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@Money_tree13

$Investor$ - Trying to learn and share thoughts

Colorado, USA Katılım Ocak 2020
484 Takip Edilen633 Takipçiler
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D@Money_tree13·
@Mr_Derivatives Bubble could be in the spending/capex that’s producing much of the forward PE estimates. Maybe they don’t all materialize & in hindsight they end up looking very bubbly? Could happen
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
The 17 largest companies and their 2027 Forward P/E estimate. Hard to say it’s a bubble when a lot of them are in the teens…
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Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco@biancoresearch·
"There is no reason, whether or not Trump declares that war is over, to think that Iran will not continue for some time to threaten to destroy the ships that try. Why should they stop?" --- Exactly, Trump cannot TACO. If he thinks declaring victory and leaving lowers gas prices, it will do the opposite. Iran will know it has the West by the jugular and keep squeezing so crude PERMANENTLY stays at $200+/barrel. The only way to get oil prices down is to neutralize Iran's ability to disrupt shipping.
Olivier Blanchard@ojblanchard1

I find it hard not to have as a central scenario where oil prices will remain very high for a long time, higher than the market current prices. I am no expert on geo-politics and defense technology, but this is what I think I have learned: Fully protecting ships in the strait of Hormuz is basically impossible. Not enough time to stop missiles or drones. There is no reason, whether or not Trump declares that war is over, to think that Iran will not continue for some time to threaten to destroy the ships that try. Why should they stop? The risk will thus remain sufficiently high that most non Iranian ships will not take the risk. Thus, the shortfall of 20 million barrels a day is likely to last for long. The scope for increased supply from elsewhere is very limited in the short run. Perhaps 2 million barrels at the most. The 400 million barrels reserve release can only add 3-4 million barrels or so daily. The short run elasticity of demand for oil is very low, at most -0.1, and probably less. This suggests to me prices closer to 150-200 dollars per barrel (or more, but I hesitate to give higher numbers…) than to the current market price. To repeat. I am no expert (As an economist, I have a bit more sense about the next step, namely what such a price would to the world economy). I would be more than happy to be proven wrong.

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D@Money_tree13·
@ahoelzel @liftblog Might be worse next year if people give up on getting passes after this terrible year 😬
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Andrew Hoelzel
Andrew Hoelzel@ahoelzel·
@liftblog Are we not all shocked these figures are not exponentially worse?
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Lift Blog
Lift Blog@liftblog·
Vail Resorts earnings are out amid a "worst-case weather scenario" across the West. North American skier visits -11.9% Lift revenue -3.6% Ski school revenue -8.2% Dining -8.6% Retail/rental -5.7% (numbers season-to-date through 3/1 compared to last season) investors.vailresorts.com/news-releases/…
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Deep Psychology
Deep Psychology@DeepPsycho_HQ·
The difference between animals and humans is that animals would never allow the dumbest member of the herd to lead them.
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D@Money_tree13·
@fiscal_ai They are listening through your phone. Turn the microphone access off for META
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Fiscal.ai
Fiscal.ai@fiscal_ai·
Here's the quarterly Average Revenue per User for social media companies. Pinterest: $2.16 Snap: $3.62 Reddit: $5.98 Meta: $16.56 What makes Meta so much better at monetization? $PINS $SNAP $RDDT $META
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Alex Cole
Alex Cole@acnewsitics·
Interestingly, Barron has developed bone spurs.
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Lyn Alden
Lyn Alden@LynAldenContact·
Now it's time for everyone on X to switch from experts on Venezuela to experts on Iran.
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Eric Daugherty
Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh·
🚨 BREAKING: Huge victory for USA as skater Alysa Liu — whose father FLED the CCP for America — wins GOLD for America, the first time in nearly 20 years 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
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