Mathew Tolcon

16.1K posts

Mathew Tolcon

Mathew Tolcon

@MTolcon

Katılım Kasım 2022
282 Takip Edilen706 Takipçiler
Jane Caro
Jane Caro@JaneCaro·
Imagine if Libs & Nats had had the courage to preference the Independent instead of No Nation in Farrer. She’d likely have won, but even if she didn’t people who’ve turned away from LNP might have turned to re-examine them. As it is, they’ve turned even more voters against them.
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Mathew Tolcon
Mathew Tolcon@MTolcon·
@AusPoll6 I think post Farrer you have to factor in a silent ONP that wont show up in the polls
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AusPoll
AusPoll@AusPoll6·
Victoria (state) voting intention (men) 🟧 ONP: 29.5% (-1) 🟦 L/NP: 26.5% (+2) 🟥 ALP: 23% (-) 🟩 GRN: 11% (-) ⬜️ IND: 7.5% (+0.5) ⬛️ OTH: 2.5% (-1.5) Two-party-preferred 🟦 L/NP: 55% (-) 🟥 ALP: 45% (-) ALP vs ONP 🟧 ONP: 52% (-3.5) 🟥 ALP: 48% (+3.5) L/NP vs ONP 🟦 L/NP: 56.5% (+4) 🟧 ONP: 43.5% (-4) Roy Morgan | 22-24 Apr | n=~850 [subsample from statewide poll] | +/- 13-16 Feb
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Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺
Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺@PaulineHansonOz·
Thank you to the people of Farrer and Australia. We and David Farley for Farrer won’t let you down.
Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺 tweet media
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Kat A 🌸
Kat A 🌸@SaiKate108·
Legacy media should be ashamed of themselves. Running these worn out smears calling Pauline Hanson a racist. It’s well know by now that Imam Tawhidi and around 20 leaders of the Iraqi Muslim community in Sydney literally begged Hanson for help. She was the only one willing to act against dangerous radicals within their community. Hanson is supported by migrants that don’t want Australia to become like the countries they left.
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Avi Yemini
Avi Yemini@OzraeliAvi·
The loony left thought they had this in the bag 😭
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Mathew Tolcon
Mathew Tolcon@MTolcon·
@MarioNawfal The strategy in Iraq was 230,000 troops on the ground for a decade which became a security and peacekeeping force. It has no resemblance to the current strategy in Iran?
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸 The "1% Doctrine" was Dick Cheney's post-9/11 framework that shaped a generation of American foreign policy. The idea: if there's even a 1% chance of a catastrophic threat, especially terrorism or weapons of mass destruction, the U.S. should treat it as a near certainty and act aggressively to stop it. It became part of the justification for the Iraq War and most of the preemptive security policies that followed. The doctrine sounds reasonable on paper. In practice, it ended up justifying decades of war, hundreds of thousands of deaths, trillions of dollars in spending, and a Middle East that is arguably less stable than when the policies began. The 1% threshold is impossibly low. Almost any threat clears it. Once you accept that a 1% chance equals a near certainty, every adversary, every weapons program, every regime that hates America can be turned into a justification for action. The reason this matters now is obvious. The same logic is being applied to Iran today. A nuclear Iran is treated as so unacceptable that almost any cost is justified to prevent it, including a war whose damage is already compounding into food crises, energy shocks, and economic strain across multiple continents. There's a difference between taking real threats seriously and using a 1% probability as a license for unlimited action. The first is responsible governance. The second is what got the country into Iraq. Worth remembering which version we're currently living in...
Mario Nawfal tweet media
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Kat A 🌸
Kat A 🌸@SaiKate108·
The tide has finally turned in Australia! The significance of the victory in Farrer cannot be underestimated. On current polls One Nation could well take 12 new seats in the Senate and more than 30 seats in the Lower House. Incredible 💥💥💥
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dahlia kurtz ✡︎ דליה קורץ
No one understands what Mark Carney is saying here. So I'll translate from Overlord to English: "My European Regime comrades and I don't care what you want. We now control you. We'll fuel your anxiety. Then give you a gold star. Now I'll quote Leonard Cohen to sound cerebral."
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Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺
Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺@PaulineHansonOz·
One Nation’s David Farley has won the seat of Farrer. Tonight, One Nation has secured a victory not just for Farrer but for all of Australia. The people of Farrer have not just spoken, they have roared. The people of Australia will not be forgotten. One Nation will fight for you on the floor of Parliament. We will fight to lower cost of living, end net-zero and stop mass migration. None of the other parties havre represented you and have tried to divide Australia.

Only we believe in running politics as One Nation under one flag for the benefit of Australians, not other countries.
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BroBro🇦🇺🏇🏻
BroBro🇦🇺🏇🏻@realRick_AUS·
ABC is an absolute disgrace. How can a taxpayer funded corporation be so blatantly anti Australian? “Legitimatise one nation” Who the fuck does she think she is? Bitch, we are legitimate and you haven’t seen nothing yet. Fuck you and fuck the ABC. Defund it.
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General Mike Flynn
General Mike Flynn@GenFlynn·
The 2020 Election was Stolen We had a fake president for 4 years. Our country has yet to recover. The corporate media was complicit in the crime. Anyone who uses the phrase “election denier” can GFT! Enough is Enough!!! Hold these people accountable NOW!
🇺🇸🍩 JULIE DONUTS 🇺🇸🍩@Juliedonuts

GOOGLE HELPED TO OVERTHROW THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT IN THE 2020 ELECTION. The lengths these disgusting criminals went to cheat in 2020 is astounding! Take a listen to Google Whistleblower, Zach Vorhies. 2020 IS NOT OVER YET! ⏰ 💥

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Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
CNN confirms the White House is a sinking ship. Vice President JD Vance is a staggering 44 points underwater. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is also facing total rejection from independent voters. Trump's chaotic failures are completely destroying his cabinet's future.
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Matthew Camenzuli
Matthew Camenzuli@Matt_Camenzuli·
ABC not allowed in to One Nation's election party in Farrer. Maybe they should smarten up and stop presenting ideology as fact!
Matthew Camenzuli tweet media
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Matthew Camenzuli
Matthew Camenzuli@Matt_Camenzuli·
Video from inside the One Nation party tonight. David Farley says it is only the beginning as he declares victory in Farrer, taking the once very safe Liberal seat that was neglected by Sussan Ley.
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