Me Want Stocks

Update: -Fed will cut this year -8000 SPX by EoY still a lock IMHO -There is no “petrodollar” crisis; though this disaster of a war can still easily cause 3-5% pullbacks at anytime -US and SOX getting fully valued; alpha in EM as tailwinds being overly discounted because of war -Once Iran clouds clear, get ready for EEM to rip above $75 by Jan ‘27 opex -XLB-materials-my best medium-term sector play here; it’s chemicals and miners-AI & Debasement Trade all wrapped in one; not calling for XLB to outperform tech over next week, though it might; calling for it to seriously outperform next 6-12 months.

Buying cheap tech stocks in 2026 is the closest thing in modern public markets to being handed a list of 1999 internet companies after the bubble burst, in 2002, when the entire category had been left for dead, the analysts had stopped covering them, the funds had been forced to liquidate, and the price action had been so bad for so long that the very word "tech" had become, briefly, a kind of insult at dinner parties. The investors who bought that list, in 2002, in equal weights, and held for ten years, made some of the largest legal fortunes in modern American finance. They did not pick winners. They bought a basket. They held Amazon at $7 and they held companies that went to zero, and the math, on the basket, worked, because a few of the names compounded so violently that they paid for everything else many times over, and the entire portfolio, in aggregate, returned multiples of the original capital while everyone else in the country was buying real estate at the top of the housing bubble. The 2026 version of this trade is sitting in plain sight. There are, right now, roughly 90 publicly traded technology companies in the United States that are profitable, growing, generating free cash flow, sitting on net cash, with strong gross margins, durable customer bases, and stock prices that are 70% to 85% below their 2021 highs. The market has decided, as a class, that these businesses are obsolete, that AI is going to kill them, that the category is over. The cash flow statements say something different. The renewal rates say something different. The customer concentration data says something different. The math, when you actually do it, says these companies are compounding right now, today, while the stocks are flat or falling, and the gap between price and value is wider than it has been at any point since 2002. You do not need to be smart. You do not need to pick the next Amazon. You need to build a basket of 20 to 30 of these names, in equal weights, hold for at least five years, and let the math do what the math has always done. Some will go to zero. Some will compound. The aggregate, by any historical standard, will work. It worked in 2002. It worked in 2009. It worked in 2016. It worked in 2022. It will work this time, because the structure of the opportunity, which is forced selling by people who used to love these stocks and now hate them, is the most reliably profitable setup in equity markets, and it is, in 2026, sitting on the shelf, marked down, available to anyone with a brokerage account and the willingness to be ridiculed at dinner parties for the next 18 months in exchange for being right for the next ten years.

Institutional money is rotating out of mega cap tech and into two sectors almost no retail investor has looked at. I tracked where the capital is flowing and identified 5 stocks positioned to benefit from this rotation. Here's each stock and why they win:

Healthcare. Consumer Staples. Utilities. The boring sectors. The "safe" ones. Right now they trade at a -35% discount to the S&P 500. That's the deepest discount in 45 years. Deeper than the dot-com bubble. Deeper than 2008. Everyone is crowded into tech. Nobody wants defensives. That's usually when defensives become the trade. The best opportunities hide where attention doesn't.

