


Chris
314 posts











$BTC Important Update ⚠️ Here’s everything that matters right now, and what would flip me very bullish again👇 Current state: Price is in a clear HTF downtrend, and major reversals don’t happen without a strong bottom forming first. So what’s the bullish scenario? We test liquidity below the current low and fail to continue, followed by a swift reclaim back into the range. That would signal absorption: passive buyers using downside liquidity, absorb sellers and build long exposure at size. Repeated sweeps can occur during accumulation, with fresh liquidity forming below each low - liquidity that can later be accessed and absorbed to build further size. That's a strong bottom. If instead liquidity builds at the lows, remains untested until a sweep leads to continuation (no one willing to use/absorb the available liquidity), that’s not accumulation and there’s no reason to flip bullish. Important: I’m not predicting an accumulation or continuation. I’m saying we need to wait and my HTF bias only shifts bullish after downside liquidity is taken/used without follow-through → Accumulation → major HTF trend reversal likely. Until then: Shorts stay open. HTF bias remains lower. A LTF bounce into 80K–86K is possible, but a full trend reversal is highly unlikely without a proper bottom formation first. 👉Conclusion: There’s no reason to play HTF swing longs right now or expect a major trend reversal. We need to wait! Also "higher lows" on a HTF-Range, where liquidity builds but isn’t accessed and used to build long exposure, are not bullish in this context but indicate trend continuation. (That’s not my opinion. That’s simply how this game works.) (NFA!) #Bitcoin #BTC










