Marcello Gusberti🖤

🇮🇷 BREAKING: IRAN HITS ANOTHER JET!!! Iranian air defenses have hit a U.S. Navy F/A-18E Super Hornet.

EVERYONE REPEAT AFTER ME You CANNOT get to Kharg Island with Marines until you successfully transit the Strait of Hormuz ... which the IRGC will make a living hell with sea mines, suicide boat drones, missiles and aerial drones Once past the SOH its a 20-24 hour dash (380nm) to Kharg along a coast that may be firing off antiship missiles, ballistic hypersonic missiles, cruise missiles small boats and suicide drones of all sorts, aerial, surface and subsurface. Then they can just blow up the islands refineries when you arrive so you have to live in a town of 8,000 who hate you in a cloud of poisonous smoke/gas

Some fundamental things to remember as the Iran War hits Week 4: 1. Iran was not an “imminent” threat to the United States: its nuclear program was heavily degraded during the June strikes; it had no ICBM capability to speak of; and Iran’s medium to short-range ballistic missiles we’re only a threat if the U.S. attacked the country. This entire crisis is manufactured. 2. The Strait of Hormuz was always a leverage point for the Iranians. It was Tehran’s biggest card, and it turns out the regime was more than happy to play it if it believed its survival was at stake. Every war game known to man anticipated this, yet the Trump administration was apparently caught flat-footed to the point where it’s now allowing other countries to purchase Iranian oil to help calm the market. This policy change could net the regime another $14 billion, which means we’re now essentially funding the very adversary we’re currently fighting. Either Trump and his advisers don’t read or they’re laughably incompetent. Maybe both. 3. Congress has been pathetic throughout this entire ordeal. Not only has it failed to debate and authorize the war, but the congressional leadership has refused to even schedule open hearings to talk about it. And I’ll remind everybody that the war is almost one-month old. Mike Johnson, John Thune and the chairman of the various national security committees ought to be ashamed of themselves for turning a once-proud institution into a rubber stamp body of useless specimens that can’t even do the most basic thing imaginable: oversight. 4. Trump’s decision to wage war in Iran is now undermining other aspects of his foreign policy. Russia is taking advantage of higher oil prices to fund the war in Ukraine, which makes Trump’s desire to strike a settlement there virtually impossible. China is happy to see the U.S. military bottled up in the Middle East yet again—I’ve lost track of how many U.S. military assets have been re-deployed out of Asia. And because Middle East oil is not a sure thing anymore, China will probably buy more from Russia, further solidifying the relationship between two powers that Trump would like to pull apart (although we can debate whether this would even be possible). 5. Finally, the war exposes just how little we’ve learned as a country. People have short memories. The same public intellectuals and former officials who rooted for the war in Iraq are also rooting for the war in Iran. The same assumptions—the U.S. can will a new Middle East into existence—still hover over U.S. foreign policy like a bad cold.

Will somebody please explain to me how, with the Strait of Hormuz a no-go-zone for the U.S. Navy, and our warships driven out of the Persian Gulf, we can support a USMC amphibious landing on Kharg Island, 750 miles from the eastern tip of Oman?🧵 Is the Tripoli Amphibious Ready Group going to storm into the Persian Gulf, where our Burke-class destroyers won't go? Obviously not. This idea is insane. How about by helo and tilt-rotor? Out of range. What if they stage in Kuwait or Saudi Arabia for helo and Osprey lifts across the Gulf? Russia and China will tell Iran where to aim their drones and missiles while the force is assembling. Maybe a mass paradrop? Straight into an "Alamo" siege. Great idea. Not. What if the Marines just capture some of those "small" islands in the Strait of Hormuz? Qeshm is bigger than Okinawa. Larak is bigger than Iwo Jima. Any idea how many Marines and Soldiers it took to conquer just those 2 islands, at what cost in KIA and WIA? I keep reading absolute MORONS on X telling how some A-10s are "softening up" an area larger than South Vietnam, so that a few thousand Marines can attack and hold . . . what? It's as if space aliens studying only still images had no sense of scale of earth creatures, and thought a mouse could eat an elephant. It boggles my mind.