Michael Nelson Stout
4.6K posts

Michael Nelson Stout
@MikeStout27
@Angels takes mostly - If you’re reading this, you’re an Angels fan or I said something about your team you don’t like but is well deserved.
Angel Stadium Katılım Kasım 2011
806 Takip Edilen188 Takipçiler

Translation: “I’d really appreciate if you didn’t try to throw it in the spot where I’ve slugged .243 since 2021!”
Rhett Bollinger@RhettBollinger
Mike Trout’s X-rays came back negative but his left hand was still visibly swollen and he seemed frustrated. “We know where they're trying to get me out, fastballs up and in … if you can't control it up there, you shouldn't do it.” mlb.com/amp/news/mike-…
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@OptaSTATS Thank you for your contribution George Klassen!
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@JacobsFieldRBW @allgood122172 @DBach218 It does but it has trouble with walls. Denzel Clarke’s robbery of the Schanuel came out to a 90% probability because it had trouble with the wall. I recently read something that @TheWARmonger_ said on a post that catch prob is mostly range and walls are almost imaginary.
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Defensive WAR isn’t calculated based on how many times a player caught a baseball, but on how many more runs they save than an average player at their position.
Not to take away from how cool Adell’s performance was, but most MLB outfielders could have caught those fly balls.
Dean Ciriaco@Deanciriaco
Jo Adell saved the Angels game three times and won them the game. He as 0.0 bWAR
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@JacobsFieldRBW @allgood122172 @DBach218 Catch probability does not take into account where the wall is. So if the wall is not there, sure 80% sounds correct. Now factor in a wall that you have to scale or reach and jump over while holding onto the ball and that is the part where this isn’t happening 8 out of 10 times.
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@MikeStout27 @allgood122172 @DBach218 Oh so you know the catch probability you’re just cool with ignoring it
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@JacobsFieldRBW @allgood122172 @DBach218 Or Jo Adell has a knack for robbing home runs. Now tied with Kyle Tucker for most robbed home runs since 2020. The analytics can say his 3rd robbed home run was 80% catch probability but I’ll guarantee no OF is catching that 8 times out of 10.
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@allgood122172 @DBach218 It’s only not normal to rob three homers in one game because it requires three baseballs being hit only a couple feet past the outfield fence to the exact same third of the field.
If every home run was hit within two feet of the fence we’d see these kinds of games commonly.
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@idontjudd @TheWARmonger_ Then I’d say the probability “stat” is very flawed. To not factor in a wall, which is part of every single MLB stadium, is ridiculous. Even Jo Adell isn’t making this same catch 8 times out of 10.
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@MikeStout27 @TheWARmonger_ I’m gonna assume it just goes off of distance and range, so the wall itself isn’t a detractor or anything and the fact he has to clear an obstacle is irrelevant.
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Play(s) of the Day- By the Numbers
Jo Adell
OK, buckle up for this one (🧵)
Jo Adell robbed THREE homers to save a 1-0 game, a record as far as we have recorded them.
His DRS? +5 (-4 to +1 DRS)
His OOA? +0.32 (-1 to -2 FRV)
That's right, Adell slid into a tie for last place overall in outfield FRV last night. For DRS, he went from last place overall to near the top of the leaderboard.
Here's how...
MLB@MLB
All THREE of Jo Adell's home run robberies from tonight ... Yes, you read that right 😮
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I will die on the hill if you end up on the other side of the wall with the ball, that should be a HR. you didn’t prevent the ball from clearing the fence
Underdog MLB@UnderdogMLB
All three of Jo Adell's HR robberies on Saturday
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@RangerApologist @Angels And Jack Leiter would look good in an Angels uni 🤔
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@bernhwrdt @giantssfcentral @MLB You’re more murky than “quite clear”. He’s a bad CF and a good RF, look it up.
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@bernhwrdt @giantssfcentral @MLB He’s actually decent in RF. He was a GG finalist 2 years ago when he played RF. They played him primarily in CF last year and he was indeed horrible.
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@giantssfcentral @MLB Funny thing is Odell is a horrible defender who they stuck in right just because they didn’t know where else to put him…
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@RogerLodge7 Not sure who is more washed up - you or Anthony Rendon?
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@markbgger @SamBlum3 @Thomas_L_Murray I’m with you. It’s sad and frustrating. I think (more hoping) we see a decent drop in attendance numbers this year though. For being a sellout the buzz was not great last night.
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@MikeStout27 @SamBlum3 @Thomas_L_Murray That’s fair. Only way I’d go to a game myself. I don’t open my wallet for Arte anymore
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@markbgger @SamBlum3 @Thomas_L_Murray My ticket was a gift so I didn’t pay for it. It will probably be the only game I go to all year when I used to go to 30+ a year. Besides, the players deserve better so it’s nice to show support for them at least once a year. And nice to voice my displeasure of the FO/ownership.
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@MikeStout27 @SamBlum3 @Thomas_L_Murray And yet you’re still a sucker who paid Artie and everyone else to go to the game
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@swillysports Amen. I definitely had the loudest boo in 209 and the surrounding sections. Pitiful effort on the fans part.
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