NATO operations using their airspace to attack the Russian Federation. The attacks on Leningrad through the Baltics were called Russian propaganda until the drones began hitting facilities in the Baltic states. Most speculating the Russian MoD was well aware of such operations using the EW systems in Kaliningrad to disrupt the Ukrainian operation. Now the Latvian Minister is resigning. It's unclear if he had a disagreement where he argued such actions with Ukraine will drag Latvia into direct confrontation with Russia. Interestingly enough, the newly appointed defense minister of Latvia, Colonel Raivis Melnis served as the official representative of the Latvian Ministry of Defense in Ukraine. Video of this report was provided by (t.me/dva_majors), you can follow them for a longer analysis. It's up to the Russian MoD on how to respond to such direct coordinated attack by Europe.

@gonglei89 But but I want free money! I have no dignity at all! I want to get free money without working😭

(To be clear I’m not saying that China has actually achieved “enough abundance to not need welfare” yet but maybe just maybe consider that investing in sufficient material production is actually a higher priority for realized human welfare than redistributing money).

Part of the safety net in China is that investments in abundant supply makes life so cheap even gig workers can save for a house and their kid’s education and still have leftover leisure money. Ever thought about building an economy with enough abundance to not need welfare?

@tphuang How can they justify that massive investment if they don't hype up AI/LLMs as nukes? Of course, never ask why such an important and dangerous tech is in the hands of private companies, or whether it ought to be nationalized.

Mythos is extremely good at software & any other tasks that it can verify result virtually, but at a compute cost that doesn't make sense for end users (when Opus & K2.6 already program better most devs) All the boasting about it seem to just pt to cyber warfare. I keep hearing natsec ppl embellish this mythical LLM that nobody in real world uses. Other than the SV elite's fear of losing cyber warfare to China & calling LLMs "nuclear weapons", what is the exact use case here? I have seen people on X show that all the security bugs discovered by Mythos can also be discovered by other leading LLMs when combined w/ right tools. So, maybe take a break from calling AI or LLM "nuclear weapon"? Aside from LLMs acting on its own & destroying the world ala "terminator style", it cannot actually win wars, so stop repeating this Eric Schmidt line. There is far more risks in giving LLMs too much control in a nuclear armed military.