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AlphaBeta

@Marketmakemkc

God is in the details. Can you handle the downside.

Paddington, London Katılım Ağustos 2025
115 Takip Edilen101 Takipçiler
Kevin Xu
Kevin Xu@kevinxu·
subscribers got my early thoughts before i even got in the trade myself. many got in in low $14s buttons right there
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Kevin Xu
Kevin Xu@kevinxu·
let's just say there's a reason i had to rush all in $HLIT on friday my instinct told me
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Kevin Xu@kevinxu

NEW TRADE: ALL IN $HLIT. Currently -2% lower than my own entry btw. They make broadband software for companies like Comcast, Charter, etc. I spent 2 hours researching the ticker here on 𝕏 and think it could be a good one. THESIS: Huge pull-forward demand to future-proof for an agentic AI world. Similar to $NOK but for broadband networks. Citrini shouted it out yesterday after hours x.com/citrini/status… which caused the +15% jump Agentic AI usage patterns will look quite different than previous networking demands (mostly one-way like video). So there's a huge push to modernize quickly. Their CableOS software is the easiest way to do it. The company is legit: - 98% market share - Revenue is up 87% YoY, 43% QoQ - 52% gross margins - Guidance raised to $475M - $495M - $43M in stock repurchases - Lots of insider, hedge fund, and robinhood buying - Stock price peaked at $157.50 back in 2000 🤯 They also sold their legacy low growth video business to focus on the high-margin software. Good focus. Catalyst is... price momentum honestly. Similar to $BAND over the last few weeks. Crossing fingers its the start of a multi-day run. I hate chasing. NGL I broke this rule here. Had to listen to my gut. Also worth experimenting with my own rules. Different markets demand different rules and not chasing this year has left me missing several good plays. We'll see how good my gut still is. My doctor says its healthy. --- As a reminder: this is my challenge account where I restarted with $35k to go all-in swing trading 1 stock at a time to $10M again. Now at $61k. As always, please do your own research with your own independent thinking and risk tolerance and decide your own buys and sells. (sorry for the delay, was dealing with a power outage and had to run to a cafe)

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AlphaBeta
AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
@amitisinvesting Well said Amit, however with one caveat, * in addition grateful for Cactus Jack @CaktusJxck and his transcendent thirst to get the “latest news” out to his followers.🫡🎖️
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
The older I get, the more I realize that the freedoms I get to enjoy in this country are only because of people who gave up their lives in order to create the possibility for future generations to experience freedom. Deeply proud to be an American and dedicated to making sure I never forget why I even get to have a chance to pursue the American dream 🇺🇸
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AlphaBeta
AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
@aleabitoreddit Grateful for your early conviction on SIVE. Long 30k shares in high $1s☝️🔥 @aleabitoreddit : Did you ever land a couple “Robotic picks” from your pole a few days ago? Thank you🙏👊🏽
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
For people trying to do valuation analysis on $SIVE. Ayar, Celestial, Lightmatter, Lightelligence are probably valued probably ~$4B-15B+ today. Sivers is ~$2.6B MC and they're likely upstream laser for them all. I'm not even including Poet, TFLN links like Hyperlight/Lightium, or pluggables like Jabil + other undisclosed players in valuation analysis. Or their other segments like CHIPS Act contracts or Apple/Nokia relationships. Or humanoid/physical AI segments with Aeva + others. Retail aren't as familiar with private markets... But these companies are all considered the frontier CPO players, and are growing valuations/scaling rapidly. So, I'd expect $SIVE to command similar if not higher valuations given laser chokepoint premiums. Especially after they pull off M&A to TAM expand revenue. New Blackrock/Vanguard/MSCI/NASDAQ inflow next month helps close that gap over time. But NASDAQ listing is probably what gives Sivers a premium.
Dominik@Dominik56798023

@aleabitoreddit Is it still worth investing in Sive?

