M C
824 posts
M C
@MostlyBitter
"You can't drink a baseball" Bob Uecker
Katılım Mart 2011
77 Takip Edilen58 Takipçiler
Fuck it, for old times sake:
An Irish wake for my Jewish friend.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ins…
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Everyone out there thinking that actual regime change is the goal - and not whatever Trump decides is regime change - just does not get what the MO of today's geopolitical environment is... repeat after me:
It's all Hollywood.
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M C retweetledi
$SPY will try and get to more chahhhts before I get my grand-daughter (got postponed) to enjoy - in the meantime, if you liked any of my work, please consider retweets, likes, bookmarks and follows...this helps my engagement but also teaches the X algo that you want to see my tweets in your timeline
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M C retweetledi
$XLF now looking more likely that my base case is wrong (because some individual stonks ie $AXP look lower to me) that we hold that neckline *but* we did reclaim that important level at the close Friday...am bearish this index currently dashed lines are levels am watching below
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$XLF nothing new - and don't forget this fugly H&S on my chart is NOT my base case (jsut to show current structure....and I still think it gets negated and we go higher....
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M C retweetledi
$DJT (Transports not Trump Media)...Still Sexy.... btw I hate that the current leadership is shit like this...defensives like Utes, and not the $SMH leadership I prefer...In these markets stock /sector picking more important
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$DJT (Transports not Trump Media) Still in this nice Sexy high tight flag
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M C retweetledi
$WTI I see a lot of people calling for 90 oil ...and for Iran to close the straight (they can mine it, but we have drones that sniff those out now) and their boats are like fleas...annoying and ineffective but IMO the invasion (as unfortunate as any war is) was the most telegraphed ever ...every country said to get your people out...US sent tons of fleets to the region is there anyone who didn't see this coming?...currently in the camp that this will be a sell the news pop...and still thinking even if it wicks above my DTL that will likely be a great short opp. - so far 'path perfect'
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$WTI spot on...and more room above as it follows the war mongering...I would love that DTL above as a likely good entry for short (revisit if/when it gets there)
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M C retweetledi
ICYMI - I desperately need a job right now...if you follow me, you know my skillset (limited but exceptional at what I do know)...Everything I trade is in tax-sheltered accounts = If I have to tap them now (I do) = all this goes away....DM's open.
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M C retweetledi
M C retweetledi
$SPX $ES $SPY on the 14th I suggested my base case was for another 1 1/2% down before resuming the grind higher Tuesday we went down another .64% -for a total of 1 1/2% from Friday's highs...While we're not totally in the 'all clear time to moon phase' - I think we're good to go post earnings season (With $NVDA being the big one upcoming) // Still 'path perfect'
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$ES $SPX $SPY Updated....We lost the 6885 level we needed to stay on 'path' - Candle structure now looks more and more like the pre-April meltdown we saw earlier *but* i'm not in the doomer camp...two levels I am watching....my base case is another 1 1/2%ish down and then can return to the grind higher in March...but another 2 1/2%ish wick to bottom of my channel also possibility....level to level...Open mind
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M C retweetledi
$QQQ and the truth was somewhere in the middle - we did violate and re-enter the channel but boolishly engulfing close right on 'path'...chop chop till after earnings season then we start the grind higher
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$QQQ only because we are still holding top of channel re-test I have left my path intact - however because the MAG 7 look lower still (see charts latter this weekend) I have low conviction this plays out...more likely we visit the dashed line below...open mind
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M C retweetledi
M C retweetledi
$XBI still nothing new to add as it follows my path... //NOTE though I still think we tap that lower line - we don't have to....currently just choppy looking flag
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$XBI 'path' (see earlier comments nothing new to add)
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M C retweetledi
$SMH still on path and still expectation that after earnings season people re-affirm the AI trade still gold
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$SMH 'path perfect' but as noted a few weeks ago...wicks and tails starting to appear...leads me to believe more sideways chop (wicks and tails) as money continues to rotate away from tech and into defensives ...doesn't mean bearish...pause that refreshes (?)
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M C retweetledi
$DJI i'll just pat myself on the back and say no-one gets the read right better than I....'path perfect'
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$DJI Tagged my 'path perfect' top we drew out months ago - moved path forward as we're still riding that beautiful multi-month ascending wedge ONLY if lost would it open the door to earlier channel top breakout below (red arrow)..and that's less than 2% lower...boolish (either way)
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M C retweetledi
$DJT (Transports not Trump Media) Still in this nice Sexy high tight flag
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$DJT (Transports not Trump Media) -still boolish look and nice long tail...adjusted my flag to reflect current candles...
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M C retweetledi
$MSFT way oversold but still no interest for me....
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$MSFT if I am correct that $IGV will try to base shortly then perhaps the flag doesn't resolve bearish and MSFT can base as well....open mind to either but lean bearish MSFT fwiw
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M C retweetledi
M C retweetledi
$IGV Apologies I didnt get to this...apparently my granddaughter is off for Presidents day week = Time with her> Time with charts
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$QQQ VS $IGV <---- Will be doing a deep dive on Software sector this weekend...make sure to turn on notifications so you don't miss it (*hint* I think we're bottoming and within your tech. investments you might want to rotate some $$ in here)
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M C retweetledi
M C retweetledi
