M C

93 posts

M C

M C

@MatiCanelli

Montevideo Katılım Temmuz 2012
42 Takip Edilen47 Takipçiler
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iain
iain@ohiain·
If you want a clear framework for how I’ve been maneuvering this current market, HERE IT IS: My core system hasn’t changed much over the years. What has changed is my ability to adapt the application of it. Many traders think they need a new strategy every few months, when in reality they often just need to adjust how they deploy the same edge. -- Right now, we’ve been in a market where leadership has mattered a lot, breakouts have gotten extended quickly, and some of the easiest money has come from buying weakness in strong names instead of chasing obvious strength after the move already happened. This isn’t every nuance of what I do, but it’s the framework I’ve been using recently in names like $ARM, $WULF, $MU, $INTC, and others while trying to stay process driven and focused on what the market is actually rewarding. -- 1) Stock Selection. I learned this the hard way over the years. Most traders obsess over entries while paying almost no attention to what they’re entering. They’ll spend hours debating a candle pattern on a weak stock in a dead group. My process starts with where money is already flowing. I’m not interested in the cheapest stock, and/or I’m not interested in the one down the most. I’m interested in names where institutions appear to already be building positions and where the next wave of momentum can realistically happen. Recently, that’s looked like: - Semiconductors - Memory/fiber optics - Data centers/power/infrastructure - Select AI/software names - Crypto-related names during strength - Uranium/rare earth/commodity pockets Then I narrow down to the best names inside those themes/groups. What I personally prioritize: > Relative strength vs $SPY + $QQQ > Relative strength vs peers in the same group > Above moving averages > Multi-week bases or Stage 1 → Stage 2 transitions > Tight price action after expansion > Low volume pullbacks/stronger volume advances > Names refusing to break during weak tape That last point has been gold lately! If the market is shaky and a stock refuses to go down, I notice immediately. -- 2) Buying Weakness, Not Chasing Strength. I’ve been preaching this for weeks because it has genuinely been one of the biggest tells in this environment. A lot of traders still think every breakout should be chased the second it happens. In certain markets, YES. In this one? Often NO. We’ve had enough volatility, enough headline movement, and enough sharp opens that blindly chasing has been a lower-quality game. Instead, I’d rather let strong names come to me. That usually looks like: - First pullback into the 9/21 EMA - Undercut of support followed by reclaim - Tight inside day after a move - Controlled red day while indices weaken - Gap support holding That’s how I got involved in names like... $WULF off the 9EMA reclaim $MU off the 30 min pivot + 9EMA $ARM off 21EMA support + group confirmation ...and many more. I’m trying to buy defined risk before excitement returns! -- 3) My Entries Are Precise. This is something many newer traders misunderstand. People think the secret sauce is some magical entry trigger... it isn’t! Entries matter, but they’re mostly tools for risk management. If you’re in the wrong stock, a great entry can still fail. If you’re in the right stock, a decent entry can still work. Once I’ve identified the name I want, I’ll usually drop down to the 15 or 30min chart and wait for confirmation. "But what does that look like intraday?" > First green 15/30 min candle after weakness > Pivot reclaim against the 9EMA > Higher low after a flush > Undercut & rally setup > Opening weakness that stabilizes while peers improve Then I enter through the pivot. My stop is usually: 1) Low of day (most common) 2) Intraday pivot low 3) Obvious invalidation level That keeps me honest. Good trades often move into profit relatively quickly. If I’m stuck underwater right away, I consider a potential quick exit. -- 4) Risk Management. One of my strengths as of late has been protecting capital when conditions are poor and pressing when conditions improve. March was a perfect example. My style wasn’t being rewarded much. Instead of forcing activity because I was bored, I slowed down, traded smaller, sat in more cash, and preserved gains from earlier in the year! That discipline allowed me to be ready for April. My framework is simple: - Defined stop before entry - Small losses accepted quickly - First trims into strength - Trail winners logically - Size down in poor tape - Size up when setups + execution align That’s how compounding really works. -- 5) How I Know Conditions Are Improving. I don’t need headlines, economists, or someone on X to tell me when conditions are getting better. The market usually shows its hand well before the crowd notices. I’ve learned to trust what I’m seeing in price action more than any narrative out there. One of the first things I notice is my watchlist starting to expand naturally. Instead of forcing names onto a focus list, quality setups begin appearing on their own. More sectors start participating, leaders begin making fresh highs, and pullbacks stop getting punished as aggressively. Another clue is how my own trades behave. If names are following through, respecting support levels, and rewarding patience, I take that as positive feedback. When multiple positions begin working at once, and I have more quality ideas than I can realistically trade, that usually tells me risk appetite is improving! On the flip side, when setups are scarce, breakouts fail quickly, and I’m struggling to find anything, I know to stay patient. Conditions speak if you’re willing to listen! -- 6) The Biggest Misconception About My Style. A lot of people assume my style is all about entries because I often talk about pivots, timing, and lower timeframe execution. That’s only the visible part of the iceberg... Entries are important, but they are not of the utmost importance. My real focus has always been getting aligned with the right names at the right time. I care much more about whether a stock is in a strong group, showing relative strength, and setting up with strong structure than whether I buy it 20 cents higher or lower. If the stock selection is poor, a perfect entry usually won’t save it. If the stock selection is strong, the entry just helps optimize risk! What many don’t see is that most of the work happens before I ever take a trade. I’m studying sectors, comparing peers, tracking leadership, watching how names react on red days, and deciding whether conditions deserve aggression or patience. By the time I enter, most of the decision has already been made. The click to buy is the smallest part of the process. -- 7) What I’d Tell My Younger Self... I would tell my younger self to stop trying to trade everything. For years, I thought more activity meant more opportunity. If something moved, I wanted in. If a chart looked interesting, I convinced myself it was worth a shot. That mindset cost me time, money, and energy. I’d tell myself that trading fewer names with more intention is far more powerful than constantly chasing noise here on X. I’d say to focus on leadership, respect the environment, and stop believing I need to be active every day to make progress. I’d also remind myself that sitting out is not failure. Protecting capital during poor conditions is what allows me to capitalize when conditions improve! Most importantly, I’d say patience is not passive. It often feels boring in the moment, but it pays extremely well over time... focus on longevity! -- 8) More Yapping. At this stage of my journey, I’ve realized my system is only as good as my ability to stay disciplined within it. The framework itself is simple... find leadership, wait for constructive opportunities, define risk clearly, and let winners have room to work, blah, blah, blah. What makes it difficult is not the strategy itself, but it’s the consistency required to execute it through changing environments. The market is always evolving, which means I have to evolve with it. Some weeks call for aggression, some call for patience, and some call for doing almost nothing at all. My principles stay the same, but the application is always adapting... that’s a lesson I’m still learning every single year. I’m not pretending to have it all figured out. I’m still a student of this game every single day, just sharing what has genuinely helped me and what continues to work through experience. If you made it this far, I appreciate you taking the time to read it. I’d genuinely encourage you to ask questions below, and I’ll do my best to answer everyone I can! - iain 🩵
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Anand
Anand@anandragn·
These are some of the hottest themes in the market AI infra: $NBIS $CRWV $NVDA $SMCI Datacenter/Miners: $IREN $APLD $CIFR $HUT Robotics: $RR $SERV $SYM $ARBE Quantum: $RGTI $QBTS $IONQ $QUBT Drones: $KTOS $ONDS $RCAT $UMAC eVTOL: $JOBY $ACHR Aerospace/Communication: $RKLB $ASTS Fuel Cell/Energy storage: $BE $QS $EOSE Rare Earth: $USAR $MP Crypto/treasury: $BMNR $COIN $SBET $CRCL Minerals: $LEU $UUUU $UAMY China: $BABA $BIDU $PDD $PONY Healthcare/HC tech: $UNH $TEM $GRAL Software: $PL $SNOW $DDOG $ZS Pick the themes that fit your criteria. Some of them are extended, which could be due for a pullback. While others are at decent spots. Good luck for next week!
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Martin Luk
Martin Luk@martinlukkt·
Shorting📉 This correction has honed my shorting skills, and I'd like to share them. I was not interested in shorts back then because I wasn’t good at it and nearly all my shorts lost me money. Coming into December last year, I noticed weaknesses in the market and started studying how to short to get myself prepared. Another simple reason was to preventing losing too much money during the correction knowing that I’m a chronic overtrader. This tweet focuses on entries. Charts of my recent entries and past examples are included.
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Blinkist
Blinkist@blinkist·
🤯 Thousands swear by the tips to unf*ck themselves with these 30 books. 🤔 I gave it a go to see what all the fuss was about.
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AsymTrading
AsymTrading@AsymTrading·
Books that never leave my desk. I’ve read hundreds of books besides these but and this isn’t all that’s in my bookshelf. It never ceases to amaze me how you can read the same things at different times in your trading journey and walk away with new insights.
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Adam
Adam@Adamaestr0_·
Internet es educación gratuita. Pero el 96% no sabe dónde encontrar los mejores lugares para aprender. Aquí tienes 15 sitios web para aprender algo nuevo (sin pagar) ↓
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Jesse Cohen
Jesse Cohen@JesseCohenInv·
Saturday Thoughts
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Richard Moglen
Richard Moglen@RichardMoglen·
I've had a few questions about the order I would read from the list My Recommendation 👇 1. How I made 2,000,000 Dollars - Darvas 2. How To Make Money In Stocks - O'Neil 3. Trade Like a Stock market Wizard -MM 4. Think and Trade Like a Champion -MM 5. Market Wizards : Schwager
Richard Moglen@RichardMoglen