Bought a good amount of $ZM, half spot, half call options, various expiry, mostly far OTM leaps The thesis is pretty simple: - $ZM invested $51M in Anthropic in May 2023, now worth around $11B at Anthropic's secondary mkt valuation of $1T - $ZM market cap is $24B, making it the single best public market proxy for Anthropic (45%), yet still few people know this - $ZM has $7.8B of cash, so their effective enterprise value is: 24 - 7.8 - 11*.75 = ~$8B (Anthropic at 75% to account for gain on taxes) - They have 0 debt - $ZM makes about $800M/yr of post-tax operational FCF, inclusive of stock based comp - Top line has grown at about 4%/yr the last 3 years, with gross margins rising from 11.6% -> 23.1%. I expect profitability to continue to increase with AI, as they can lay off a lot of their engineering team - Further, over half of their expense load comes from stock-based compensation, most of these were COVID-era grants. I'd expect SBC to drop ~30-50% over the next few years, meaning bottom line could rise by up to $400M, meaning ~$1.2B of adjusted FCF - So, you are getting a stock that is trading at 10x in-place earnings (6.7x post-SBC adj.), with high margins and one of the more sticky SaaS business models (no individual company is going to recreate their own zoom, these are networked systems & have security implications) - If you assume Anthropic's valuation is $1.5T, which it likely hits quickly, the FCF multiple is all of a sudden a 4.75x, which is screamingly cheap - The IV, imo, does not currently reflect Anthropic's upside valuation, allowing you to effectively buy call options on Anthropic for standard mature SaaS company IV Seems mispriced 🤷‍♂️ Hyperliquid

Agree $SPRB is a no-brainer. If you want a high risk high reward play with potential 10x this is the one.

0 likes. Up 70% in 3 days.

X-ENERGY $XE OPENS AT $30.11, IPO AT $23 Note: Amazon-backed nuclear startup, which develops small modular reactors

Among self-storage REITs, I think CubeSmart stands out the most today. It owns high-quality assets in dense markets, has strong internal and external growth prospects, trades at a lower valuation than key peers, and offers an attractive dividend yield. $CUBE

Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why: 1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security 2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count 3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai 4. $COHR - They do everything vertically integrated + captures optical cycle 5. $RKLB - the final frontier of space will be around 5 years from now and 20 years from now. 6. $DRAM - memory exposure for samsung/sk hynix 7. $AVGO - hyperscalers dont like nvidia gpu tax 8. $AMZN - nobody can compete against the overnight shipping of toilet paper. robotics will lower opex over time 9. $ARM - AGI CPUs scale revenue quite a bit over the next decade 10. $TSEM - you're going to need a foundry for light based stuff 11. $IBIT - bitcoin, we all know by now 12. $NBIS - i think it's the next AWS. Also they do self-driving cars with uber, own scaling DB companies, data labeling. It's almost like a mini Google. 13. $GOOGL - youtube is not going away, gemini is great. they're vertically integrated with TPUs and fund buildout with operating income so i like it. 14. $AMKR - super facilities coming online in late 2027-2028. benefits from made in america 15. $HOOD - i dont like short term, but long term i'm a fan of Robinhood since they captured retail + have more products like banking, etc that they're scaling up. product innovation is wild. 16. $CRCL - I happen to really like stablecoins and see them as the future for both payments/holding (depends on clarity act) 17. $META - people aren't going to stop using instagram or whatsapp, or others anytime soon. 18. $LITE - $GOOGL TPU exposure decently high part of BOM. As long as Google's AI program keeps running I think $LITE will do well. 19. $LPTH - Germanium and China export controls will always be an issue so US made engineered alternatives will always be important 20. $FN - Someone needs to assemble optical stuff 21. $JBL - same as above, but added with ip from Intel's SiPh acqusition so might end up like innolight? 22. $MP - American rare earths program is extremely important, similar to $INTC national security risks 23. $HIMS - Okay here me out they just acquired a ton of companies, and at $19 they have global DTC channel. short sellers really hate this company, but I think it's actually promising as a contrarian long 24. $SMTC - LRO/LPO transition 25. $POWL - US alternative to hammond for switchgear DC type bottleneck 26. $VPG - Humanoids will be a thing down the road maybe 2027-2028, this makes the sensors. 27. $MOG.A - Feels like i see them everywhere in robotics, to spacex supply chains 28. $MSFT - At $375, one day we'll look back and see this as a buying opportunity. 29. $CVX - oil might crash after war but these oil companies are going to be extremely important, especially when Venezulea is a goldmine. 30. $XLU - i think rate cuts might be back online, we need power/grid for AI so these names will always be improtant from $CEG to $NEE Just throwing out other thoughts aside from $AAOI and $AEHR.

