MikeRAS

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MikeRAS

MikeRAS

@MikeR_RAS

Just a guy with too many opinions and a habit of failing KYC. Always looking for accounts and sharp originators on the rise. DMs open.

Fortress of ******* Solitude Katılım Nisan 2009
3.1K Takip Edilen1.5K Takipçiler
MikeRAS
MikeRAS@MikeR_RAS·
@EastBreese @PeteFiutak Mason and VCU and Butler F4..... It will take a minor miracle to happen now. Or a lot of money.
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Michael Calabrese
Michael Calabrese@EastBreese·
Loyola Chicago made the Final Four in 2018. They did that by returning four of their top five leading scorers. That kind of roster continuity and talent retention is quite literally impossible in the current environment. That's why this low and mid-majors are a shell of what they once were.
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Pete Fiutak
Pete Fiutak@PeteFiutak·
Spare me the "smaller schools can't compete in college sports anymore" thing The last AP/Coaches/BCS/CFP college football national championship won by a current Group of 6 school was ... 1945 Army The last non-power outlier to win the NCAA Tournament was ... 1966 Texas Western
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Peanut Bettor
Peanut Bettor@mr_peanutbettor·
Watching live odds instead and of the actual event is the most degenerate sweat there is
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MikeRAS retweetledi
Mark Harris
Mark Harris@itismarkharris·
Grant Hill opening up March Madness by letting everyone know he’s going to be hammered the rest of the month. RIP his liver. Ian Eagle was so confused.
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Steve Fezzik
Steve Fezzik@FezzikSports·
I took a nap this am. What were the @drbobsports ooops ....... I mean the @SuperBookNV Sharp Syndicate(s) strongest plays...... today?
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MikeRAS
MikeRAS@MikeR_RAS·
Real tough thing is when market plays it back to the original number. Unless we know something market doesnt its likely no good. But still tempting to play....
Steve Fezzik@FezzikSports

I LOVE @DrBobSports . However, like RAS, I think once they release official plays, they are victims of their great past success. IMO, you won't win playing these releases -110 once the market moves their numbers.... Simply because they create so much market movement.

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MikeRAS
MikeRAS@MikeR_RAS·
@jonlerner Yes they not only didnt adjust for varying splits they made them often sub 50% 1H like a college game!
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MikeRAS
MikeRAS@MikeR_RAS·
Damn was hoping to get to avoid going to battle with all the sharps that participate in this market now. You guys have no idea how much easier this market was in 2006-2010 range. Can say that about a lot of markets but I cant describe the edges that existed. Think Delle Donne out when she was worth 4-5 points and no one knowing or blinking for like 45 minutes. Maybe partially the media coverage is way better now but the market really was insane at the time. Glory days.....though if you can win now the liquidity is way way WAY better.
Annie Costabile@AnnieCostabile

BREAKING: The WNBA and WNBPA have reached a tentative verbal agreement for a new CBA, sources tell me. Term sheet will now go to the players and WNBA Board of Governors for a vote to ratify the new agreement.

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MikeRAS
MikeRAS@MikeR_RAS·
I think with the use of predictive metrics to seed teams compared to past years the upsets should typically be less moving forward. Seems like using achievement stats to select teams while seeding with predictive stats is gonna cause that. I do think it helps make the brackets fair.
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Mike Beuoy
Mike Beuoy@inpredict·
Probably the most common March Madness modeling error: Overfitting to past tournament results (e.g. "11 seeds have over-performed in the last 7 years") rather than just treating it like another basketball game and evaluating team strength differentials.
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MikeRAS
MikeRAS@MikeR_RAS·
"You can't advance the ball in college can you?" I love Barkley but you cant be calling games with that knowledge lol
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