MistKail
1.3K posts

MistKail
@MistKail
Full-stack | Web3 | AI (DEV) building Defi on @solana @ethereum @binance @xrpl @abstractchain @AsterDEX
Katılım Ağustos 2017
1.2K Takip Edilen3.4K Takipçiler

Concrete bot architecture (long-term profitable): Polymarket copy trading bot.
1. Data layer
- Index all settled Polymarket markets (via The Graph or direct RPC).
- Track 50+ top traders’ historical positions, fill prices, and exits.
2. Strategy layer (runs daily)
For each trader:
- Compute edge = (actual win rate - avg implied probability) over last 50 settled bets.
- Keep if edge > 5% AND min 20 bets.
For each open market:
- Identify which eligible traders have bet.
- Average their probability estimates (weighted by past edge and recency).
- Place limit orders at 90% of consensus bid/ask spread.
3. Execution layer
- Use Polymarket CTF exchange contract directly (not UI).
- Rotate small orders (e.g., $50–200) to avoid slippage.
- Cancel unfilled orders before market resolution.
4. Risk management (critical for long term)
- Max 2% of capital per copied signal.
- Stop copying a trader after 3 consecutive losses.
- Auto-hedge: if bot holds >20% portfolio in one outcome, take opposite on a different market (uncorrelated).




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@ShxrkySocials I need a video editor, can you speak in native english ?
English

@AlenEdits I need a video editor. let's chat on the tg.
t.me/mistkail
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@usmanghani01478 Hey
I edit short-form content focused on retention
Here's my portfolio: drive.google.com/drive/folders/…
Would love to help if it's a good fit.
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🚨 Hiring Junior Video Editor 🎬
I’m looking for a junior video editor to work with me.
🔹 Payment: $70 per video
🔹 Work type: Whenever I’m unavailable, I’ll assign my client projects to you
🔹 Requirements: Basic to intermediate editing skills (Premiere Pro, After Effects, or similar tools)
🔹 Must be able to follow instructions and meet deadlines
If you’re interested, send your portfolio or previous work via inbox.
Serious applicants only.
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@usmanghani01478 Here is my portfolio drive.google.com/drive/folders/…
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The video editor identity shift:
Stop saying:
"I am a video editor."
Start saying:
"I help [specific niche]
achieve [specific result]
through [specific type of video]."
Example:
"I help e-commerce brands
increase conversion rates
through product video storytelling."
One sentence.
Clear niche.
Clear result.
Clear method.
That sentence alone
will attract better clients
than 6 months of cold pitching ever could.
Write yours below
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@abcampbell @AnthropicAI @Polymarket @predictionbench Hi! Most recent trades / settlements can be found here: predictionarena.ai/models/claude-…
you can also see what they are trading & reasoning live by selecting a model’s live activity on the main page (on the Polymarket tab)
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Our team is stunned.
We gave Claude Opus 4.6 by @AnthropicAI $10k to trade on @Polymarket.
It’s now has an account value of $70,614.59.
This is a new era of model performance in trading and predicting outcomes in the face of uncertainty.
@predictionbench

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It is today. wining rage is increased from 52.7% to 54.2% .
It's cool.
#polymarket #trading #arbitrage #copy #trading #pnl


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I have complete this arb bot for 5 months. It was very difficult for me. but now I m very happy. Some guys told me I m a scammer or etc. but It's okay because I succeed on the polymarket. Anyone couldn't scald me .. Now I m one of top traders. There are so many polymarket scammers. yeah. I hacked $1.5k too 2 months ago. but it's okay. It was small amount for me if I compare with that money and current my success. Thank you.
It's my portfolio
@jetfadil?tab=positions" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@jetfadil?tab=…
#polymarket #trading #arbitrage #btc #market #profitable #developers




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