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My observations on a new Chinese large naval gun revealed in imagery last week. Via @navalnewscom:
navalnews.com/naval-news/202…
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Alex Luck
150.3K posts
Alex Luck
@AlexLuck9
PLAN. Bundeswehr. Navy-stuff. Cat/dog/spider-guy. Überbringer schlechter Nachrichten. Analysis @navalnewscom. Contributor @hartpunkt. Articles @FPRI.
Brisbane, Queensland Katılım Aralık 2016
1.6K Takip Edilen32.5K Takipçiler
@CollinSLKoh They are going through the rhetorical motions. I dont think it means anything beyond some notional participation once the actual conflict is over.
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"We express our readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait."
Joint naval escort effort in the offing? Or let's not get our hopes a little too high?
gov.uk/government/new…
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Alex Luck retweetledi
Notable diplomatic faux pas aside, it is unwise to liken the U.S. preventative strike against Iran to the Japanese surprise attack on Pearl Harbor--the "day that will live in infamy," later judged a "crime against peace" at the Tokyo War Crimes Tribunals.
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@tshugart3 What Chinese statement are the quoted sections based on? Because they're not part of the published language regarding the 2027 benchmark, as the CMPR et all repeatedly publish it.
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DoD said the PLA is making steady progress toward its 2027 goals to be able to achieve victory over Taiwan and against a U.S. intervention.
It also said the PLA is refining multiple options including invasion, firepower strikes, and possibly a blockade.
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Some interesting differences between the newly-released ODNI Annual Threat Assessment and the Pentagon's China Military Power Report (CMPR), released only a few months ago.
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Alex Luck retweetledi
I don't think the new ODNI assessment on Taiwan is much of a "shift", as suggested here. US never thought 2027 was a deadline, but a date by which Xi wanted the PLA to be ready. Not did it think PRC wanted to use force over other means.
wsj.com/world/china/ch…
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Alex Luck retweetledi
After 10 weeks of a U.S. oil blockade, Cuba's grid is near collapse. Russia may be sending a lifeline: a state-owned tanker full of crude. But a Chinese-owned tanker, spooked by U.S. threats, abandoned its Cuba delivery and is now looking for a buyer elsewhere. w/ @jacknicas
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Alex Luck retweetledi
Das ist (offenbar) neu.
Die beiden Truppenwerbeplattformen, (oft nach wie vor als Hohlstablenkboote erwähnt) haben eine neue Bezeichnung.
Sie reihen sich damit bei den zwei Hochsee- und Führungsschleppern und dem Forschungs- und Führungsschiff ein. 🫠
bundeswehr.de/de/ausruestung…
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@Dr_M_Davis Without seizing the coastline there is no sustainable protection, and for that the US I imagine have neither the determination nor the resources. The only way would seem to be some sort of political agreement.
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@AlexLuck9 Certainly not whilst the Iranians have an advantageous position from the shore to fire on any ship entering the Strait. Once those Iranians forces are destroyed, it becomes more possible, but, easier said than done.
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"...as and when the situation allows"
This is the key phrase here...
I don't get the impression they are talking about deploying during hostilities, under fire from Iranian forces ashore.
This is a plan for the post-war period to ensure maritime security and the flow of energy resources.
Six allies ready to help 'safe passage' through Hormuz Strait theaustralian.com.au/world/ungratef… via @theaustralian
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Alex Luck retweetledi
Military officials say that since the cluster bombs are unlikely to cause significant harm if civilians are sheltering, there are times when the IAF chooses not to shoot down all or some of the bomblets to conserve its stockpile of short-range interceptors.
timesofisrael.com/to-conserve-in…
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Alex Luck retweetledi
Alex Luck retweetledi
Preisdent @ChingteLai boardered both Hai Kun and Hai Lung submarines. Note that they were wearing safety hats inside Hai Kun, and clip only showed non-sensitive area (cafeteria etc), so periscope photo was taken in Hai Lung.
Also note that deck of Hai Kun appers to be wider.
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Presuming that the German Defence Minister is heading to Australia to hold in-person discussions with @AlexLuck9 on the state of the German fleet 😆
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German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius to visit Singapore from 23 to 25 March per German Embassy Singapore and after that heads to Australia
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Alex Luck retweetledi
Singapore navy submarine, Inimitable, ETA S’pore this weekend on Rolldock Star. 3rd of 6 Invincible-class subs
@TheBaseLeg @Johann_U96 @USN_Submariner @SubBrief @TayfunOzberk @TheSubHunter1 @WarshipCam @alexluck9 Straits Sights @straitssights @alessionaval @supbrow @BDHerzinger
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"Why would European nations hesitate to bail out the US regarding Hormuz? Its a real puzzle!"
Shashank Joshi@shashj
Remarkable story from Denmark's nat'l broadcaster. "When Danish soldiers were flown to Greenland in January...they brought explosives so they could destroy, among other things, the runways in Nuuk & Kangerlussuaq [to] prevent US mil aircraft from landing" dr.dk/nyheder/indlan…
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Alex Luck retweetledi
I see we're back to bombing nuclear installations. Old enough to recall the outrage when Russia was doing that in #Ukraine and how the US and EU were fuming in the UN Security Council
Inst for Science@TheGoodISIS
NEW: High resolution Airbus imagery taken today confirms a projectile impact 350 m away from the Bushehr power reactor. See before image for comparison.
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@MSchularick Wie man als Professor solche Einsichten raushaut, fuer die man normalerweise Erstsemester im Seminar anschmunzelt, ist mir echt unerklaerlich.
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Warum unterstützen und kooperieren wir hier nicht? Wir haben so viel von der Ukraine zu lernen in Sachen Drohnenabwehr, aber sind sogar zu bräsig Dinge zu tun, die in unserem eigenen Interesse sind.
Tymofiy Mylovanov@Mylovanov
Ukraine is building its own Iron Dome — for a country 30 times larger than Israel. Israel never shared its system. Ukraine had no choice but to design one from scratch — El País. 1/
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Alex Luck retweetledi
2nd Type 31 frigate, HMS Active, has been floated off the barge in the basin at Rosyth following her roll out on 24th Feb.
(The basin has been dredged to make it deep enough)
Photo shows ship awaiting to re-enter the basin after dredging operations were completed.
Via @Brian_D2016 @dcullen_photo
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Alex Luck retweetledi
🇳🇴 Two Royal Norwegian Air Force F-35A Lightning II single-seat, single-engine, stealth multirole fighters assigned to the 132nd Luftving taxi during Exercise Cold Response 26 at Ørland Main Air Station, Norway, March 16, 2026. The jets' dorsal drag chute pods are clearly visible here.
(📸/U.S. Air Force photo by Staff. Sgt. Elizabeth Davis)
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