Mike KaiLoP

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Mike KaiLoP

Mike KaiLoP

@MikeKaiLoP

Trying to understand markets 📈 On the way to $100k 💰 Work in banking 🏦

Katılım Nisan 2026
190 Takip Edilen232 Takipçiler
Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@KobeissiLetter This isn’t just bullish for LNG - it’s a wake-up call for energy security. Expect policy responses, not just price moves 👀
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Global LNG exports fell -7% MoM in April, to 33 million tons, the lowest since May 2024. This marks the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. Since the January peak, LNG exports have dropped -9 million tons or -21%. This collapse was driven by Qatar, the world's 2nd-largest LNG exporter, halting production after Iranian strikes destroyed its largest plant in March, with damage estimated to take years to repair. The damage to Qatar’s LNG infrastructure is set to delay the anticipated global LNG supply expansion wave by at least 2 years, with a cumulative loss of ~120 billion cubic meters of LNG supply projected between 2026 and 2030. All the while the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed despite the ceasefire. We are facing an unprecedented energy crisis.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@Mr_Derivatives Everyone wants all positions green at once - that’s not how portfolios work. Rotation is healthy. Today it’s not Netflix, tomorrow it might be
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$NFLX back to an $88 handle. Not participating in this rally…
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@Aaronbarfield Early stages. Breadth improving is step one - leadership rotation comes later if it sticks
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Aaron barfield
Aaron barfield@Aaronbarfield·
@MikeKaiLoP So if breadth is improving does that mean small caps finally lead next? Or still early?
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$QQQ +11% ytd $META red ytd $MSFT red ytd $TSLA red ytd You know what to do…?
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@Mr_Derivatives «Sub $600 META» sounds dramatic, but the real story is rotation inside megacap leadership. It’s not that META is collapsing - it’s that $QQQ is getting pulled by a narrower and hotter group
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$META about to enter sub $600’s again. Now trading fresh near 2.5 yr lows relative to the $QQQ. Sick.
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@KobeissiLetter $QQQ seeing massive inflows while March saw record outflows is the most «trend-chasing» chart you’ll see this year. People don’t allocate on fundamentals - they allocate on recent performance. That gap is where cycles are born
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: The Nasdaq 100 ETF, $QQQ, has attracted +$10 billion in inflows over the last 21 days, the highest 21-day total since October 2025. This is also the 3rd-largest 21-day inflow on record. This follows -$11 billion in outflows recorded in March, the highest in at least 4 years. US-listed ETFs posted +$174 billion in inflows in April, more than any other region. Year-to-date, US-listed ETFs have pulled in a massive +$673 billion. The top-performing fund was the S&P 500 ETF, $VOO, which attracted +$25 billion in April and +$47 billion year-to-date. Investors are buying equity funds at a rapid pace.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@Mr_Derivatives From «dead money» to $107 real quick. That’s what narrative + positioning unwind looks like
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$INTC $107’s….. Omg
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@KobeissiLetter Policy tailwinds hitting at the same time as a narrative flip - that’s how you get vertical moves. But +420% unrealized also means expectations are now doing a lot of the heavy lifting
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Intel stock, $INTC, extends gains to +12% on the day and hits its highest level on record. The Trump Administration is now up +420% on their investment since August 2025, with an unrealized gain of over $40 billion.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@Brownmoose In theory, yes 😄 In reality, -30% is where conviction gets tested, not where it magically appears
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Moose
Moose@Brownmoose·
@MikeKaiLoP But isnt that the best spot to scoop in ? 😄
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Moose
Moose@Brownmoose·
POV in 2033: You ignored the “SaaS are dead” noise in 2026. • Your $NOW went from $80 to $1,200+ • Your $MSFT is now $1,480+ • Your $ORCL is now $963 • Your $40k turned into $2,000,000+ The real regret isn’t missing the bottom. It’s never buying at all.
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@GuyTalksFinance Missing the move hurts more than losing money for most people. That’s why late-cycle flows tend to accelerate, not fade
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Finance Guy
Finance Guy@GuyTalksFinance·
People holding cash have no idea what to do right now. They all thought the market would crash and they would get an amazing buying opportunity. Instead the S&P500 is up +30% over the last year and they missed a buying opportunity. If this keeps up they will be forced to start FOMO buying soon
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@charliebilello Classic market structure. Top 0.1% harvest inefficiencies, the rest provide liquidity and pay the tuition
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@KobeissiLetter This feels more like the market demanding higher compensation to hold long-duration risk
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: The UK's 30Y Government Bond Yield surges to 5.79%, the highest level since May 1998. Inflation is back and interest rates are surging.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Evan | Investments
Evan | Investments@NotA_Bull·
POV: $AMZN and $SOFI holders in 2030. Bookmark this.
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
Amazon just opened its logistics network to everyone 🅰️📦 You no longer need to sell on their marketplace to use it. That’s not a feature - that’s a direct shot at UPS & FedEx. Markets reacted fast: both dropped ~10% on the news. Amazon isn’t just competing anymore… it’s becoming the infrastructure. Who’s left outside their ecosystem?
Mike KaiLoP tweet mediaMike KaiLoP tweet media
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@NotA_Bull Exactly - cheap and ignored is usually the best combo. Market just needs a narrative to catch up
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Evan | Investments
Evan | Investments@NotA_Bull·
What is the number ONE stock you are waiting for a red day to finally buy?
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
99.99% of users lose money on Polymarket 🎰 Prediction markets look smart… until you realize it’s often just speculation with better UX. And those same habits don’t stay there - they show up in stocks too: chasing hype, panic-selling dips. For every winner, there’s someone on the other side 🤝 Are you trading probabilities - or reacting to emotions?
Mike KaiLoP tweet media
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Mike KaiLoP
Mike KaiLoP@MikeKaiLoP·
@StockMKTNewz Private market marks are the new «paper gains» Until there’s liquidity, that $30B is more narrative than cash
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Evan
Evan@StockMKTNewz·
OpenAI co-founder and President Greg Brockman said his stake in OpenAI is now worth ~$30 billion - Bloomberg
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