Chad Chaddington

87 posts

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Chad Chaddington

Chad Chaddington

@Millyrc_

Portfolio Manager | Trader | Politics for fun

Los Angeles, CA Katılım Ekim 2010
1.2K Takip Edilen140 Takipçiler
MotionViz
MotionViz@Motion_Viz·
2026 is almost here. here's my gift: the entire AI workflow I used to ship 3+ projects last month. most people use AI tools separately. I chained them into one pipeline. the stack: → NotebookLM — idea mapping, research synthesis → Gemini Gems — requirements extraction, analysis → Claude Code (Opus 4.5) — PRD, documentation, system prompts → Antigravity — free website builds (buggy but ships fast) the flow: raw idea ↓ NotebookLM (connects dots you'd miss) ↓ Gemini Gems (research → actionable requirements) ↓ Claude Code (requirements → production-ready PRD) ↓ Antigravity (PRD → working prototype) ↓ live product from foggy idea to shipped product in hours. this isn't using AI. this is orchestrating AI. includes: – full 12-page workflow guide – frontend system prompt template – backend system prompt template – stage-by-stage prompts – common mistakes to avoid free. no catch. happy new year. like + reply "2026" for the complete workflow pack. (must be following for DM)
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@cullenroche This is fair but from what I understand, they have sufficient collateral to meet margin requirements until btc price falls below $4k. Everything is within the realm of possibility but just doesn’t seem like a likely problem at this point imo
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Cullen Roche
Cullen Roche@cullenroche·
@Millyrc_ Economy's been good the last few years. The worry is what happens when the economy slows and the firm's underlying ops weaken at the same time they're being forced to meet margin requirements? There's a real risk the equity craters and creates a feedback loop.
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Cullen Roche
Cullen Roche@cullenroche·
Worst case scenario for Microstrategy was always a collapse in BTC that coincides with a tech slowdown and recession that impairs the firm's free cash flow, forcing them to sell BTC and/or raise equity. That exact scenario appears to be unfolding. pragcap.com/three-things-i…
Cullen Roche tweet media
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@LimitlessXBT 2/ tooth. My bias is probably bc I just don't see inflation as a long term issue based on my research, but ofc it's hard to predict how things play out
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@LimitlessXBT 1/ Still waiting on things to unravel at some point. I think fed policy will cause markets to reprice but no major 20%+ spy selloff unless there is also a major structural/geopolitical/credit risk. I think we don't get that until 2023 when this bull run is really long in the
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@LimitlessXBT 1/ I respect that. My general base case is there is still so much liquidity that markets won't just fold and mid to long term deflationary forces will get inflation under control fairly quickly. I do see a lot of other tail risks that can tank markets but don't see it as likely
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@CryptoParadyme Agreed. Extended period of negative funding, with the worst case scenario of macro events getting priced in while everyone is bearish and hoping for a crash. Highly doubt we get it.
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Dyme
Dyme@CryptoParadyme·
Bears are still so horny despite bitcoin not putting in a macro lower low on the weekly or a lower high with the last ath. I still see some possible downside in the short term but bottom is in IMO.
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@Pentosh1 By the time CT adjusts the sails, the next narrative is already setting up. Worst case scenarios getting priced in, everyone bearish and hoping for a crash after months of downtrending. Perfect setup for a btc disbelief rally in my experience
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@LimitlessXBT I don’t disagree we’re at the late stages/end of the bull run but all I see now are participants being bearish and short interest building up. Fed tightening has been expected by the market for some time, all that matters now is the rate of tightening relative to expectations
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@CanteringClark This is the wrong approach for most imo. Did the market give an impression at 3.8k that it would reach 60k+ within a year? If a person based on their macro thesis has a 100k target for this year, that's totally fair and reasonable given bitcoin's volatility and historical returns
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@cryptodude999 Agree he's too leveraged but the play he made is smart imo. He's betting on BTC long term through long term financing and it's structured so that he's not obligated to sell even in the event of a crash. The operating business can service the debt, so there's no risk of default
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the dude
the dude@cryptodude999·
- without effectively shooting himself in the foot. It might seem like he made the smart choice for now considering the investment is up by 50% but remember, UNREALIZED GAINS ARE NOT PROFIT. I'm very curious to see how this wild bet turns out in a year or two.
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@Pentosh1 @Crypto_Chase Great read, very important to be aware of macro. Given you are still invested, what indicators are you looking at to pull out of crypto and do you see any hedge against the collapse other than a flight to safety in dollars?
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Chase
Chase@Crypto_Chase·
There's still so many people on the outside looking in. Once the masses fully convert, Fed will announce QE taper. Recently "woke" normies who sold assets to start "investing" will lose the little they had. Disbelief. It's sad, but everyone can't win, and most will be too late.
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Chad Chaddington retweetledi
Rob Paone
Rob Paone@crypto_bobby·
It's totally fine I don't own any DOGE, I'm in assets with strong fundamentals and token value accrual
Rob Paone tweet media
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Chad Chaddington
Chad Chaddington@Millyrc_·
@krugermacro CBDCs will surely be implemented with mechanisms to further dilute its currency. This will only be positive for crypto
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Alex Krüger
Alex Krüger@krugermacro·
Sell-side analysts continue releasing ridiculous #Bitcoin takes > Bitcoin's speed relative to Visa's is irrelevant > A good reason to own BTC is its risk:return profile > Banking also aids nefarious activities > CBDCs are the opposite of kryptonite for crypto Big fail from BOFA
Alex Krüger tweet media
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Chad Chaddington retweetledi
Dr. Parik Patel, BA, CFA, ACCA Esq.
Imagine calling Ken Griffin, Vlad Tenev, Gabe Plotkin and Keith Gill in front of the house only to ask the dumbest questions showing you literally know nothing about finance
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