toon

6.2K posts

toon banner
toon

toon

@MatanPier

🎓Tel Aviv University MBA ‘25 | Private Equity | Trader since 2020 | Proud 🇺🇸🇮🇱

Katılım Aralık 2018
2.3K Takip Edilen3.3K Takipçiler
toon
toon@MatanPier·
Actively deploying at these levels $SPX If we bounce from 6300s, I'm expecting a dead cat to ~6700-6800, followed by continuation to 5900-6100 Otherwise, expecting a macro bottom at 5900-6100 Other tickers I'm focusing on include: 1. $ERO 2. $UEC / $UUUU 3. $RKLB (once it hits 53-54) 4. $FCX 5. $CPER Including $ERO and $CPER charts below HTF (D, 3D, nearly weekly) RSI has reset on almost all tickers, including $SPX -- confluence w/ major levels approaching / s/r flipped
toon tweet mediatoon tweet mediatoon tweet media
toon@MatanPier

Did not play out like this, however current HTF structure on spx indicates a correction will likely print in the coming weeks cut some exposure, specifically on weaker movers recently (OKLO / RKLB) Port roughly 35% cash atm, will be very happy to accumulate at cheaper vals. Likely insane opportunities given where some industries are headed, will focus my attention on ai / robotics / copper / energy

English
0
1
2
103
Cold Blooded Shiller
Cold Blooded Shiller@ColdBloodShill·
A short held since January. A back and forth choppy journey through the highs with impulse finally prevailing. At the lowest prices since August 2025. The patience has paid off finally and the directional bias (and appreciation for length of hold) has been rewarded.
Cold Blooded Shiller tweet media
Cold Blooded Shiller@ColdBloodShill

Timing is everything in this market at the moment. There's a huge amount of value to get from this short when it plays out, but the timing for that could still be weeks or months away. This structure has always hit downside, but it often shakes you out multiple times prior.

English
18
6
176
24.3K
toon
toon@MatanPier·
@Nebraskangooner Can see a dead cat from 63s to 67-68s followed by continuation to 5900-6100 ish
English
2
0
1
383
Nebraskangooner
Nebraskangooner@Nebraskangooner·
$SPY YIIIIIKKKKEEEESSSS Rounded top, breakdown, retest of 99smma, downside continuation
Nebraskangooner tweet media
English
15
11
186
14.7K
toon retweetledi
U.S. Department of Energy
Launching the American nuclear renaissance is a TOP priority of this administration. Thanks to President Trump, we are on track to get three next generation nuclear reactors critical by July 4th—in time for America’s 250th anniversary!
English
69
332
1.8K
90.6K
toon retweetledi
Oklo
Oklo@oklo·
Oklo co-founder and CEO Jake DeWitte has been appointed to the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST). As the U.S. strengthens it's leadership in emerging technologies, decisions on energy and infrastructure are becoming more immediate. Oklo is working to help meet that need through advanced nuclear.
White House OSTP 47@WHOSTP47

x.com/i/article/2036…

English
19
58
423
68.2K
toon retweetledi
Bid Bird
Bid Bird@BidBird10·
Energy Fuels $UUUU Announces First U.S. Primary Production of Critical "Heavy" Rare Earth Material in Decades In a major win for U.S. critical mineral supply chains, Energy Fuels successfully produces high-purity terbium oxide in Utah from ore mined in Florida and Georgia, demonstrating the first U.S. mine to oxide capability to provide a secure western source of "heavy" rare earth oxides used in key commercial and defense technologies. Great news!! Link in the comments
Bid Bird tweet media
English
8
34
212
15.6K
toon
toon@MatanPier·
Increased positioning over the last few days into indexes as well as selected names: 1. $RKLB 2. $UEC / $UUUU 3. $ERO 4. $OKLO 15-20% cash atm. Suspicious of a dead cat to 6750-6850, followed by a continuation to the downside with targets of ~6300 and 5900-6100 I don’t believe we see lower than that
toon@MatanPier

Did not play out like this, however current HTF structure on spx indicates a correction will likely print in the coming weeks cut some exposure, specifically on weaker movers recently (OKLO / RKLB) Port roughly 35% cash atm, will be very happy to accumulate at cheaper vals. Likely insane opportunities given where some industries are headed, will focus my attention on ai / robotics / copper / energy