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AlphaBeta
AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
@aleabitoreddit @Grok please look at all the replies to original post and give me the top 3 most highly chosen so far?
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
All right chat, crowdsourcing your #1 highest conviction (10x only) stock long for the Power Semi trade. Especially given $NVDA pushing shift to 800 VDC. Stuff like $NVTS or $WOLF, but high-beta, 10x potential only. Anywhere around the world. What's your pick?
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AlphaBeta
AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
@CKCapitalxx In addition to maybe three or fours more catalysts —> new contracts hinted by CEO in last earnings call by Q3….🔥☝️ Long 20,000+ $AMPG
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Ehrmantraut Capital
Ehrmantraut Capital@EhrmantrautCap_·
AmpliTech Group $AMPG's Q1 2026 numbers (released on May 13th): Revenue: $5.35 million, +48.6% y/y compared to Q1 2025. Net profit: -$1.52 million, an improvement of +17.3% y/y Gross margin: 48%, a significant increase compared to 33% in Q1 2025 Manufacturing and Engineering segment was the primary driver of revenue growth and margin expansion, with revenue scaling to $3.28M compared to $0.99M in the prior-year quarter. This is the most interesting segment, which includes their 5G Open RAN systems (AGTGSS), custom low-noise amplifiers, MMIC microchips, and satellite communications equipment, and has a higher gross margin of over 55%. Management guides 2026 revenue to be $50 million, however the CEO notes that revenue recognition will likely be heavily weighted towards the 2nd half of 2026, due to current production timelines and delivery schedules. The company's liquidity is strong with cash & cash equivalents rising to $18.4 million. Although dilution fears are still there, the strong cash position gives reassurance and the company is at the inflection point of commercializing and becoming profitable for the year 2026.
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Ehrmantraut Capital
Ehrmantraut Capital@EhrmantrautCap_·
@Marketmakemkc The mispricing is crazy indeed. Could also catch a nice bid in the runup to the SpaceX IPO, they also sell LNAs for SATCOM for example.
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AlphaBeta
AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
@aleabitoreddit Great post - genius marketing - show the human side on a Saturday afternoon. Genius.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
I’m pretty international! I’m in Japan right now so learning Japanese. Lived in China for a tiny bit and I travel to Taiwan pretty often. So know some Chinese. Used to play soccer in Mexico, so I know some Spanish. I used to go to Korea just to play League of Legends in KR server with friends… so I mainly know all the swear words from all chat? Idk if I count the UK as international anymore… was actually going to study AI at Edinburgh before I decided to do my own stuff. Been to Singapore like 15 times. Canada way too many times… Maybe been to ~28+ countries or so? I kinda have PTSD from Sweden from X, but maybe the people will be more welcoming if I show up in person… I’m usually at Rosewood Menlo Park if anyone wants to say hi one day. So maybe just living internationally makes me receptive to foreign equities?
tr4mp3r@OveB__

@aleabitoreddit 你到底是哪裡人?!

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browndisaster
browndisaster@abrowndisaster·
@Marketmakemkc @aleabitoreddit no I'm serious. I worked for a Swedish company in Halmstad for 10yrs. The CFO of that company just joined the board of SIVE. He was brought into my former company for strategic acquisitions as they scaled. Super-sharp guy and one of the more technical CFOs I had ever met.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Wait until you realize that this is actually NASDAQ liquidity required for the US listing/float. And proceeds are expected go to $SIVE M&A (they hired 2 acquisition related board members). For photonics TAM/Revenue expansion. Not only that, all the small companies they worked with from Celestial to Lightmatter ended up being swallowed up by Marvell or became independent billion dollar companies. So Sivers is by far the most knowledgable in what to acquire at the very start. Which is why I call $SIVE the Kingmaker for CPO. This is in fact extremely bullish for Sivers.
Micro Spy 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸@Roadstockz

@MacnBTC Depends how long it takes retail to realize that there is a 15% dilution proposal coming up mid june. lol

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browndisaster
browndisaster@abrowndisaster·
@aleabitoreddit I just saw their two recent board appointees, and one of them is my former CFO. Big things are happening.
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AlphaBeta
AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
@aleabitoreddit Thank you again for providing this incredible conviction early when $SIVEF was in the $1’s. 💙🔥👊🏽
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AlphaBeta
AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
Still a sleeper - yet to find any holes in my thesis. Closer to Spacex ipo will bring it even more attention. Beyond all that, it’s got insane 3-5 year potential and will be in every satellite design going forward. Long 20K.🔥
CK Capital@CKCapitalxx

