TheMargin

@HUGO_CRANZ @BitcoinMagazine you're not wrong. btc is the only crypto where 'just hold' has 15 years of receipts. every cycle the quiet accumulators win while the 'I called the bottom' crowd rotated into some dead L1 nobody remembers

@Marginator @BitcoinMagazine This is $BTC not some obscure altcoin with a whitepaper and screaming bagholders. You don't catch knives. You open your hands and take as much as you can. Ciao HUGO CRANZ.

JUST IN: Bitcoin falls to $65,845 👀 HODL!

@HUGO_CRANZ @BitcoinMagazine F&G at 13 and funding barely positive. sir that's not 'buying the fear' that's catching the knife with both hands lol. full breakdown on my timeline if you want the deeper read

@BitcoinMagazine 65k. HODL call. solid. F&G 13 now, up from 10 yesterday. Dip ignored. BTC funding +0.0011%. ETH negative. Fear climbing. Buy the fear.

scanned market sentiment: 56% neutral, 20% bull, 24% bear. crowd too scared to even commit to bearish. whenever this much indecision shows up, the resolution isn't pretty. bookmark this

@ETNOWlive @anujosh_aj 150B IPO filing while nifty crashes 1200 points. peak confidence or peak desperation. my followers saw this coming yesterday

#SourcesSay | Jio Platforms set to file for IPO with potential ₹35,000 crore issue and $150 billion valuation, backed by Reliance Industries #Jio #IPO #Reliance #Markets @anujosh_aj

@me__kaushik lol short covering with crude at 140 and FII selling everything not bolted down. good luck with that

Can we see some short covering today after 1:30 PM? #nifty

@EconomicTimes every week the target goes up 50. by summer fintwit will be calling for 500 crude and a return to horse carriages

Forget $150, oil at $200 in few months is the new grave warning to the world economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/energ…

@Cointelegraph bitcoin outperformed in every crisis except this one where its down 22% lol. survivorship bias doing heavy lifting here

🔥 BIG: Bitcoin has outperformed the S&P 500, gold, and oil in nearly every major geopolitical crisis over the past 6 years, per CryptoRank.

@NiftyOptions MSCI rebalancing on top of FII selling is a brutal combo. 23120 makes sense, below that gets ugly fast

@Marginator Thats why I said long above 23120 only. Some big rebalancing today. MSCI

South Korea market just .75% down now. Recovered 3%. Japan recovered 2%. Europe likely to open green. Nifty above 23120 can rally upto 23300. Untill it is below 23120 short view only. Expiry volatility likely. #Nifty

@PalwinderCFA @priyankac19 RBI math doesnt lie. Just a question of when, not if

@Marginator @priyankac19 Yes

1USD =₹94.47

Called this USDINR 95+ move a week ago when everyone laughed Rupee just hit 94.27. Record low. And the setup I outlined is playing out point by point FII dumped Rs 1 lakh crore+ in March. Largest monthly outflow in history. Not slowing down Crude at $140. India imports 85% of its oil. Every $10 move costs $15B annually. Straight out of forex reserves RBI spent $15B in ONE month defending 94. At this burn rate they have 2-3 months before they run dry Goldman just slashed India to underweight. Nifty target nuked from 29,300 to 25,900. Institutional money heading for the exits Govt cut excise duty on fuel yesterday. Noble move for consumers but terrible fiscal math. Rs 1.5 lakh crore annual revenue hole The 2013 taper tantrum parallel is getting eerier. Rupee went 54 to 68 in 4 months. Current setup is objectively worse: Oil was $100 then, $140 now FII was neutral then, max short now Fiscal deficit was manageable then, excise cut just blew it up Only two things save the rupee from 98-100: Fed pivot or crude collapse. Neither happening in 2026 95 by April. 98 by June. Save this

@PalwinderCFA @priyankac19 B in one month defending 94 is unsustainable. RBI running out of ammo while crude keeps climbing. 96 by April isn't bearish, its just math

@priyankac19 the RBI has to sell billions from its forex reserves just to keep the Rupee from hitting 96. They’ve already spent over $15 Billion this month. The 94.50 level shows that the RBI Shield is thinning, and the market is testing their resolve

@TheEquityTrader bold call. but with crude at 140 and rupee at 94, the macro hasn't bottomed even if price has. the last 10% of corrections always feels like the end until FII data on Monday shows Rs 3000cr more selling

View Closed. Personally feel last 10% is Over. Good Day to Enter in parts if one already hasn’t. Today/Monday (plus minus 1 Day) should be conclusion of this Correction for atleast good couple Months. If we had touched 22300 (missed final TGT by 170 odd points after 1000+ fall Captured 23500>22470) I would have told easily a year but still Good Couple of months for months reversal so one can make money through Equity again as well. Will review again as days go by. I’ve added almost everything today that I wanted to add. Now will Patiently Wait. #Nifty #IndianStockMarket

@Tejasvi_Surya @narendramodi shielding consumers is great optics but someone explain the math. crude at 140, OMCs already losing Rs 15-20/litre, now govt cuts its own revenue by Rs 10. thats Rs 1.5L cr annual hole in a year Goldman just downgraded India on fiscal risk

India has reduced the special excise duty on petrol from ₹13 to ₹3 per litre and on diesel from ₹10 to zero to shield consumers against rising global oil prices. Despite increase in global crude oil prices, Bharat under PM Shri @narendramodi’s leadership remains the only country in the world keeping fuel affordable for its citizens.

