HedgeAlgo 🇺🇸

Future AI job losses roadmap. Software, finance, customer support, and administrative AI losses are leading followed by legal, education, and media.

Upcoming midterm elections is Iran’s leverage. Beyond elections, there is less desperate need for US to settle.

@HumbleStudent EPS is always wrong as it lags equity prices.

3 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Somebody is very wrong. $SPX skidding but forward 12m EPS is on a tear.

@Mike_Pence Hey, this is what I said. Doesn't matter how and when it was started. What is important is US finish the job and see it through.

Finish the Job in Iran: The Worst Thing Trump Could Do Would Be to End the Iran War Prematurely | WSJ wsj.com/opinion/free-e…

@sdav1986 @qnt_osd @taobanker What do you use for delta hedging? Do you add the underlying instrument leg or adjust the strangle leg(s)?

@qnt_osd @taobanker strangles hedging delta as time passes, neutral at entry. yeah I get you can always find some combinations which did not work. but most way of selling delta neural worked like a charm

this is selling s&p options this year folks

@mog_russEN Ok NASA wants to build a base on Moon? It will constantly get bombarded by rocks.

🚨⚡️A rare video of a meteorite hitting the Moon is going viral worldwide Because the Moon has no atmosphere, meteorites don’t burn up on impact like they do on Earth

@esjesjesj SpaceX IPO timing.

Why the fuck is he involved

@SmallCapScience 2022 repeat.

In the near future it will finally “click” for people how bad this situation is. Hormuz Closure and Oil are the tip of the iceberg. Soon we see supply chains breaking, massive food shortages, and energy costs skyrocketing. It’s already in motion, why is everyone complacent?

@BobEUnlimited Markets are not priced in yet due to all the jawboning squeezes. But it will get there.

Are Markets Underpricing Conflict Tail Risk? If the conflict extends to the summer, the global economy will face sharply higher oil prices. Financial market pricing remains pretty sanguine even as prediction markets show 40% odds we get there. bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/are-markets-…

@PitTalkPodcast1 Mass mobilization is required now!

Marines, “…This is not a theoretical exercise. Our forces are currently engaged in operations connected to Iran to preserve stability and History demands our readiness today, tomorrow, and every day…” “The Fights On” Lt. General Anderson MARFORRES/MARFORSOUTH LFG 🦅🌎⚓️

@SMohyeddin Wow some serious stuff!

Dubai is cancelling the residencies of Iranians. This could affect between 400 to 600,000 Iranians. Five Iranian schools have been shutdown and the 54 year old Iranian Jumeirah hospital. Iranian assets in Dubai total some 330 billion dollars.

@larry_kudlow 6 to 12 months of intense battle for Hormuz while it remains shit during the fire fight.

Investors should sell oil and buy stocks (preferably the broad-based index) and hold it for 100 years. My message to self-seeking bears is: the U.S. is going to take control of Hormuz, which will settle down oil markets and it's not gonna take much longer. foxbusiness.com/video/63918782… #FoxBusiness

@mikeharrisNY Well the cost is cheaper now than years later. Turning back now is same as giving the Gulf to China-Russia-Iran forever with loss of ability to sanction Iran as they will settle in Yuan. US must finish the job.

The USA can destroy Iran, but at a cost to the world, economic and human. The risk is this turning into a Chinese proxy and attrition war with support from Russia. Ultimately, the USA can destroy all of them, but at what cost? 20 years of global instability? What does Claude say?

@Polymarket Wut? We are in a simulation!

JUST IN: White House officially launches OnlyFarms — a government policy platform for farmers.

@JKeynesAlpha Those are all in the past, sunk cost. What matters now is going to be forward and finishing what has been unleashed. This job will likely carry over to the next administration. Get the job done!

Start a war with no apparent plan or strategy other than hoping Iranian people will rise up (they didn’t). Bomb the crap out of everything (doesn’t work). Don’t plan for the closure of Hormuz (all oil stopped). Try to bully EU NATO allies to fix it (they won’t because they weren’t consulted and a month ago an invasion of Greenland was threatened in earnest now they hate the U.S.). Gulf states getting bombed (but not retaliating). Try to TACO (impossible because it’s a full on serious war now). Crash the markets and set up a stagflationary recession (gaslight everyone every 2 hours about how everything is great and it’s almost over and inside trade it with administration buddies). Say it’s over (it’s not). Say you will never put boots on the ground (you become another worse version of George W. Bush). Basically do the dumbest thing ever seen in the Middle East, screw it up royally, and leave everyone else holding the bag.

5. Use gas/smoke to clear out underground facilities. 6. Establish permanent network of underground US bases. 7. Those bases are immune from insurgent/militia rocket/drones. 8. Secure the entire gulf and operate the SoH. 9. Control flow of oil and prevent war with China.

If I was the commander in chief of US: 1. Embrace a long war. Make the case to public. 2. Pivot to war economy. Invoke defense production act. 3. Line up and deploy a huge invasion force. 4. Systematically take over underground bunkers, silos, cities.

Ironically, the regime change is happening in reverse? Can’t make this stuff up!

@MikeZaccardi @finviz_com Bear market for the most widely held stocks, innit?

Current Mag 7+ drawdowns from 52wk highs... $NVDA -21% $GOOGL -22% $MSFT -36% $AAPL -14% $AMZN -23% $META -34% $TSLA -28% $AVGO -27% $ORCL -60% $CRM -39% $NFLX -31% $AMD -25% $PLTR -31% $MU -24% $IBM -27% $V $MA 20% $LLY -23% @finviz_com

6 months later we will be say "damn, $100 oil was cheap!"

Accounts at all time highs. Thank the good Lord I am not a buy-n-hodl investor. 😅