
JD Mathewson, PhD
2.5K posts

JD Mathewson, PhD
@MathewsonPhD
AVP of Institutional Effectiveness & Planning and Accreditation Liaison Officer for @CTStateEdu BA History @UAlbany '04; PhD @GVPTUMD @UofMaryland '13




As a result, I do not know whether we will be able to publish the needle. There are good reasons to bet against it, though perhaps there are scenarios where things are running super smoothly; alternately, we hit bugs at the start and there's no chance.

So basically turnout so far is this? Rural areas: strong Cities: meh Suburbs: insane

As a result, I do not know whether we will be able to publish the needle. There are good reasons to bet against it, though perhaps there are scenarios where things are running super smoothly; alternately, we hit bugs at the start and there's no chance.





it's 9pm on election night and you're on a rooftop in williamsburg. ann selzer was right about everything. electric feel by mgmt is blasting and you're sipping an ice cold pbr. your heart is full once again

There are some confounders here, but the inflation thing is actually statistically significant! Each additional $100 of inflation in a state since January 2021 predicts a further 1.6 swing against Harris in our polling average vs. the Biden-Trump margin in 2020.