46 people. Four of the most demanding customers on earth. A fully certified 5G stack ready to ship across North America. And a market cap that has not caught up yet. $AMPG is the most undervalued setup I have seen in small cap in a long time and today’s FCC certification just changed the entire trajectory of this company. Here is what most people still do not understand about AmpliTech. The hardest part of building a defense and telecom hardware company is not the technology. It is the qualification. Getting into the supply chains of Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon, and NASA simultaneously requires years of security clearances, technical audits, and product validation that eliminate the vast majority of companies before they ever ship a single unit. $AMPG already did all of that. With 46 people. Now they have a fully FCC and Canadian ISED certified indoor 5G Native DAS solution covering the entire US and Canadian market with zero regulatory friction. Carrier orders already placed. Shipments starting later this year. And then behind it a $140 million LOI pipeline. 100% revenue growth guidance for 2026. Gross margins at 48% and climbing. Zero debt. And Europe has not even started yet. Carriers across the EU are under mandate to rip out Huawei. $AMPG’s certified O-RAN hardware is exactly what they need. That market is completely unpriced today. Defense contracts. Carrier revenue starting. EU mandate tailwind coming. All stacking on top of each other inside a company most people have never heard of. The qualification was the hardest part. They already did it. $AMPG

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CK Capital
CK Capital@CKCapitalxx·
46 people. Four of the most demanding customers on earth. A fully certified 5G stack ready to ship across North America. And a market cap that has not caught up yet. $AMPG is the most undervalued setup I have seen in small cap in a long time and today’s FCC certification just changed the entire trajectory of this company. Here is what most people still do not understand about AmpliTech. The hardest part of building a defense and telecom hardware company is not the technology. It is the qualification. Getting into the supply chains of Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon, and NASA simultaneously requires years of security clearances, technical audits, and product validation that eliminate the vast majority of companies before they ever ship a single unit. $AMPG already did all of that. With 46 people. Now they have a fully FCC and Canadian ISED certified indoor 5G Native DAS solution covering the entire US and Canadian market with zero regulatory friction. Carrier orders already placed. Shipments starting later this year. And then behind it a $140 million LOI pipeline. 100% revenue growth guidance for 2026. Gross margins at 48% and climbing. Zero debt. And Europe has not even started yet. Carriers across the EU are under mandate to rip out Huawei. $AMPG’s certified O-RAN hardware is exactly what they need. That market is completely unpriced today. Defense contracts. Carrier revenue starting. EU mandate tailwind coming. All stacking on top of each other inside a company most people have never heard of. The qualification was the hardest part. They already did it. $AMPG
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AlphaBeta
AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
@aleabitoreddit $AMPG @aleabitoreddit - even the best miss some of the obvious plays. Gonna let them ride, early times, no debt, $100M MC, revolutionary tech in the first inning of space deployment. Lastly, amazing team and VISIONARY leader CEO. You were told about this one.☝️🔥
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AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
Lol, seriously that’s your parable here? 🥴 To send a struggling senior citizen out the back door feeling even more despondent about himself & his financial situation - hardly inspiring. Seriously, you make enough Tommy - why not do a solid and allow poor old Rick in for free. You would also attract more subscribers with this act of kindness. You Brits never get it. 🖤
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Tom Nash
Tom Nash@iamtomnash·
Rick reached out to me asking how to join my $2,000 program. After reading his situation, I told him NOT to buy it. Shocking right? Not at all. That’s how I operate. He is 81, recently lost his job, may need to pull $2,000 to $3,000 per month from investments, and is already under enough pressure. That is not the moment to sell someone a premium program. Told him what he needs to do instead. Keep the cash. Stabilize the household. We do not chase dollars here. I try to help people find the best path for their life, even when that path means telling them not to buy. Long term help to a community of people who trust you, beats short term revenue every single time.
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AlphaBeta
AlphaBeta@Marketmakemkc·
@JambaJuice669 Haha It’s so true - though Koepka was ice in his prime on those 7 footers.
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