📢 New FREE Article! 📢 The 20 Best Trading Books for New Traders 🗝️Themes ✅ Lessons From the Past ✅ Technical & Fundamental Analysis ✅ Trading Psychology I will be giving away 1 of the books on this list to 3 people who Retweet!🔁 Check it out 👇 tradingengineered.substack.com/p/the-best-tra…

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OVACIÓN
OVACIÓN@ovacionuy·
El más ganador del siglo: Nacional suma más Uruguayos que todos los demás clubes juntos ►ovacion.uy/8Wpzcq92
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𝚃𝚊𝚛𝚊𝚜 𝙶𝚛𝚎𝚜𝚌𝚘𝚎 🚇
This is stunning! To allow riders to better view autumn leaves, the driver of this Eizan Electric Railway train on the Kurama Line switches off the lights so passengers can better view this "Maple Tunnel" outside #Kyoto. Another reason to love #Japan's rail culture.
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Dan Go
Dan Go@CoachDanGo·
7 bad habits that sabotage your brain health:
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Steve Burns
Steve Burns@SJosephBurns·
My Favorite Stock Market Movies:🎬 1. The Big Short 2. Margin Call 3. Wall Street 4. Trading Places 5. The Inside Job 6. Rogue Trader 7. The Wizard of Lies 8. Barbarians at the Gate 9. The Wolf of Wall Street (Comedy) 10. Too Big to Fail What's your #1 favorite?
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Lydia Cruz
Lydia Cruz@TheLydiaCruz·
I remain amazed that anyone can hit a baseball ever
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Historic Vids
Historic Vids@historyinmemes·
100 years different in athletic ability
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