
Piece referenced above is in the @TheAtlantic by me and @FDD @rich_goldberg theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/03/…
Mohsen ModirShanechi
77 posts

@Modir_Shanechi
PhD in Mechanical Engineering, University of Queensland. Geopolitical analyst at Global-Order institute. https://t.co/Dww2zXKxnY

Piece referenced above is in the @TheAtlantic by me and @FDD @rich_goldberg theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/03/…

Together with our allies, we condemn in the strongest terms recent attacks by Iran on unarmed commercial vessels in the Gulf, attacks on civilian infrastructure including oil and gas installations, and the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iranian forces.

Iran has targeted U.S radar systems with some success. An ABC News analysis of satellite imagery and verified videos suggest that at least 10 radar sites used by the U.S. and allies have been struck by Iranian drones or missiles since the start of the war. Patrick Reevell reports. abcnews.visitlink.me/w0-JGa

'What the US is doing at the moment is degrading that capability of Iran, and I think that's very important,' NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said, backing US-Israeli strikes on Iran

The Strait of Hormuz is only the starting point. As escalation deepens, risks will not stay confined to shipping or energy. They tend to spread across regions, targets, and domains that are harder to anticipate. I’ll map the next-stage escalation pathways Sunday, Mar 22, 4pm CT / 5pm ET. escalationtrap.substack.com/p/sunday-mar-2…

Qatar's energy minister Saad Sherida Al Kaabi to Reuters: - 2 LNG trains, 1 GTL damaged - LNG output to decline 12.8m t/y for 3-5 years - other export declines: condensate 24%, LPG 13%, Helium 14% Rebuild cost is $26b. "never in my wildest dreams would have thought that Qatar would be - Qatar and the region - in such an attack, especially from a brotherly Muslim country in the month of Ramadan" reuters.com/business/energ…

State notified Congress today that it's greenlit the following sales: • UAE − F-16 Munitions and Upgrades • UAE − Counter-Unmanned Aircraft System – LIDS • UAE − Long Range Radar for THAAD • UAE − Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missiles • Jordan − Aircraft Repair, Return, and Spares • Kuwait − Air and Missile Defense Radars

NEW: UK, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, & Japan issue joint statement expressing “readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts” to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, welcoming nations engaging in prep/planning & coordinating SPR releases and ways to increase output. Calls for Iran to “cease immediately its threats, laying of mines, drone and missile attacks and other attempts to block the Strait to commercial shipping, and to comply with UN Security Council Resolution 2817” Read here: gov.uk/government/new…

A US F-35 fighter jet damaged by suspected Iranian fire makes an emergency landing at an US air base in the Middle East, sources say cnn.it/3NOOLMK


There’s a lot of illicit Iranian regime money stashed in UAE, Qatar and Oman. If these accounts will be confiscated, we will know that the Gulf states are serious against Iran.

Today with @jaketapper on “imminence,” the probabilistic nature of intelligence assessments, and Iran’s missile program—from Scud-era weapons to a game-changing A2/AD system integrated with drones. @CNN

Statement from President Trump on South Pars Gas Field:

The @WSJ's latest Iran editorial suggested an inevitable Iranian march to acquire nuclear weapons that only force could prevent, but that's just not what the evidence suggests. @BulletinAtomic published some of my thoughts. thebulletin.org/2026/03/revisi…


Iran has hit the world’s largest liquefied natural gas export terminal in Qatar, according to the Qatari interior ministry. Follow live updates: abcnews.link/e5aVGC5

Emirati official: Iran's attacks on Gulf states will strengthen ties with Israel, U.S. haaretz.com/middle-east-ne…