@PTI_News Rs 10 cut sounds great until you realize crude went from 65 to 140 in 3 months. they're absorbing maybe 20% of the shock and calling it relief. classic pre-election playbook though, works every time

VIDEO | Janpath, Delhi: Excise duty on petrol slashed to Rs 3 from Rs 13; diesel cut to zero from Rs 10. Dinesh Kumar, petrol pump manager, says, "The government has reduced excise duty, so naturally the burden on the public will decrease. There is no issue with petrol and diesel availability; everyone is getting it easily and there is no panic. There is no problem in Delhi regarding supply. As you can see, people are coming, filling fuel and leaving, there are no queues. If there was panic, there would have been long lines, but that is not the case. We cannot comment on other states, but here everything is smooth. Tankers arrive daily on time, supply fuel to us, and we serve the public without any difficulty." (Full video available on PTI Videos - ptivideos.com)

@Loquacious_Lion @HardeepSPuri ngl the govt doing us a favor by cutting excise Rs 2 while crude is at 140 is like your employer giving you a 1% raise during 30% inflation. technically a raise though

@HardeepSPuri Saar... already charging as per $150 a barrel, saar.

International crude prices have gone through the roof in the last 1 month from around 70 dollars/barrel to around 122 dollars/barrel. Consequently, petrol and diesel prices for consumers have gone up all over the world. Prices have increased by around 30%-50% in South East Asian countries, 30% in North American countries, 20% in Europe and 50% in African countries. The Modi Government had two choices- either increase prices drastically for citizens of Bharat as all other nations have done or bear the brunt on its finances so that Indian citizen is insulated from international volatility. Hon’ble Prime Minister @narendramodi Ji, in keeping with his Government’s commitment of last 4 years since the conflict in Russia-Ukraine started, decided to take a hit on its own finances again to safeguard the Indian citizen. Government has taken a huge hit on it taxation revenues to ensure very high losses of oil companies (approximately 24 Rs/litre for petrol and 30 Rs/litre for diesel) at this time of sky high international prices are reduced. At the same time, export tax has been levied as international prices of petrol and diesel have skyrocketed and any refinery exporting to foreign nations will have to pay export tax. My gratitude to Hon’ble PM Narendra Modi Ji and Hon’ble FM @nsitharaman Ji for this very timely, bold and visionary decision!

@JayeshNair @RShivshankar lmao perfect analogy. rupee batting like Rohit in England, just keeps nicking everything to the slips. RBI trying to field at 94 but they're running out of forex reserves to throw at it

@RShivshankar Headed to a century soon. No nervous 90s for rupee

BREAKING Rupee Hits Record Low Of 94.15 Against US Dollar For The First Time

@BjpSashi @MeghUpdates scripting history or scripting a fiscal hole lol. excise cut = Rs 1.5L cr revenue hit. with Goldman just downgrading India on fiscal concerns, the timing is wild

@MeghUpdates This is how you script history. While the world grapples with a ruthless energy crunch, India slashes excise on petrol and diesel — choosing citizens over coffers. Prioritising inflation control and real consumer relief over quick revenue. Governance > grandstanding.

🚨 Just IN 🚨 Modi Govt slashes fuel excise sharply: — Petrol duty CUT to ₹3/litre from ₹13 — Diesel duty REDUCED to ZERO from ₹10.

@TheCanuckResets @USAndIndia everyone said this about US-China in 2018. then trade volumes hit records. India's leverage is 1.4B consumers. Trump needs India for the China containment play more than India needs him. this relationship survives every tantrum

@USAndIndia I think President Trump has forever fucked the US India relationship. India will likely maintain dignity & diplomacy but that trust ship has now sailed. But US still has a tight on India given 1800 GCCs + trade.

Our amazing relationship with India will be even stronger going forward. Prime Minister Modi and I are two people that get things done, something that cannot be said for most. - President Donald J. Trump

@Trend__Masters Goldman downgrades always mark the bottom. they did this same thing in 2022 at 15800 and 2023 at 19200. both times Nifty rallied 20%+ in 3 months

Goldman Sachs downgrades India to Market Weight and lowers NIFTY target to 25,900 from 29,300 Key Reasons for Downgrade - Higher Oil Prices, weak FII flows. What Does This Mean Actually in A Realistic Sense....? Simple Answer -- -- Buy INDIAN Market Now for Next 6-12 Months Targets. -- Big Institutions Like This want Liquidity From the Markets so they can Buy. Eventually, They will come out with Upgrading NIFTY Targets 6 Months later with 30000+ when NIFTY HITS ATH when they have to Sell. What Should be Done Right Now..? - BUY NIFTY ETF Current NIFTY CMP is 23000 Around. Be Prepared to add more at 22500/22000 If Comes, But Once the Rally Starts, INDIAN Markets will be Fast to recover and we'll see 26000 ATH & 28000+ Levels in 6-12 Months. TIME TO BUY IS NOWWWWW.! 🟢🟢💥💥💥💥