MauriceThink

@WhiteHouse YES PLEASE!!!!! Trump will never let anyone forget he was here 👍🏻✊🏻

The Independence Arch.

@t_ylerap You are the HOTTEST but please don’t shave ANYTHING 🩷🙌🏻

@ColombianAdonis @bigz_joseph Wel we ned his X peofile and phine number then, top men are scarce

@againstgrmrs When it comes to politics, gays are more uneducated & emotional unstable than women, gays will vote for whoever they are told to vote for on grnder, a bathclub or a gay bar. Madani is dangerous 4 NY economy & his fake charisma should not be a reason to support him

While boys break records in girls’ sports and send them to the ER, Mamdani cheers it on and calls it "feminism." He doesn't even know what a woman is. His proposed agenda erases and exploits confused girls and promotes body-hatred as liberation.

🧵 🚨 THREAD: Zohran Mamdani, the child-castration communist himself, won the NYC mayoral primary. If he wins in November, $65 MILLION taxpayer dollars will be funneled into hospitals, public providers, and virtual telehealth clinics to give out hormones & surgeries to minors.

@elonmusk @realDonaldTrump If I were you I would have leave quietly and then make a reinvention come Back later. Instead you chose to give amunition to the haters and look pretty awful with your friend/boss. Hopefully now you just disappear from view until you can come Back with a more positive plan

I regret some of my posts about President @realDonaldTrump last week. They went too far.

Russia invaded Ukraine. Hamas attacked Israel. China turned up aggression on Taiwan. Fentanyl from China is pouring over our border. None of it would have happened had we not had the debacle in Afghanistan.

@politico don’t we all?

Donald Trump hates Taylor Swift ow.ly/5GkB105IMPk

@HillaryClinton @RobertinLALA U will NEVER be potus NEVER.

If Senate Republicans fail to convict Donald Trump, it won't be because the facts were with him or his lawyers mounted a competent defense. It will be because the jury includes his co-conspirators.

@mehdirhasan @UNRWA @UNLazzarini Palestinians should get rid of HAMAS

"People today are... just waiting for their turn to be killed in the Gaza Strip. It's absolutely heartbreaking." The @UNRWA chief @UNLazzarini, in an exclusive interview on 'Mehdi Unfiltered,' tells me how dire the situation is in Gaza. Full interview: zeteo.com/p/exclusive-me…

@billmaher @kaitlancollins But this is THE NEW NORMAL since Biden 2020. “Speak the least & keep a low profile. People will vote 4 you even without giving interviews or debating”. This is the future of politics: social media-obsessed-people only need TIK TOK propaganda 2 to make up their minds 👎🏻

"I think anyone who wants to have access to the nuclear codes should be willing to sit down and take questions." - @KaitlanCollins

@MiloFactually @billmaher @kaitlancollins 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤦🏻‍♂️

@NateSilver538 Silver is increasingly biased, (and too obvious too) can’t wait to remind him of these tweets after November when she loses

Today's update. Really a pretty good day of polling for Harris. Impact is dampened a bit as the model is applying the beginnings of a convention bounce adjustment to very recent polling. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-…

@Polymarket @NateSilver538 and it didn't happened

Odds Beyoncé performs at the DNC just hit 96%.

@jonathanchait @NateSilver538 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

.@NateSilver538 has a very similar conclusion (but different enough analysis to be worth reading). Harris's speech was not just good, it was excellent, absorbing and correcting the lessons from recent Democratic failures. natesilver.net/p/kamala-harri…

@NateSilver538 funny because I know I haven't been polled, nor have my three family members, all of us independent, and all of us, AGAINST @KamalaHarris we are not the only ones, and comes November polls won’t matter

There is a lot of complicated context here about RFK (the adjustments for his withdraw are NOT yet fully implemented) and the convention bounce adjustment. That's explained a rare Nate longform tweet below. ___ RFK Jr. endorsed Donald Trump today and dropped out of the race — sort of. The reality is a little more complicated: he intends to withdraw his name from swing state ballots — although that may not be possible in all cases – but not noncompetitive ones. For a much longer take on What This All Means, including our first thoughts on how the model will handle it, see here. For the time being, all that we’re doing is removing RFK from our projections in the four states where his campaign never claimed to qualify — these are Kentucky, Wyoming, Mississippi and Rhode Island — plus New York, where lawsuits knocked him off the ballot, and Arizona, where he’s already taken steps to withdraw. In these states, the votes that would otherwise have gone to RFK in the model are reallocated to Trump and Harris, with Trump getting the slightly larger share since RFK was generally drawing more votes from Trump than Harris in polls that tested the matchup both ways. Previously, the model had been treating Kennedy’s ballot access probabilistically in these states, meaning that the model would randomly have him on the ballot in some simulations but not in others. We will be making further changes, but we need a day or two to sort through the options: it would have been more straightforward if RFK had just unambiguously withdrawn. It’s not a particularly hard problem from a programming standpoint, but it’s been a busy day — Harris accepted the Democratic nomination last night and we have a long take for you on that, too. As far as the polls themselves went, Harris got some promising data, so you can see a clear uptick for her in our national polling average. However, the model is now applying the a convention bounce adjustment to polls that were conducted during the DNC, so she only ticked up just slightly in the forecast part of our model, which adjusts for this. Again, this is not yet the full post-RFK version of the forecast.

Today's update. We are already seeing a convention bounce for Harris, and this is from data BEFORE her speech last night. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-…

RT @Steve_yerp: @NateSilver538 Just a ‘Reminder’

@TrumpDailyPosts FOCUS ON THE ECONOMY, the border, the inflation. Trump 2016 is NOT fun anymore. Focus on what really is affecting us (since Biden and Kamala have done nothing)

Bret Baier of FoxNews called me, I didn’t call him, just prior to the Kamala Convention speech, and asked me if I would like to critique her after she is finished. I agreed to do so! — I thought it was nonspecific and weak, with no fracking, crime, inflation or anything else of interest even mentioned. Delivery was a C+, with far too many and speedy “thank you’s” at the beginning. It was “WEIRD!” Likewise, I didn’t call other media outlets that asked me to go on, they called me. The Fake News, like often “gilted” Maureen Dowd of the failing New York Times, wrote incorrectly that I was making the calls. WRONG!!! I don’t have to make calls to go on TV, or anything else — They call me! It’s called Ratings, I guess, and I’m the “Ratings Machine!” Donald Trump Truth Social 07:04 AM EST 08/25/24 @realDonaldTrump

@4noura @mehdirhasan the terrorist leadership that is

Systematic sexual abuse of kidnapped Palestinian hostages. According to Zionist & American logic, this would justify the decimation of Israeli society, water sources, forced starvation, carpet bombing, & sniping babies until its leadership surrendered. apple.news/ALGCyLQzXQ06M2…

@realDonaldTrump there you go FOCUS ON THE ECONOMY, the wars, the illegal immigration. Drop the Childosh 2016 throwback insults, That doesn't work anymore

If you think things are expensive now, they will get 100 times WORSE if Kamala gets four years as President. Under her plan, Kamala will implement SOVIET Style Price Controls. She will abolish private health care, and make California's ridiculous tax policies the law of the land, meaning EVERY American will be taxed up to 80% of their income! If you want more CASH and less TAX, VOTE TRUMP!!!