English
1
0
1
391
Crypto Chase
Crypto Chase@Crypto_Chase·
$SPY / $SPX / $ES I'll be looking to buy the flush tonight/tomorrow, optimally a sweep of 632.95. If that sweep doesn't hold, I think we'll be getting a serious discount later on and I'll add to long-term holdings near 605~.
Crypto Chase tweet media
English
11
19
223
37.9K
toon
toon@MatanPier·
@ShardiB2 Do X subscribers have access to this software?
English
0
0
0
78
Don’t Follow Shardi B If You Hate Money
Our CMT Signals system NAILED the short entry yesterday and followed up with two additional trades that all hit 100% hit rate thus far Even made the trades public Subscribe today #teamshardi $BTC
English
7
0
65
6.2K
toon
toon@MatanPier·
Do or die for $OKLO
toon tweet media
English
1
0
2
115
toon
toon@MatanPier·
Sized up today. Average price $23.57
toon tweet mediatoon tweet media
English
0
0
0
14
toon
toon@MatanPier·
I began building a position in $ERO at 26$ Looking to top up between 22-24
toon tweet media
English
1
0
0
123
toon retweetledi
Polymarket Money
Polymarket Money@PolymarketMoney·
$RKLB won a $190M contract for 20 HASTE hypersonic test flights over four years under MACH-TB 2.0, marking the company’s largest launch deal to date. The first mission is expected within months, giving Rocket Lab another clear step deeper into defense and hypersonics.
Polymarket Money tweet media
English
8
42
467
26.6K
toon retweetledi
unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
BREAKING: The Securities and Exchange Commission is preparing a proposal to eliminate the quarterly earnings report requirement and instead give companies the option to share results twice a year, per WSJ
English
1.2K
2.1K
19.1K
5.7M
toon retweetledi
TFTC
TFTC@TFTC21·
The largest private credit fund in America is fire-selling $1 billion in assets to meet redemptions. Most people have never heard of it. Cliffwater Corporate Lending Fund (CCLFX) manages $33 billion. It's an "interval fund," meaning investors can only redeem at quarterly windows, capped at 5%. Redemptions just hit 7%+, blowing past the gate. Now the fund is dumping $1 billion in private credit assets on the secondary market through Evercore. Here's what the SEC filings actually show: 97% of the portfolio has no observable market price. Cliffwater marks its own book using internal models and manager-reported NAV. There is no independent verification. The fund reports 1.71% volatility. That's not stability, that's what happens when you price your own assets and never mark them to market. The risk doesn't disappear. It accumulates until it can't be hidden anymore. In the first half of FY2026, realized losses jumped 17x, from $3.5 million for the full prior year to $59.4 million in just six months. Cash on hand collapsed 76%, from $375 million to $92 million. Total debt surged 43% to $9.8 billion. Redemptions are annualizing at $3.9 billion, up 74% year over year. And the fund is sitting on $6.3 billion in unfunded commitments with just $92 million in cash to cover them, that's 1.5% coverage. The fund markets itself as "96% first lien senior secured." But 38.7% of net assets sit in Private Investment Vehicles, the biggest chunk being CLO equity, which is first-loss, not first-lien. True economic leverage is estimated at 70-150%, not the reported 31%. PIK interest, where borrowers pay interest with more debt instead of cash, is growing 63% annualized. That means the underlying borrowers can't service their loans. They're just adding IOUs to the pile. Secondary market bids are coming in at roughly 10% below reported NAV. When $1 billion in assets hit the market at a discount, it doesn't just affect Cliffwater, it reprices the entire private credit ecosystem. Boaz Weinstein of Saba Capital has been publicly warning that problems in private credit are "multiplying by the quarter." He predicted Cliffwater's redemption rate could hit 10-20%. Blue Owl already halted redemptions on OBDC II entirely. FS KKR cut its dividend 25% in Q4 2025. This is a $1.8 trillion industry built on illiquid assets, opaque valuations, embedded leverage, and exit gates that work right up until the moment everyone heads for the door at once. The private credit bubble is cracking in real time.
TFTC tweet media
English
18
88
466
41.4K
toon retweetledi
Path of Men
Path of Men@PathOfMen_·
If you knew you were 100 rejections away from your dream, think how excited you would be every time someone told you NO
Path of Men tweet media
English
151
4.9K
33.9K
6.6M