.Dot.
1.5K posts
.Dot.
@MaverickDots
In the end, the only thing that matters is if the trend, or flows, are in your favor. Primarily quant focused - some interest in SMID cap asymmetric stocks.
Katılım Haziran 2017
167 Takip Edilen103 Takipçiler
@TheProfInvestor well my goal is just to have two money. Only having a money is not enough. So I will listen.
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Universal rules every Investor should know
- When Nancy Pelosi buys a stock, you start looking
- You double down when the President says " buy the dip "
- You sell when Jim Cramer is bullish
- Robert kiyosaki is wrong 90% of the time, you ignore him
- Investing decision are made on Weekly timeframe
- If all a person talks about is Crash, you block them.
They will never make you a money
- 90% of the time Being a Bull will pay, being bear will not.
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@rubicon59 Cash is an active decision. It should be counted as an allocation.
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What’s a more realistic benchmark:
A. porfolio-burdened-by-cash vs. an index, or B. just the invested portion of the porfolio vs. an index?
After all, “A” assumes that if one invested in an index, it would be 100% with zero cash, which may never be realistic in practice.
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@RagingVentures yeah - it's time to find the next theme. Energy looks like a theme that no one wants to believe in because of cyclicals (like INTC) and then they do all at once. That is where I am parking my theme bets at least.
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Buying $INTC and $QCOM at this stage in the chip boom is like going all-in on fringe Eagle Ford and Bakken shale acreage in 2014. I’m now short both.
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@AmericaPrimoUSA @financialjuice I mean when you pull forward multiple generations of wealth and liquidity... why would you?
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@financialjuice Boomers give zero fucks about affordability.
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Trump: Iran war is won, but I want to win a bigger margin.
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Wouldn't this event call for an understanding of macro liquidity plumbing? If there is one thing we have learned from the fiscal and monetary response pattern is that as long as the typical response is proportional to the event the stock market will recover V-shaped. The market did drop in 2020. It dropped 34% in 33 days. Anchoring to a piece of macro to frame a thesis is bad macro. Being adaptable and open minded isn't. The liquidity response overwhelmed the world. Todays macro is relatively straightforward. We have accelerating GDP off of a very low base. Manageable core CPI (that has its own refreshing yoy base) and a positive liquidity response post Dec 2025. We also have large theme drivers that are still intact. You should be buying dips here. That is what the macro says today and the market is trading that today. Anchoring to energy costs destroying the economy takes months to materialize. The stock market on a volatility perspective trades short term, which is why energy investing is successful so far through this event. I would argue that if the market decides to trade this situation negatively it won't be until June/July - and I would suspect the majority of the positive oil name momentum will fade there was well. Also, I think if you are going to pay attention to macro it should only influence position sizing and sector weightings. Bad macro events are episodic and non-trending and should be hedged, and you should always be on the lookout for the response pattern to flip to the overall long term bullish trend. I am always looking for reasons to be bullish. Bulls make money lol.
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I learned from Covid that trying to time the market on macro events is impossible over months.
Short term trades can have an edge. And sometimes I know what to do and catch them. Most often I do not know what to do, though, so I change nothing.
It's served me well to ignore macro almost always, unless something seems very one sided for a short term trade. I don't lose sight of this very basic idea: own investments that go up long term. It's so damn easy to forget that, and I never lose sight of this key pillar of investing.
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@CRUDEOIL231 You had me at the beginning. That is a testament to how completed fucked the manipulation is. I figured the news flow was real and the market is finally fading and inversing the manipulation attempts.
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Breaking: CNN, quoting audio obtained by Axios via listening devices at Mojtaba’s residence, says Iran will soon announce an unconditional end to the war.
Commander Vahidi and Mojtaba are set to visit Washington in early May to have makeup sex with Trump—it'll probably be a threesome.
Also Iran plans to ramp up oil production to 15mb/d by 2027.
I’m just giving you a heads-up since you’re going to see these headlines anyway. Don’t mention it :)
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@Kelly1010x @JoshYoung @AwakenWithJP No - because she is actively choosing to not be left alone. I am not siding with JP or anyone here, but this would have grounds if she just wanted to live her life in peace. She chose to continue being in the public eye.
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@JoshYoung @AwakenWithJP Yeah can't we just leave the poor woman alone
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With the whole magnitude of what happened, it’ll be important to hear how merch sales did.
ELIZABETH LANE@imelizabethlane
Erika Kirk leaving the scene
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The thing I find so confusing about FIRE is the arrogance
You could be dead tomorrow. You will have wasted your entire life
Life was meant to be lived
Ramit Sethi@ramit
"Is pushing for a 60% savings rate destroying my marriage?" Yes
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@KarstResearch shorting anything on a valuation thesis. I did that for awhile and the worst part I happened to have started taking it seriously at the start of a bear market. I though I was a genius until the bull market started and I got my shit pushed in.
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One of my favorite features of claude code is that you can discuss components of your work and there can be a back and forth. That made a confidence loop when writing the code because I knew opus was targeting the right paths. Codex in that respect felt very clunky. 5.5 is completely different. It feels great. It confirms while it runs. It is way less autistic. Its a banger. Congrats @OpenAI you did it. You made a wonderful coding model.
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Sad observation: Americans believe fraud and grift so much because the school system teaches you to believe the power structure as your source of truth and to not question it. It is the very reason why people like Trump and Musk and well... really any person in power can amass such a devoted following. The only people that question them are the ones that have seen enough lies in their personal life to have the skill scars to know. Probably a relatively large reason to why Iran has consistently called bs on Trumps antics, but the stock market treats it as gospel.
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@LiebermanAustin The 15x isn't for the EV business. It's a call option on whatever Elon decides Tesla is next week
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CAN SOMEONE EXPLAIN WHY TESLA DESERVES TO TRADE AT 15x SALES?
Revenue growth: 16%
Gross margin: 21%
$TSLA BULLS MAKE IT MAKE SENSE
Polymarket Money@PolymarketMoney
UPDATE: Tesla smashes its earnings estimate, and shares are up 4.4% in after-hours trading.
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