$SILA is a good example of what income investors should actually look for, a 6.3% dividend yield, low leverage, long leases, built-in rent escalations, and retained cash flow to support future growth. That is a far better setup than many people realize.

Brazilian small caps have just poked their head above a 15-year resistance level. This is shaping up to be a major breakout that still remains largely off the radar. Small caps have drastically lagged large cap companies in Brazil, and ignoring them here could be a costly mistake in my view. When a secular move begins to unfold, underperforming assets often turn into the biggest opportunities. tavicosta.substack.com/p/brazil-small…

The cleanest long up to $24 this year. $OSCR

Hot take: in the not too distant future $WW will go up more in one day than its entire share price today.

$LULU Still at zero debt Price is at $169, ATH at $517 New CEO in now They still have ZERO DEBT I would be very surprised if the new CEO does not borrow to buy back shares

THIS SHOULD BE ILLEGAL. A rental car company with $25 billion in debt just exploded 600% in a month because two investors own over 100% of the stock. Avis Budget Group $CAR hit a record high of $608.80 on Monday, surging 23% in a single day. Two hedge funds, SRS Investment and Pentwater Capital, control 71% of the shares but when including their cash-settled equity swaps, their combined holding exceeds the entire outstanding supply. This is a company that reported a $995 million net loss last year and has been struggling under a massive debt load for months. One technical ownership glitch changed everything. The supply mismatch is so extreme that short sellers are trapped in a mathematical impossibility. With zero shares left to borrow and the float effectively non existent, the market just gave a debt heavy rental company a 6x gain simply because the math broke.

Martin @MartinShkreli has a price target of $500 (10x on today's price) for $SPRB (Spruce) - he factors in dilution to his valuation also. Mine is a little more conservative at $250 (still 5x), but it definitely can go as high as $500. Definitely a buy out target too. This will play out over the next 12 months - huge upside!

$SPRB Spruce Biosciences - Potential 4x from here, Price Target of $200 Raised money today and stock is down 20% - huge buying opportunity, i just bought.

@bi02247255 Ahhh yes. We are changing the culture to dungeons and dragons. It’s ok not to like the name change bro…

For fellow members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints... We should probably get used to changes in the "cultural" church. The coming Sunday schedule changes and the new names for young women are just two examples. Those of us who have lived our entire lives in a "Utah-centric" faith (or even a US-centric faith), may struggle with such changes. But we're truly a worldwide church now. The gospel is still true, but accommodations will likely be made going forward to bring more meaning to members in faraway lands and cultures. It's OK. Take a deep breath. Again, the gospel is still true even if "Beehives," "MiaMaids," and "Laurels" go the way of all the earth. 😇

@feastscriptures @Ch_JesusChrist Except most wards and branches don’t have 3 YW classes… This isn’t great for a worldwide church.

@Ch_JesusChrist Love this, it will make it easier for bishoprics to minister to these YW and keep the age groups straightforward and parallel. The practical short names can simply be "Faith," "Hope," and "Light" classes. Relief Society is "Charity". Makes beautiful sense to me!

The First Presidency has announced new age-group names for young women—names that reflect their identity, growth, and purpose. The new age-group names are: • Builders of Faith (young women turning 12 or 13) • Messengers of Hope (young women turning 14 or 15) • Gatherers of Light (young women turning 16 or older) Young Women General President Emily Belle Freeman said the spiritual significance of the names became especially clear to her during a recent visit with young women in Tahiti. “As the girls sang, I was inspired to think of these covenant-keeping young women whose purpose and mission would be to build faith, share hope, and gather and reflect light around the world,” President Freeman said. “My eyes teared up as I realized the Spirit had been leading this process all along, inspiring names of faith, hope, and light that would help God’s daughters live as disciples of Christ and prepare them to enter a lifelong sisterhood of charity—the Relief Society.” Learn more by visiting the link below: newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/young-…